NY Yankees (93-50) at Boston (76-65)
When: Sunday, September 8, 2019
Where: Fenway Park,
Boston, MA
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: New York -125/11
The New York Yankees have nothing to worry about in trying to wrap-up the AL East crown, but still have a lot to play for as we head to the stretch. New York and the Houston Astros are considered the two favorites to represent the American League in the Fall Classic and are dead-even heading into Sunday’s action for the No. 1 seed and homefield advantage should they meet in the ALCS. The Yankees go for a series win over rival Boston on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball after evening the series Saturday with a 5-1 victory. New York received a strong effort from starter J.A. Happ as he tossed six shutout innings while allowing just two hits to earn his 12th win. Edwin Encarnacion and Gary Sanchez combined for all five RBI as the Yanks beat the Red Sox for the sixth time in seven tries. Boston is pretty much out of contention and have used nothing but relief pitchers for the first two games of this series due to injuries in the rotation. Rick Porcello will look to give the bullpen a rest tonight when he opposes Masahiro Tanaka. Shortstop Xander Bogaerts recorded his 1,000th career hit Saturday, becoming the third player in Red Sox history to reach the mark before age 27.
Pitchers: Yankees – Masahiro Tanaka (10-8, 4.42 ERA) | Red Sox – Rick Porcello (12-11, 5.63)
Tanaka pitched well enough to win last time out but the Yanks’ bats went cold in a 7-0 loss to the Texas Rangers on Monday. The Japanese native allowed just two runs and seven hits in six innings after tossing seven shutout innings in his previous start at Seattle. Tanaka was hit hard on July 25th at Boston, allowing 12 runs on as many hits in 3.1 innings in the 19-3 setback.
Porcello was on the other end of that July 25th blowout and allowed three runs over six innings to pick up the easy win. He was hit hard at home to Minnesota on Tuesday, surrendering six runs on eight hits (two homers) in four innings. Porcello is 8-8 with a 5.44 ERA in 18 home starts with a 1.37 WHIP and 16 homers allowed.
Normally you wouldn’t bet teams who are so far ahead in their division this late in the season, but the Yankees are still in the running for homefield advantage, and let’s face it, they’re playing their rival. Look for Tanaka to outpitch the struggling Porcello here and help lead the Yankees to a series victory.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Friday. He is 125-84 +2883 units on the season after a 26-11 run!
Pick: Yankees -112
BETTING TRENDS:
Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 Sunday games.
Yankees are 28-6 in their last 34 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Yankees are 46-14 in their last 60 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Yankees are 48-15 in their last 63 vs. American League East.
Yankees are 25-8 in their last 33 during game 3 of a series.
Yankees are 22-8 in their last 30 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Yankees are 43-17 in their last 60 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Yankees are 48-19 in their last 67 games on grass.
Yankees are 36-15 in their last 51 games following a win.
Yankees are 44-19 in their last 63 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 52-23 in their last 75 overall.
Yankees are 49-22 in their last 71 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Yankees are 50-24 in their last 74 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Yankees are 7-1 in Tanaka’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 6-1 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
Yankees are 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Yankees are 8-2 in Tanaka’s last 10 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Yankees are 12-3 in Tanaka’s last 15 starts.
Yankees are 20-6 in Tanaka’s last 26 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Yankees are 10-3 in Tanaka’s last 13 starts on grass.
Yankees are 5-2 in Tanaka’s last 7 road starts.
Yankees are 5-2 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 5-2 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.
Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 67-25 in their last 92 during game 3 of a series.
Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.
Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 Sunday games.
Red Sox are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Red Sox are 2-7 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Red Sox are 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
Red Sox are 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Red Sox are 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Red Sox are 10-3 in Porcello’s last 13 starts with 4 days of rest.
Red Sox are 5-2 in Porcello’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Red Sox are 1-4 in Porcello’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Sox are 1-4 in Porcello’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games following a win.
Under is 9-1-1 in Yankees last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 9-1-1 in Yankees last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 8-1-1 in Yankees last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 13-3-1 in Yankees last 17 overall.
Under is 13-3-1 in Yankees last 17 on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Over is 18-7 in Yankees last 25 Sunday games.
Over is 27-11-2 in Yankees last 40 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 49-24-3 in Yankees last 76 road games.
Under is 4-0 in Tanaka’s last 4 starts on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts overall.
Under is 6-1-1 in Tanaka’s last 8 Sunday starts.
Under is 5-1 in Tanaka’s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 12-5-1 in Tanaka’s last 18 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Tanaka’s last 10 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 overall.
Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 13-3 in Red Sox last 16 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 20-9 in Red Sox last 29 games following a loss.
Over is 6-0 in Porcello’s last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Porcello’s last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Porcello’s last 6 Sunday starts.
Over is 5-1 in Porcello’s last 6 starts vs. American League East.
Over is 5-1 in Porcello’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over is 9-3 in Porcello’s last 12 starts on grass.
Over is 9-3 in Porcello’s last 12 starts overall.
Over is 8-3 in Porcello’s last 11 starts during game 3 of a series.
Under is 5-2 in Porcello’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Porcello’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Red Sox are 5-1 in Porcello’s last 6 home starts vs. Yankees.
Over is 5-1-1 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts vs. Red Sox.
Over is 10-3-1 in the last 14 meetings in Boston.
Over is 3-1-1 in Porcello’s last 5 home starts vs. Yankees.
Over is 3-1-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 road starts vs. Red Sox.
Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
Under is 9-4-2 in Porcello’s last 15 starts vs. Yankees.
