Warriors vs Cavaliers Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick – [Game 4]

Golden State (3-0) at Cleveland (0-3)
When: Friday, June 9th 2017
Where: Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, OH
Time: 9:05 ET | TV: ABC
Opening Odds: Golden State -6.5/227

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The Golden State Warriors will go for their second title in three seasons when they try for the four-game sweep of the Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 4 of the NBA Finals on Friday night. The Warriors, who have won a record 15 straight postseason games, received their biggest test in Wednesday’s Game 3 when they came back from six points down with three minutes to go to stun the Cavaliers. Likely Finals MVP Kevin Durant hit the biggest shot of his life with 45 seconds remaining – a three-pointer over LeBron James to give Golden State the lead for good. Durant, who left Oklahoma City in the offseason to chase a ring, scored 14 points in the deciding quarter and coach Steve Kerr was impressed. “He took over. You can tell, he knows that this is his moment. He’s been an amazing player in this league for a long time, and he senses this is his time, his moment, his team.” Durant isn’t the only Warriors player enjoying a strong series as Stephen Curry is averaging 28.7 points, 9.7 rebounds and nine assists in the series, while SG Klay Thompson has broken out of his slump by hitting 10-of-18 from 3-point range in the last two games after managing six points while going 0-of-5 from beyond the arc in Game 1. Golden State has covered the spread in nine of their last 13 Finals contests.

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James and Kyrie Irving did all they could to get Cleveland back in this series just as they did a year ago, but they’re struggling late in games. James’ shooting percentage goes from 70% in the first quarter to below 40% in the fourth during the first three games of this series. James is averaging 32 points on 55.4% shooting overall, 12.3 rebounds and 10.3 assists in the series and Irving adds an average of 27 points, but the rest of the team is nowhere to be found. Kevin Love, who had 27 points in Game 2, went 1-of-9 from the field on Wednesday, including 1-of-7 from 3-point range. Center Tristan Thompson has been invisible this series, producing eight total points on 4-of-11 shooting and is averaging less than four rebounds a game. Shooting guard J.R. Smith had his best game of the series thus far, scoring 16 points on 5-of-10 shooting – all three-pointers. Cleveland came back from down 3-1 in last year’s Finals, but even James knows this Golden State team is different. “It’s the most firepower I’ve played in my career,” James said. “I’ve played against some great teams, but I don’t think no team has had this type of firepower.”

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Cleveland is definitely not going to give up. They improved vastly from the first two games especially in the third quarter, where Golden State ultimately won those first two. I expect James and Irving to be on their games again, while Love will bounce back from his poor Game 3 showing and help the Cavaliers at least keep it close.

Pick: Cavaliers +6

ATS TRENDS

Golden State
  • Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Central.
  • Warriors are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Warriors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games.
  • Warriors are 23-6-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
  • Warriors are 22-6-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up win.
  • Warriors are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Warriors are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a ATS win.
  • Warriors are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Warriors are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 NBA Championship games.
  • Warriors are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Cleveland
  • Cavaliers are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 Friday games.
  • Cavaliers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 NBA Championship games.
  • Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
  • Cavaliers are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Cavaliers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.
  • Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
  • Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Cavaliers are 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Cavaliers are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.
  • Cavaliers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific.

OU TRENDS

Golden State
  • Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 road games.
  • Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 overall.
  • Over is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 Friday games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 15-5 in Warriors last 20 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 vs. NBA Central.
  • Under is 39-17 in Warriors last 56 games playing on 1 days rest.
Cleveland
  • Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 7-2 in Cavaliers last 9 Friday games.
  • Over is 23-8 in Cavaliers last 31 games following a straight up loss.
  • Over is 22-8 in Cavaliers last 30 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 19-7-1 in Cavaliers last 27 home games.
  • Over is 19-7 in Cavaliers last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.
  • Over is 17-7 in Cavaliers last 24 overall.
  • Over is 9-4 in Cavaliers last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 27-12-1 in Cavaliers last 40 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 31-15-1 in Cavaliers last 47 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Warriors are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.

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