This year, the world famous Grand National horse race from Liverpool, England could see it’s shortest priced winner since Poethlyn took the race at odds of +275 way back in 1919. It could also give us the first horse to win the great race for three consecutive years. The same superstar horse could claim both records and his name is Tiger Roll.
Of course Red Rum did win the Grand National three times during the 1970’s and he also finished second twice, but he never completed his treble in back-to-back seasons. He was successful in 1973, 1974 and 1977.
‘Rummys’ achievements should never be undermined or forgotten and while winning the race twice is an admirable achievement, the overwhelming probability of facts and form indicate that Tiger Roll, under top-weight, is no good thing not just to win, but to even make the frame of the 2020 Grand National.
Common sense dictates a younger rival will win the April 4th steeplechase around the famous Aintree circuit. Last year’s runner-up, Magic Of Light at +2000, is a live contender. Countless Grand National winners have had previous experience of the unique National fences and the Jessica Harrington trained nine-year-old mare has a nice racing weight of 10st-12lb.
Of course she is just one of 89 horses still in the race, which will have its traditional field limit of 40 runners, meaning that many horses which have been allocated a light weight will miss the race. Freebets.com will give you the full Grand National Betting Guide and, naturally the betting odds market is supposedly the best indicator to a horse’s chances.
But is it? Tiger Roll may have been a rare short odds winner 12 months ago – scoring at +400 – but prior to that the most recent winners have been priced +1400, +1400, +3300, +2500, +2500, +6600, +3300 and +1400.
Consequently statisticians would probably tell you to look for a horse priced around the +2500 mark. They would also suggest you avoid a grey horse as only three greys have ever won the Grand National – The Lamb (1868 and 1871), Nicolaus Silver (1961) and Neptune Collonges (2012).
Other Grand National Stats
Other useful horse racing tips for the Grand National include avoiding the mount of jockey Richard Johnson. Despite being the reigning champion jumps jockey in the UK his horse will be one to avoid when considering placing a Grand National bet. In 21 rides in the great race the 42-year old has yet to win a Grand National and has finished in the frame just twice.
Interestingly 21 of the last 29 winners carried weight of 10st-13lb or less and 26 of 29 had won no more than six times over fences beforehand.
A recent run is good with 27 of the last 29 winner’s previous race no more than 55 days before their Aintree date. Similarly 23 of the last 29 winners raced no more than 34 days beforehand.
