Boston (32-26) at NY Yankees (33-23)
When: Thursday, June 8th 2017
Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: New York -114/8
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The New York Yankees will look to extend their lead in the AL East and also win a series from their bitter rival when they host the Boston Red Sox in the rubber-match of their three-game series on Thursday night. ESPN will have live coverage starting at 7:00 ET. The Sox edged the Yankees 5-4 in the opener, but New York responded in a big way on Wednesday with an 8-0 drubbing and assuring them of keeping first place going into the weekend. Didi Gregorious led the offensive charge last night with a solo-blast, giving him at least a hit in each of the last nine games. Gregorius is 10-for-21 with a home run and five RBIs in his career against left-hander David Price, who gets the start for Boston on Thursday opposite Yankees righty Michael Pineda. Yankees 1B Chris Carter, who doesn’t play every day, is 4-for-8 with a pair of home runs in the series to lift his batting average to .202. Carter drove in a season-high four runs last night while belting his fifth home run. The Red Sox had a three-game winning streak come to an end on Wednesday while being shut out for the fifth time this season. Boston is still just two games behind the Bronx Bombers in the division and are a half a game up on Baltimore. Mookie Betts, who leads the Red Sox with nine homers, is just 4-for-28 over his last seven games.
Pitchers: Red Sox – David Price (1-0, 3.00 ERA) | Yankees – Michael Pineda (6-3, 3.76)
Price has made just two starts this season after recovering from elbow soreness and has looked good in his first two outings. Price allowed two hits in five innings at the Chicago White Sox in his season debut and followed that up by holding the Baltimore Orioles to one run on three hits in seven innings on Saturday. Price went 1-3 with a 7.89 ERA in five starts against New York in his first season with the Red Sox last year.
Pineda is coming off a poor outing at Toronto on Friday, allowing five runs and a season-high 10 hits in five innings. That broke a string of five straight quality starts for the Dominican native. He had allowed three or fewer earned runs in nine straight starts before facing the Blue Jays. Pineda is 4-5 with a 4.73 ERA in 11 career starts against Boston, including 0-2 in four starts last season.
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Price has had his issues with the Yankees in the past and is still working his way back from injury. Pineda failed to pick up a victory in four starts against Boston last season and I can see both of these pitchers struggling tonight. I’m comfortable taking the over in this one.
Pick: Over 8 +100
W/L TRENDS
| Boston |
- Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 11-3 in their last 14 during game 3 of a series.
- Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 11-4 in their last 15 overall.
- Red Sox are 11-4 in their last 15 games on grass.
- Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
- Red Sox are 7-1 in Price’s last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Red Sox are 6-2 in Price’s last 8 starts vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 9-3 in Price’s last 12 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in Price’s last 5 starts.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in Price’s last 5 starts on grass.
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| NY Yankees |
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Yankees are 65-30 in their last 95 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
- Yankees are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Yankees are 8-1 in Pineda’s last 9 starts on grass.
- Yankees are 7-1 in Pineda’s last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Pineda’s last 7 Thursday starts.
- Yankees are 5-1 in Pineda’s last 6 home starts.
- Yankees are 8-2 in Pineda’s last 10 starts.
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OU TRENDS
| Boston |
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-2 in Red Sox last 9 vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-2 in Red Sox last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 8-3 in Red Sox last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Red Sox last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 10-4 in Red Sox last 14 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 12-5 in Red Sox last 17 Thursday games.
- Over is 13-6 in Red Sox last 19 road games.
- Over is 9-0 in Price’s last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 4-0 in Price’s last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Price’s last 4 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Price’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 4-1 in Price’s last 5 road starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Price’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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| NY Yankees |
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 on grass.
- Over is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 13-4 in Yankees last 17 vs. American League East.
- Under is 18-6-3 in Yankees last 27 Thursday games.
- Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 overall.
- Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 home games.
- Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pineda’s last 5 Thursday starts.
- Over is 4-1 in Pineda’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 8-3 in Pineda’s last 11 home starts.
- Over is 5-2 in Pineda’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-2 in Pineda’s last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-2 in Pineda’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-3 in Pineda’s last 10 starts on grass.
- Over is 7-3 in Pineda’s last 10 starts overall.
- Over is 20-9-4 in Pineda’s last 33 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 3-0-1 in Pineda’s last 4 starts vs. Red Sox.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in Price’s last 5 starts vs. Yankees.
- Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in New York.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
- Red Sox are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.
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