Week 13 NFL Preview
November 28 2007
NFL Betting
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49ers (3-8, 3-7-1) at Panthers (4-7 SU&ATS)
The Panthers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games and 0-5 this year. They’ve covered the spread 12 of 15 times against the 49ers and 5 of 7 at home. They’ve been UNDER 8 of 11 games and 4 of 5 at home. The 49ers have been OVER ten straight times after allowing 450 YDS or more the previous game. They’re 13-2 ATS against division rivals and 1-7 ATS on grass.
Jets (2-9, 2-7-2) at Dolphins (0-11, 4-4-3)
The series between these two teams have been UNDER 10 of 15 times. The Dolphins haven’t covered the spread in their first four home games. The Jets are 1-4 ATS on the road and when playing inter-divisional play their 0-3 ATS. Through four straight meetings they’ve covered 11 of 15.
Bills (5-6, 6-4-1) at Redskins (5-6, 4-5-2)
When facing teams with a losing record the Redskins have lost their last seven ATS. At home they are 1-3 ATS and they lost 47 of 66 as home favorites. The Redskins have been UNDER in their last 11 of 12 when out gunning their opponent by 200 YDS. The Bills are averaging 15pts a game and just 10pts on the road.
Lions (6-5, 6-4-1) at Vikings (5-6, 4-5-2)
The Lions have dropped six straight ATS during the second half of the season when facing teams with a losing record. They’re 2-9 as road dogs by 7pts or less. Their 12 of 13 when being outgained by 100 YDS or less and they’ve covered 13 of 16 off a double-digit loss. The Vikings have won 13 of 15 when playing the Lions at home and 8-7 SU. When they met for the first time this year the Vikings came up short as 3pt road dogs, 20-17. The last 9 of 13 meeting between the two, in Minnesota, have been UNDER. The Vikings have been UNDER in their last nine straight games after a double-digit win and they’ve won seven straight after a road win. When the Viking are 3pt home favorites the UNDER is 15-3.
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Buccaneers (7-4, SU&ATS) at Saints (5-6, 4-7)
The Bucs have been UNDER in 18 of 22 on the road after gaining less than 4 YDS the previous game. The Saints have been OVER 7 times when playing opponents with winning records. After a two game road trip the UNDER has been 23 of 32. They’re 9 for 11 at home, as favorites, and their 38-55 ATS in N.O. When playing at home in December the Saints are 25-36. The Bucs are 5-6 ATS at New Orleans, and the visitors have the upper hand 12-4-1. They’re 0-7 ATS when winning 5-6 ATS.
Broncos (5-6, 3-8) at Raiders (3-8, 4-7)
The Raiders are 10-27 ATS against losing teams during the second half of the season. They’re 8-20 as home dogs and they’ve lost 10 straight in December spread decisions. The last 12 meetings between the two 9 games have been UNDER and the Broncos have been OVER in 9 of 11 games this year. The Raiders have been UNDER in 13 of 16 against divisional rivals and 7 straight at home after a road loss.
Bengals (4-7, 4-6-1) at Steelers (8-3, 6-5)
The Steelers are 2-7-1 ATS against the Bengals when favored by 6 1/2 pts or more. The last 11 times these two have met, the home team has lost 10 times. The Steelers are UNDER 7 of 9 times when these two teams meet in Pittsburgh. The Bengals covered 7 of 8 divisional road games and 6 of last 9 as road dogs of 6pts or less. The Steelers were 1pt favorites the last time they met and they won 24-13.
Texans (5-6, 4-6-1) at Titians (6-5, 5-6)
When the Titians are 3 to 7pt home favorites they are 9-22. When these two met for the first time this year the Texans were 1pt home dogs and lost, 38-36. The Titians went 4-1 ATS. On the road the Texans have dropped 9 of 14 spread decisions. The 4 of 5 last meetings have been OVER the posted total. The Titians have been UNDER when the total posted has been between 42 ½ and 49.
Jaguars (8-3, 7-4) at Colts (9-2, 6-3-2)
The Jags are 4-1 ATS when on the road and they’ve lost 14 of 17 after winning two straight as favorites. They were OVER in 4 of 5 on the road. When the Jags win 4-5 out of 6 they‘ve won their next game nine times. The Colts are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 against teams with winning records. The Colts won the first meeting in Jacksonville 29-7.
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Chargers (6-5, SU&ATS) at Chiefs (5-6, 6-5)
The Chargers lost, 30-16, as 12pts favorites to the Chiefs the first time they met this year. They’ve lost 4 of 5 ATS on the road. The Chiefs have won 12 of 15 meetings against the Chargers at home and the home team is 7-1-1 in their last 8 meetings. The Chargers have been OVER in their first 5 road games and 10 of 11 when the total was set between 35 ½ and 42.
Patriots (11-0, 9-1-1) at Ravens (4-7, 1-9-1)
The Ravens are 29-11 ATS at home against non-divisional teams. The Patriots are 13-4 ATS after allowing 28pts or more.
Browns (7-4, 8-2-1) at Cardinals (5-6, 7-3-1)
The Browns are UNDER in 16 of 20 in a domed stadium and they have been OVER in 9 of 10 games this year. When they are road dogs of 7pts or less they’re 16-30. When the Cardinals score 25pts or more in two games the OVER is 10 of 11. After a home loss the Cardinals are 16 of 22.
Seahawks (7-4, 6-4-1) at Eagles (5-6, 6-5)
The Eagles have lost 4 of 5 ATS at home. They’ve been UNDER in 13 of 16 after scoring 28pts or more. On the road against non-divisional teams the Seahawks have been OVER 19-11-1. They’ll be looking to cover four in a row for the first time in 10 years.
Packers (10-1, 9-2) at Cowboys (10-1, 3-1)
The Green Bay Packers are one of the surprising teams in the NFL. The last two seasons the Packers are 10-2 against the Cowboys, as the road dogs. When scoring seven points or less the Packers are 8-1. When Dallas is playing at home against teams in the NFC North they’re 15-5 ATS and they’ve won eight straight. Since 2004 the Cowboys are 7-8 against the Packers. When scoring 28pts or more the previous game the Cowboys are 2-13 ATS. The Packers have won 12 of 16 last road games after winning four or more straight spread wins. The Cowboys are 18 of 23 at home after winning SU three or more times.
Falcons (3-8, 6-5) at Rams (2-9 SU&ATS)
The Rams have lost five straight and nine of their last eleven at home. They’ve been under in their last seven out of ten. The Falcons have covered 3 of 4 on the road despite averaging just 11pts a game. In their last five road games they slipped UNDER five times and when playing non-conference teams on the road their 17 of 22.
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