Pittsburgh (35-40) at St Louis (33-40)
When: Sunday, June 25th 2017
Where: Busch Stadium, St Louis, MO
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: St Louis -151/9
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The St. Louis Cardinals, who have already clinched their first losing month since last June, look to avoid a three-game sweep at the hands of the Pittsburgh Pirates on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball at Busch Stadium. St. Louis swept a home series against the Pirates while posting a 12-12 record in April and followed that up by going 13-13 in May despite winning nine of its first 12 that month. June has not been so kind to the Cardinals, however, and the pitching is to blame for most of it. St. Louis dropped to 8-15 in June following Saturday’s 7-3 setback – the 10th time this month it has surrendered at least six runs. It was the Cardinals eighth loss in 11 games. Pittsburgh, on the other hand has won nine of 14 and guaranteed themselves a series win at a place where they had dropped seven straight prior to Friday’s victory. Saturday’s result marked the first time in five meetings this season the outcome was decided by more than one run. Both teams are launching the ball out of the park as St. Louis has homered in a season-high 13 consecutive games, while Pittsburgh has gone deep at least once in a season-best nine straight. Pirates second baseman Josh Harrison, who has been hit by a pitch in five of his last six games and a major league-leading 16 times overall this year, has reached base safely in 20 consecutive road games. Get your free Thoroughbred winners before the SNB game.
Pitchers: Pirates – Chad Kuhl (2-6, 5.46 ERA) | Cardinals – Mike Leake (5-6, 3.03)
Chad Kuhl has endured a rough season, but ended a 12-start winless streak on Tuesday at Milwaukee, allowing two runs and seven hits while striking out six in five innings of work. Kuhl hasn’t worked past the fifth inning in any of his last 11 outings, although he has fared much better on the road (1-2, 3.45 ERA) than at home (1-4, 7.36). Kuhl took the loss in one of his best starts of the season on April 18th at St. Louis, giving up two runs and three hits over six innings.
Mike Leake broke out of a slump on Tuesday at Philadelphia, but received a no-decision despite allowing one run and three hits over six innings of an 8-1 victory. That ended a four-start losing streak for Leake, who was 5-2 with a 1.91 ERA through nine starts before posting a 6.20 ERA over his next four prior to Tuesday. Leake has fared well in 29 career starts against the Pirates, going 10-5 with a 3.29 ERA – mostly as a member of the Reds.
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Leake has struggled over the last month, but he’s a much better option than Kuhl right now. St. Louis won’t want to be swept by their NL Central-rivals, so look for them to hit Kuhl early and often. With a line under -150, it’s worth taking the Cardinals.
Pick: Cardinals -142
W/L TRENDS
| Pittsburgh |
- Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Pirates are 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Pirates are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Pirates are 4-1 in Kuhl’s last 5 Sunday starts.
- Pirates are 7-3 in Kuhl’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Pirates are 2-5 in Kuhl’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Pirates are 1-4 in Kuhl’s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Pirates are 2-8 in Kuhl’s last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Pirates are 1-4 in Kuhl’s last 5 starts.
- Pirates are 1-4 in Kuhl’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Pirates are 1-6 in Kuhl’s last 7 road starts.
|
| St. Louis |
- Cardinals are 42-20 in their last 62 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
- Cardinals are 7-17 in their last 24 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Cardinals are 6-16 in their last 22 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 3-8 in their last 11 overall.
- Cardinals are 3-8 in their last 11 games on grass.
- Cardinals are 5-16 in their last 21 vs. National League Central.
- Cardinals are 3-11 in their last 14 games following a loss.
- Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Cardinals are 3-13 in their last 16 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 home games.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in Leake’s last 5 Sunday starts.
- Cardinals are 1-4 in Leake’s last 5 starts.
- Cardinals are 1-4 in Leake’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Cardinals are 3-13 in Leake’s last 16 home starts.
- Cardinals are 1-6 in Leake’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 0-5 in Leake’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Cardinals are 0-4 in Leake’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Cardinals are 0-5 in Leake’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
|
OU TRENDS
| Pittsburgh |
- Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Pirates last 7 games following a win.
- Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 9-3 in Pirates last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Pirates last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 Sunday games.
- Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Kuhl’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Kuh’ls last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 6-2 in Kuhl’s last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 6-2 in Kuhl’s last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
|
| St. Louis |
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 15-5-1 in Cardinals last 21 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 33-14-4 in Cardinals last 51 Sunday games.
- Over is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 overall.
- Over is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 on grass.
- Over is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Leake’s last 4 Sunday starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Leake’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Leake’s last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Leake’s last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Leake’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 4-1 in Leake’s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 7-2 in Leake’s last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 10-3 in Leake’s last 13 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 9-3 in Leake’s last 12 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 9-3 in Leake’s last 12 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Leake’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in St. Louis.
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in Leake’s last 5 starts vs. Pirates.
- Pirates are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings.
- Pirates are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in St. Louis.
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