Bet on the Breeders Cup

With over 100 pre-entered for the Breeders’Cup, this is a good time to identify the logical contendersand some live long shots to think about before they draw the raceson Wednesday. Post positions will be important in the sprint especiallybut the weather factor is of the utmost. Keep one eye to the skybefore locking in on any wager.

In order of how the events will be run, the JuvenileFillies kicks things off and you have to remember these are justbabies. Home court favorites Adieu and Folklore have lived tofight another day and Adieu, who has beaten Folklore in 2 of 3this year, was flattered when Folklore freaked in the Matron.Wild Fit and Original Sin will be betting numbers and must beconsidered but would take a long look at Diamond Omi. Figure playerswill be off of her from her low numbers but Bob Baffert has beenhigh on her since Day One.

Big prices have been the order of the day forthe Juvenile in the last half dozen years and you have 2 unbeatenhorses banging away this season. First Samurai (4 for 4) and Sorcerer’sStone (3 for 3) will take some serious money and western hopeStevie Wonderboy figures to love the race shape as he is a stone-coldcloser. Samurai was visually impressive taking the Champagne inthat he was schooled during the race and he will be very tough.Long shots abound though and they include foreigners Ivan Denisovich,Leo and Set Alight. Ivan is out of a BC Distaff champ and kinto BC Mile champ War Chant. Leo is modestly bred but trained bysuper horseman John Gosden while Set Alight was troubled in Julyloss but will be seeking the hat trick.

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The Filly and Mare Turf is wide open. Ouija Boardwill try to defend her title, Angara moves up if the going isoff, Karen’s Caper deserves long shot consideration and Mona Lisacould make backers smile at a huge number. Leaning toward Megahertz,who lost in Chicago in a tough beat despite hating the going andwill be flying late. Don’t dismiss Wend. Pushed wide after slowstart in last, she can be closer this time and looms the valueplay.

You can’t make a mistake in the Sprint or itwill be over. Some may think the race begins and ends with unbeatenLost in the Fog, who is looking for his 11th straight win, butwise people would think again. He is hooking more speed than hehas ever seen in his life and although the connections are classy,this guy could be set up for a downfall. Long shots to considerare Wildcat Heir, who figures to be in a perfect stalking position,and Silver Train, whose only bad Belmont race came at the wrongdistance.

Defending Mile champ Singletary is coming torace right but Leroidesanimaux is the American to beat. For valueyou should look to the runners that have run well on this courseand to all the Euros, who should love the going if there is somegive in the ground. Valixier and Whipper are Euros that must bewatched. Valixier’s teacher Andre Fabre has 3 BC wins and 11 sliceswith 36 starters. Bob Collet, who won this race nearly 2 decadesago with Last Tycoon, handles Whipper.

Ashado heads the Distaff as defending champ butonly one of 6 prior champs repeated and she is no cinch. StellarJayne loves this layout and if the track is off, Society Selection’sstock raises big time. Pleasant Home, trained by Shug McGaughey,who ran 1-2 in this race in 1995, could upset the apple cart.She has tactical speed and is peaking now.

To be or not to be will be Shakespear’s fatein the BC Turf. Five for 5 with 2 local wins; the concern aboutthis guy is was the lemon squeezed dry? He was all out in lastand now must face the best in the world. Can’t fault those thatbox Euros like Ace, Alkaased, Bago and Shirocco in the superfecta.If you looking for a red, white and blue collar runner try FourtyNiners Son. He caught a lone speed 2 back, wins the Million in2 more jumps, comes off game win and is in world class hands ofNeil Drysdale.

Average win price of the Classic is over $33 but thatis skewed by fact Arcangues paid nearly $270. There is little to separatetop three in Saint Liam, Rock Hard Ten and Borrego. Rock had a bruiseafter recent work and will show up late, never a good thing with thiskind of money on the line. Borrego has never been better and the Saintis coming off a handy win. One race jumps off the canvas regarding Liamand that’s the race to Ghostzapper last year. That effort stamps him theone to beat. Interesting long shot award goes to Choctaw Nation, who needsthe right trip but could be the one if race falls apart. Respect Starcraft.Starcraft’s trainer Luca Cumani has had a number of BC winners, and theyare intent on shocking the world here.