Thursday’s NHL Hockey Free Picks & Predictions [12/11/25]

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Trends are through 12/10/25 and courtesy of Don Best Sports.


Tampa Bay at New Jersey – 7:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Lightning are 5-0 in their last 5 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.
Hot: Lightning are 5-0 in their last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.
Hot: Lightning are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Devils are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
Cold: Devils are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
Cold: Devils are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Devils last 8 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 6-1-1 in Devils last 8 games following a win.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Lightning last 6 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in Lightning last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Devils last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Lightning last 5 vs. Metropolitan.

Pick: Devils +113


Montreal at Pittsburgh – 7:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Penguins are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Canadiens are 7-2 in their last 9 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.
Canadiens are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Cold: Penguins are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
Canadiens are 11-41 in their last 52 Thursday games.
Canadiens are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Canadiens last 5 vs. Metropolitan.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Penguins last 5 vs. Atlantic.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Canadiens last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 9-1-1 in Penguins last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Over is 12-3-2 in Canadiens last 17 vs. Eastern Conference.
Hot: Over is 8-2-3 in Penguins last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.

Pick: Penguins -115


Ottawa at Columbus – 7:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Blue Jackets are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Senators are 6-2 in their last 8 Thursday games.
Blue Jackets are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. Atlantic.
Cold: Blue Jackets are 0-6 in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
Cold: Senators are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
Cold: Blue Jackets are 1-4 in their last 5 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Senators last 4 road games.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Senators last 7 overall.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Senators last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Senators last 5 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Senators last 9 vs. Metropolitan.
Over is 18-6 in Senators last 24 vs. Eastern Conference.

Pick: Blue Jackets +102


Carolina at Washington – 7:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Capitals are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Hot: Capitals are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.
Hot: Hurricanes are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Cold: Capitals are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Cold: Hurricanes are 1-6 in their last 7 games following a win.
Hurricanes are 2-5 in their last 7 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0-2 in Hurricanes last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Capitals last 5 vs. Metropolitan.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Hurricanes last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Hurricanes last 4 games following a win.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Hurricanes last 4 vs. Metropolitan.
Hot: Under is 2-0-2 in Capitals last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.

Pick: Capitals -105


Anaheim at NY Islanders – 7:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Islanders are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Islanders are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Pacific.
Hot: Islanders are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Islanders are 5-1 in their last 6 Thursday games.
Ducks are 54-147 in their last 201 vs. a team with a winning record.
Islanders are 5-13 in their last 18 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 8-0 in Ducks last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Ducks last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Ducks last 5 games following a win.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Ducks last 4 overall.
Hot: Over is 8-1-1 in Islanders last 10 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 8-1 in Islanders last 9 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Pick: Islanders -120


Vegas at Philadelphia – 7:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Flyers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Flyers are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Golden Knights are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Cold: Golden Knights are 1-5 in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
Cold: Golden Knights are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Golden Knights are 3-7 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-2 in Golden Knights last 7 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Flyers last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Golden Knights last 6 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 14-3-1 in Golden Knights last 18 vs. Metropolitan.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Flyers last 5 vs. Pacific.
Under is 7-2 in Flyers last 9 vs. Western Conference.

Pick: Flyers +130


San Jose at Toronto – 7:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Maple Leafs are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
Hot: Maple Leafs are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Maple Leafs are 7-2 in their last 9 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Cold: Sharks are 8-44 in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cold: Sharks are 12-57 in their last 69 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.
Sharks are 22-83 in their last 105 road games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 8-0 in Sharks last 8 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 6 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0-2 in Maple Leafs last 6 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Maple Leafs last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Sharks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Under is 3-0-2 in Maple Leafs last 5 games following a win.

Pick: Maple Leafs -1.5 +125


Boston at Winnipeg – 8:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Bruins are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Hot: Bruins are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Jets are 45-17 in their last 62 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cold: Jets are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Jets are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Cold: Jets are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 3-0-2 in Jets last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Under is 2-0-2 in Jets last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Bruins last 8 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 10-2 in Bruins last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Bruins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in Jets last 6 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Pick: Jets -150


St Louis at Nashville – 8:07 ET

Win/Loss
Predators are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
Cold: Predators are 0-6 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Cold: Blues are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Cold: Blues are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a home loss of 3 or more goals.
Cold: Blues are 1-5 in their last 6 Thursday games.
Predators are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. Central.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Predators last 6 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Blues last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Blues last 4 vs. Western Conference.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Predators last 4 home games.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Predators last 4 vs. Western Conference.
Hot: Over is 6-1-1 in Predators last 8 overall.

Pick: Predators -113


Dallas at Minnesota – 8:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Stars are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Stars are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Hot: Wild are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.
Cold: Wild are 1-4 in their last 5 Thursday games.
Stars are 3-8 in their last 11 Thursday games.
Stars are 3-8 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Wild last 6 overall.
Hot: Under is 10-1-1 in Wild last 12 vs. Western Conference.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Wild last 8 home games.
Hot: Under is 5-1-1 in Stars last 7 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Wild last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Wild last 6 games following a win.

Pick: Wild +124


Florida at Colorado – 9:37 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Avalanche are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. Atlantic.
Hot: Panthers are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Panthers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Avalanche are 43-11 in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cold: Panthers are 1-4 in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
Panthers are 2-6 in their last 8 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Avalanche last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 7-1-1 in Avalanche last 9 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Panthers last 7 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation.
Hot: Under is 8-2-1 in Panthers last 11 vs. Central.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 vs. Western Conference.

Pick: Avalanche -1.5 +110


Detroit at Edmonton – 9:07 ET

Win/Loss
Hot: Red Wings are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Red Wings are 16-5 in their last 21 vs. Pacific.
Cold: Red Wings are 2-9 in their last 11 Thursday games.
Cold: Oilers are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Oilers are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Cold: Red Wings are 1-4 in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Oilers last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Over is 8-1-1 in Oilers last 10 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 5-1-1 in Red Wings last 7 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 4-1-1 in Red Wings last 6 vs. Western Conference.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Red Wings last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Red Wings last 5 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation.

Pick: Oilers -1.5 +120


Buffalo at Vancouver – 10:07 ET

Win/Loss
Canucks are 20-7 in their last 27 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.
Sabres are 8-3 in their last 11 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.
Cold: Canucks are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Canucks are 1-6 in their last 7 home games.
Cold: Canucks are 1-5 in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.
Cold: Canucks are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0-1 in Canucks last 7 following a home loss of 3 or more goals.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Canucks last 6 overall.
Hot: Over is 3-0-2 in Canucks last 5 following a loss of 3 or more goals.
Hot: Over is 3-0-2 in Sabres last 5 vs. Pacific.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Canucks last 4 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 11-2-1 in Canucks last 14 vs. Eastern Conference.

Pick: Canucks +106