LA Angels (44-45) at Texas (41-44)
When: Friday, July 7th 2017
Where: Globe Life Park, Arlington, TX
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: FSN West, FSN Southwest
Opening Odds: Texas -158/10
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Two teams with hopes of ending the first half on a high-note and inching closer to the top of the Wild Card standings meet in Arlington, Texas as the Texas Rangers host the Los Angeles Angels on Friday night. The Angels, who are a game ahead of Texas in the standings and just 2.5 games behind Kansas City for the second AL Wild Card spot, avoided a three-game sweep of the Twins on Wednesday with a 2-1 victory. Los Angeles has struggled to score runs all season even with Mike Trout in the lineup, as they rank 26th in runs scored (4.18), but a solid pitching staff has kept them around the .500 mark. Albert Pujols (.238), who is on pace for a career-worst batting average, became the 40th player in history to reach 2,900 career hits on Wednesday in Minnesota. The Rangers also averted a three-game sweep on Wednesday by beating up the Boston Red Sox 8-2 after Boston had scored 18 runs in the first two victories of the series. The Rangers, unlike L.A., haven’t had any problems scoring, ranking sixth in runs scored (5.05) despite having a 27th-worst .240 batting average – their 130 home runs rank them 4th in the league. The only regular hitting over .300, Elvis Andrus (.301) will most likely miss at least Friday’s game while on the paternity list. The teams have split their six meetings this season with each team taking two out of three on the road.
Pitchers: Angels – Ricky Nolasco (4-9, 4.42 ERA) | Rangers – Cole Hamels (3-0, 4.12)
Ricky Nolasco appeared on the verge of being yanked from the rotation after losing seven consecutive starts but has turned things around with consecutive solid outings. He threw 6.1 scoreless innings at the Los Angeles Dodgers on June 26th for his first victory since April 27th and followed that up by going the distance in a three-hit shutout against Seattle.
Cole Hamels will make his third start since returning from a seven-week stay on the disabled list. He was hit hard in his first return start, giving up seven runs on eight hits over 4.1 innings after he was staked to a seven-run lead. He was much better last time out at the Chicago White Sox, allowing two runs on only two hits over 6.2 innings and not walking a batter. Pujols has homered three times against Hamels but is 6-for-36 overall against him. Hamels is 2-1 with a 2.93 ERA in six career starts against the Angels, including seven innings of one-run ball in a no-decision at Los Angeles on April 11th.
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I’m not a believer in Nolasco after just two consecutive solid outings. The Rangers should be able to hit him pretty good tonight and Hamels will improve even more in his third start back. Look for Texas to roll in this one.
Pick: Rangers -1.5 +125
W/L TRENDS
| LA Angels |
- Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day.
- Angels are 6-2 in their last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Angels are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Angels are 21-8 in their last 29 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
- Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Angels are 8-22 in their last 30 Friday games.
- Angels are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Angels are 2-7 in their last 9 games following a win.
- Angels are 2-8 in their last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Angels are 4-1 in Nolasco’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Angels are 4-1 in Nolasco’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Angels are 1-4 in Nolasco’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Angels are 2-9 in Nolasco’s last 11 starts on grass.
- Angels are 1-5 in Nolasco’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Angels are 2-10 in Nolasco’s last 12 starts.
- Angels are 1-6 in Nolasco’s last 7 road starts.
- Angels are 1-6 in Nolasco’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Angels are 0-9 in Nolasco’s last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Angels are 0-5 in Nolasco’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
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| Texas |
- Rangers are 13-4 in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rangers are 9-4 in their last 13 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rangers are 39-19 in their last 58 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Rangers are 2-6 in their last 8 overall.
- Rangers are 2-6 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rangers are 1-6 in their last 7 games following a win.
- Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Rangers are 6-0 in Hamels‘ last 6 Friday starts.
- Rangers are 12-1 in Hamels’ last 13 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rangers are 24-4 in Hamels’ last 28 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rangers are 6-1 in Hamels’ last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rangers are 7-2 in Hamels’ last 9 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rangers are 20-6 in Hamels’ last 26 home starts.
- Rangers are 10-3 in Hamels’ last 13 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rangers are 13-4 in Hamels’ last 17 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Rangers are 16-5 in Hamels’ last 21 starts vs. American League West.
- Rangers are 38-14 in Hamels’ last 52 starts.
- Rangers are 26-10 in Hamels’ last 36 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Rangers are 10-4 in Hamels’ last 14 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Rangers are 36-15 in Hamels’ last 51 starts on grass.
- Rangers are 19-8 in Hamels’ last 27 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
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OU TRENDS
| LA Angels |
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 Friday games.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 games following a win.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 40-14-1 in Angels last 55 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 9-4-1 in Angels last 14 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Nolasco’s last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 11-2 in Nolasco’s last 13 road starts.
- Under is 11-2 in Nolasco’s last 13 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Nolasco’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 5-1 in Nolasco’s last 6 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-1 in Nolasco’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-2-1 in Nolasco’s last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Nolasco’s last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 19-7-1 in Nolasco’s last 27 starts overall.
- Under is 18-7-1 in Nolasco’s last 26 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-2 in Nolasco’s last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Nolasco’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
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| Texas |
- Over is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 11-3 in Rangers last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Rangers last 5 games following an off day.
- Under is 8-3-1 in Rangers last 12 Friday games.
- Over is 8-3 in Rangers last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-2 in Rangers last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Rangers last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Hamels’ last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Hamels’ last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Hamels’ last 8 starts vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Hamels’ last 8 home starts.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Hamels’ last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Hamels’ last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 9-2-1 in Hamels’ last 12 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 12-3-1 in Hamels’ last 16 starts on grass.
- Over is 25-7-2 in Hamels’ last 34 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 7-2 in Hamels’ last 9 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-2 in Hamels’ last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 33-15-3 in Hamels’ last 51 starts overall.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Texas.
- Over is 4-1 in Hamels’ last 5 starts vs. Angels.
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