Pittsburgh (33-38) at Milwaukee (38-35)
When: Wednesday, June 21st 2017
Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: ROOT Pittsburgh, FSN Wisconsin
Opening Odds: Milwaukee -151/9.5
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The Pittsburgh Pirates look to continue their offensive surge and gain a series win when they take on the Milwaukee Brewers in the third game of a four-game set on Wednesday night at Miller Park. Andrew McCutchen is tormenting the Brewers over the first two games of this series, homering and driving in three runs for the second consecutive night as Pittsburgh rolled to a 7-3 victory on Tuesday – its eighth victory in the last nine meetings with the Brewers. McCutchen, who has hit 30 career homers against Milwaukee, has gone 5-for-8 in the series to continue a strong month in which he is batting .406 with six HRs and 19 RBIs in 64 at-bats. He has gone deep five times in his last seven games and has nine multi-hit performances this month while increasing his batting average 45 points to .268. Milwaukee has scored just six runs over its last three games and needs to win the next two in order to gain a series split. Eric Thames has struck out seven times in nine hitless at-bats in the series and is 0 for his last 12. The only Brewer really hitting lately is utility infielder Eric Sogard, who is 13-for-32 with four walks during his eight-game hitting streak. Milwaukee reportedly signed reliever Tom Wilhelmsen, who was released by Arizona on Monday, to a minor-league contract and he will join Triple-A Colorado Springs later this week.
Pitchers: Pirates – Trevor Williams (3-3, 5.16 ERA) | Brewers – Junior Guerra (1-1, 2.84)
Trevor Williams will try to turn things around after allowing eight runs in nine innings over his last two starts, but has escaped with a pair of no-decisions. Prior to those two outings, Williams was terrific against the New York Mets, allowing just one run and seven hits over seven innings of an 11-1 victory on June 4th. Williams, who has made one career relief appearance against Milwaukee, is 3-2 with a 4.94 ERA in seven road games (four starts) this season.
Junior Guerra has also struggled lately, walking 11 batters over 17 innings during a three-start winless stretch. He did not factor in the decision against San Diego in his last outing, when he allowed four runs – three earned – on two hits (both homers) and four walks over six innings. Guerra is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA in four career appearances (three starts) against the Pirates.
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I have more confidence in Guerra turning things around than Williams here tonight. Guerra will find the strike zone tonight and the Brewers bats will com alive against Williams. For more MLB Free Picks, visit our Facebook page.
Pick: Brewers -120
W/L TRENDS
| Pittsburgh |
- Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Pirates are 6-14 in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Pirates are 3-8 in their last 11 Wednesday games.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Williams’ last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Pirates are 5-1 in Williams’ last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Pirates are 4-1 in Williams’ last 5 road starts.
- Pirates are 4-1 in Williams’ last 5 starts.
- Pirates are 4-1 in Williams’ last 5 starts on grass.
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| Milwaukee |
- Brewers are 12-2 in their last 14 during game 3 of a series.
- Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 Wednesday games.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 4-10 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Guerra’s last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 5-1 in Guerra’s last 6 Wednesday starts.
- Brewers are 9-2 in Guerra’s last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 2-5 in Guerra’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Brewers are 2-5 in Guerra’s last 7 home starts.
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OU TRENDS
| Pittsburgh |
- Under is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 overall.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 on grass.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 7-2 in Pirates last 9 road games.
- Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 23-11-1 in Pirates last 35 Wednesday games.
- Over is 43-21-2 in Pirates last 66 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Williams’ last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Williams’ last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Williams’ last 5 road starts.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Williams’ last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Williams’ last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
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| Milwaukee |
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 Wednesday games.
- Over is 18-7-1 in Brewers last 26 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 overall.
- Over is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 20-8-3 in Brewers last 31 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 on grass.
- Over is 12-5-1 in Brewers last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 20-9-2 in Brewers last 31 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-0 in Guerra’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 4-1 in Guerra’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-2 in Guerra’s last 9 starts vs. National League Central.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Under is 15-5-2 in the last 22 meetings.
- Pirates are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
- Pirates are 23-63 in the last 86 meetings in Milwaukee.
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