Kansas City (37-37) at Detroit (33-42)
When: Monday, June 27th 2017
Where: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: FSN Kansas City, FSN Detroit
Opening Odds: Detroit -167/9
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Don’t look now, but the Kansas City Royals are making their way back up the American League Central standings and will battle the Detroit Tigers in the opener of a three-game set beginning Tuesday night at Comerica Park. The Royals have not lost a series since the end of May, when they dropped two of three at home to the Detroit Tigers. The Royals will try to get some revenge and continue their ascent when they take on Justin Verlander on Tuesday. Kansas City was 22-30 at the end of May but is 15-7 this month, including 11 wins in the last 14 games, to pull up to .500 and start putting pressure on the Twins and Indians. Royals SS Alcides Escobar is currently on a seven-game hitting streak and has seen his average come back up to .210. Reliever Mike Minor has allowed a total of one run in his last 10 appearances, covering 11 innings for the Royals. The Tigers are going in the opposite direction down the AL Central, losing eight in a row before snapping out of it with a 7-5 win at San Diego on Sunday. Center fielder Mikie Mahtook drove in the go-ahead runs with a single in the top of the ninth. Star Miguel Cabrera went 1-for-12 over the weekend in pitcher-friendly Petco Park, to drop his batting average to .261. The Royals entered Monday’s action just 2.5 games behind the Twins in the division while the Tigers are seven back.
Pitchers: Royals – Matt Strahm (2-4, 4.80 ERA) | Tigers – Justin Verlander (4-4, 4.52)
Matt Strahm will make just his third start after 22 appearances out of the bullpen and followed up a solid starting debut with a poor effort last time out. Strahm, who allowed a total of one run in his last six relief appearances and scattered three hits over five innings in his first start on June 15th, was blasted for five runs and seven hits in just three innings to suffer a loss against Boston last Tuesday. Strahm allowed one hit in three scoreless innings over two relief appearances against Detroit last month.
Verlander was perfect through five innings at Seattle on Wednesday but came apart in the sixth following a lead-off bunt single to break-up the no-hitter and ended up allowing three runs and four hits while striking out 11 in 5.2 innings. Verlander is winless in his last six starts despite allowing three or fewer earned runs in the last five. Verlander’s lone loss in that span came at Kansas City on May 30th, when he was charged with one run and six hits in seven innings but came out on the wrong end of a 1-0 final.
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I like the way Kansas City is playing right now, but this is a bad pitching matchup tonight. Verlander has been solid lately despite his record and I believe the Tigers’ bats will wake up against the young Strahm. Look for an easy Detroit victory.
Pick: Tigers -1.5 +115
W/L TRENDS
| Kansas City |
- Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games following an off day.
- Royals are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Royals are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Royals are 7-1 in their last 8 road games.
- Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
- Royals are 11-3 in their last 14 overall.
- Royals are 11-3 in their last 14 games on grass.
- Royals are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Royals are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Royals are 17-39 in their last 56 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Royals are 9-22 in their last 31 vs. American League Central.
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| Detroit |
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Tigers are 8-2 in their last 10 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Tigers are 15-6 in their last 21 games following an off day.
- Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.
- Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Tigers are 1-6 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Tigers are 1-6 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Tigers are 1-8 in their last 9 overall.
- Tigers are 1-8 in their last 9 games on grass.
- Tigers are 0-6 in their last 6 Tuesday games.
- Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Tigers are 8-1 in Verlander’s last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Tigers are 6-1 in Verlander’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Tigers are 4-1 in Verlander’s last 5 Tuesday starts.
- Tigers are 16-5 in Verlander’s last 21 home starts.
- Tigers are 15-5 in Verlander’s last 20 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Tigers are 14-5 in Verlander’s last 19 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Tigers are 2-6 in Verlander’s last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Tigers are 1-4 in Verlander’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
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OU TRENDS
| Kansas City |
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 games following a loss.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Royals last 10 road games.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Royals last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1 in Royals last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-2-1 in Royals last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Royals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 10-4-1 in Royals last 15 overall.
- Over is 10-4-1 in Royals last 15 on grass.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Royals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 38-18-3 in Royals last 59 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
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| Detroit |
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 on grass.
- Over is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 Tuesday games.
- Over is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 games following a win.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 home games.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 25-9-1 in Tigers last 35 games following an off day.
- Over is 23-9-1 in Tigers last 33 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 36-15-1 in Tigers last 52 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 4-1 in Verlander’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-1 in Verlander’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Verlander’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Verlander’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 14-5-2 in Verlander’s last 21 home starts.
- Under is 14-5-1 in Verlander’s last 20 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Verlander’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-2 in Verlander’s last 7 starts overall.
- Over is 5-2 in Verlander’s last 7 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 16-7-1 in Verlander’s last 24 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
- Royals are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Detroit.
- Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.
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