Tony George’s Baseball Betting Tips

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Recent MLB Success Raises Questions
By Tony George


Here is a recent inquiry with a Q and A pertainingto run lines in baseball:

Q: From a betting perspective, is it more advantageousto play the runline or the moneyline? Which do you prefer?

A: I prefer moneyline plays. Your odds are 50/50on the moneyline to win a wager. Numerous times you will havea heavy favorite and it looks to be to your advantage to lowerthe odds by laying 1.5 on a run line. I prefer to find lower oddswith smaller favorites. Teams tend to overlook weak sisters anddo just enough to win, especially late in the game, if they havea 1 run lead. Run line teams on the road are also a very bad bet,I rarely if all will lay the line, and will search elsewhere.

Q: Why is it that these less-than stellar teamshave been profitable on the runline and not on the moneyline?(except Florida – only team with a winning record)

A: See the above answer! Remember, no one wearinga pro baseball jersey is a slouch. The difference between oneof the best teams in MLB and the worst team in MLB is maybe 2runs at best, and a couple of errors away from being upset. Ifyou do not bring your “A” game every night, especially on theroad in ANY pro sport, you will get beat, bottom line.

Q: What do you take into consideration when playingthe runlines?

A: Bullpen depth of the team I am laying a run-linewith, especially their closer. If a bullpen has over a 3.50 ERA,and the closer is struggling or giving up late runs, such as Atlanta’sbullpen right now, I will not consider that team a good run-linebet.

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Jay has been watching and following sports since he could walk and turned to betting in his late teens. His favorite sport is MLB and has been producing winners on UltimateCapper for over 15 years. Follow Jay's free sports picks and enjoy the winners.