Texas (38-37) at Cleveland (39-35)
When: Monday, June 26th 2017
Where: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Cleveland -154/8.5
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The Cleveland Indians will continue their homestand and look to bounce back from a tough weekend when they host the Texas Rangers in the opener of a four-game set on Monday night – Coverage begins at 7:00 on MLB Network. Just when it looked like the Indians turned the corner and re-captured first place in the AL Central, the bats quieted down and now they’re looking up at the Minnesota Twins again. Cleveland was outscored 13-2 while being swept in a three-game series at home by Minnesota over the weekend, pushing the team behind the Twins in the AL Central standings. The Indians now rank near the middle of the league in runs scored (4.66) and batting average (.256). Cleveland began the season with a three-game sweep at Texas, collecting 21 runs in the process. The Rangers had no trouble making contact this past weekend in taking two of three at the New York Yankees, recording 15 runs in wins on Saturday and Sunday. Everyone collected at least one hit on Sunday except for Mike Napoli and Carlos Gomez with the former mired in a 3-for-23 slump over his last eight games. Texas will try to keep it going behind ace Cole Hamels, who will be activated off the disabled list on Monday to face off against Cleveland righty Carlos Carrasco. Rangers OF Nomar Mazara (forearm) and INF Joey Gallo (hamstring) are both day-to-day. We’re coming off a nice win on our MLB Picks with the Cardinals last night.
Pitchers: Rangers – Cole Hamels (2-0, 3.03 ERA) | Indians – Carlos Carrasco (8-3, 2.99)
Hamels will pitch for the first time since April 26th because of a strained oblique but went 1-0 with a 1.04 ERA in two rehab starts. In his first starts this season, Hamels struck out only 15 batters in 32+ innings – well below his career average. He started against Cleveland on April 5th and did not factor in the decision while allowing four runs – three earned – in six innings.
Carrasco is back in a groove and has ERA back below three by winning his last three starts and struck out 10 without walking a batter in six scoreless innings at Baltimore on Wednesday. Carrasco allowed a total of three runs in 17.2 over those three outings and struck out seven in 5.2 innings while surrendering two runs on four hits to earn a win at Texas on April 4th.
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Cleveland has been terrible at home this season (15-20) and only have two runs scored over the last three days. Texas got a confidence-boosting series win at New York over the weekend and come in a hotter team. Hamels was sharp in his rehab stint and I look for him to carry that over to Monday’s start.
Pick: Rangers +155
W/L TRENDS
| Texas |
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Rangers are 9-2 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rangers are 8-2 in their last 10 road games.
- Rangers are 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rangers are 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rangers are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rangers are 8-3 in their last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rangers are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. American League Central.
- Rangers are 11-5 in their last 16 overall.
- Rangers are 11-5 in their last 16 games on grass.
- Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 Monday games.
- Rangers are 7-1 in Hamels’ last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rangers are 13-3 in Hamels’ last 16 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Rangers are 4-1 in Hamels’ last 5 Monday starts.
- Rangers are 6-2 in Hamels’ last 8 starts vs. American League Central.
- Rangers are 35-12 in Hamels’ last 47 starts on grass.
- Rangers are 26-9 in Hamels’ last 35 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Rangers are 37-14 in Hamels’ last 51 starts.
- Rangers are 18-7 in Hamels’ last 25 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rangers are 17-8 in Hamels’ last 25 road starts.
- Rangers are 0-4 in Hamels’ last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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| Cleveland |
- Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 8-3 in their last 11 Monday games.
- Indians are 25-10 in their last 35 vs. American League West.
- Indians are 4-10 in their last 14 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.
- Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Indians are 8-1 in Carrasco’s last 9 starts.
- Indians are 7-1 in Carrasco’s last 8 starts on grass.
- Indians are 4-1 in Carrasco’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Indians are 4-1 in Carrasco’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 4-1 in Carrasco’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Indians are 7-2 in Carrasco’s last 9 home starts.
- Indians are 16-5 in Carrasco’s last 21 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Indians are 6-2 in Carrasco’s last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 19-7 in Carrasco’s last 26 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 8-3 in Carrasco’s last 11 starts vs. American League West.
- Indians are 20-8 in Carrasco’s last 28 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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OU TRENDS
| Texas |
- Under is 9-2 in Rangers last 11 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 8-2 in Rangers last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-2 in Rangers last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 8-2 in Rangers last 10 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 8-2 in Rangers last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-2 in Rangers last 7 Monday games.
- Under is 7-3-1 in Rangers last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 7-3-1 in Rangers last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 14-6-1 in Rangers last 21 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 9-4-1 in Rangers last 14 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Hamels’ last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Hamels’ last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-1 in Hamels’ last 6 road starts.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Hamels’ last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Hamels’ last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 8-2-1 in Hamels’ last 11 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 24-7-2 in Hamels’ last 33 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Hamels’ last 5 Monday starts.
- Over is 15-5-2 in Hamels’ last 22 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-3-1 in Hamels’ last 11 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 33-16-3 in Hamels’ last 52 starts overall.
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| Cleveland |
- Under is 5-0-1 in Indians last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Indians last 6 on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Indians last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 13-5 in Indians last 18 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 26-10-3 in Indians last 39 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 Monday games.
- Under is 7-3-1 in Indians last 11 vs. American League West.
- Under is 34-15-2 in Indians last 51 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 34-15-2 in Indians last 51 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 13-6-1 in Indians last 20 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Carrasco’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Carrasco’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Carrasco’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Carrasco’s last 7 home starts.
- Under is 5-1 in Carrasco’s last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 5-1 in Carrasco’s last 6 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-1 in Carrasco’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Carrasco’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 12-3 in Carrasco’s last 15 starts overall.
- Over is 10-3 in Carrasco’s last 13 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-2 in Carrasco’s last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 6-2 in Carrasco’s last 8 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland.
- Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings.
- Rangers are 9-19 in the last 28 meetings.
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