Indians vs Orioles Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick – [6/22/17]

Cleveland (38-32) at Baltimore (35-36)
When: Thursday, June 22nd 2017
Where: Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Cleveland -120/10

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The red-hot Cleveland Indians will look for the series win over a struggling Baltimore Orioles when they meet in the finale of a four-game set on Thursday night. Leading the surge for Cleveland has been the sizzling hitting of Jose Ramirez, who is the reigning AL Player of the Week. He recorded a pair of singles in Wednesday’s 5-1 victory, improving to 23-for-42 with three homers, seven RBIs and 12 runs scored during his nine-straight multi-hit efforts. Ramirez is now tied with Tris Speaker (1920), Riggs Stephenson (1924) and Roy Hughes (1936) for the franchise record of consecutive multi-hit games. He is 7-for-15 with three runs scored in the series, but 0-for-3 against Thursday starter Wade Miley. Pitching has been a cause for concern in Baltimore, which has surrendered at least five runs in 18 consecutive games – two shy of the major league mark set by Philadelphia in 1924. The Orioles have dropped 10 of their last 14 overall to drop under .500, although Adam Jones is 4-for-11 in the series and has hit safely in five straight games and nine of his last 10. Cleveland will be going for their eighth win in nine games. Francisco Lindor has broken out of an 0-for-11 skid with back-to-back two RBI performances for the Tribe.

Pitchers: Indians – Mike Clevinger (2-3, 3.89 ERA) | Orioles – Wade Miley (3-4, 4.29)

Mike Clevinger will once again be recalled from Triple-A Columbus to make the start on Thursday. He is coming off a four-inning stint in a doubleheader at Minnesota on Saturday in which he allowed one run on two hits in a no-decision versus the Twins. Clevinger didn’t fare well in his last outing versus Baltimore, allowing four runs on as many hits with three walks in four innings of a no-decision in May of 2016.

Miley will look to turn the fortunes of the entire rotation around on Thursday including his own. He has surrendered six runs on as many hits in consecutive outings, but was able to walk away with the victory on Saturday after laboring through 5.2 innings of a 15-7 victory versus St. Louis. Miley allowed two homers and walked four against the Cardinals, marking the third time in the last eight outings that he has issued that many free passes.

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I can not take a team that gives up five runs every game for 3 weeks. Cleveland is on a roll right now and the line is very generous. Take it and don’t look back. We also have a prediction in tonight’s Cubs/Marlins game.

Pick: Indians -125

W/L TRENDS

Cleveland
  • Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 4 of a series.
  • Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
  • Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 games on grass.
  • Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
  • Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win.
  • Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Indians are 27-9 in their last 36 Thursday games.
  • Indians are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Indians are 2-5 in Clevingers last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Indians are 2-6 in Clevingers last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Indians are 1-4 in Clevingers last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Indians are 0-5 in Clevingers last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Baltimore
  • Orioles are 62-29 in their last 91 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Orioles are 27-13 in their last 40 home games.
  • Orioles are 6-13 in their last 19 games following a loss.
  • Orioles are 4-10 in their last 14 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Orioles are 4-10 in their last 14 overall.
  • Orioles are 4-10 in their last 14 games on grass.
  • Orioles are 3-9 in their last 12 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Orioles are 5-16 in their last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Orioles are 3-13 in their last 16 vs. American League Central.
  • Orioles are 5-1 in Mileys last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Orioles are 5-1 in Mileys last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Orioles are 4-1 in Mileys last 5 home starts.
  • Orioles are 4-1 in Mileys last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Orioles are 5-2 in Mileys last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

OU TRENDS

Cleveland
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Indians last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in Indians last 7 vs. American League East.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Indians last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 during game 4 of a series.
  • Under is 16-5-1 in Indians last 22 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 overall.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Indians last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 on grass.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 12-4-2 in Indians last 18 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 20-7-3 in Indians last 30 road games.
  • Under is 37-16-6 in Indians last 59 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 32-15-4 in Indians last 51 games following a win.
  • Under is 34-16-2 in Indians last 52 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 7-1 in Clevingers last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Clevingers last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 7-2 in Clevingers last 9 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 10-3 in Clevingers last 13 starts on grass.
  • Under is 10-3 in Clevingers last 13 starts overall.
  • Under is 5-2 in Clevingers last 7 road starts.
Baltimore
  • Over is 7-0-1 in Orioles last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 10-1-1 in Orioles last 12 games following a loss.
  • Over is 9-1-1 in Orioles last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-1-1 in Orioles last 9 home games.
  • Over is 6-1-1 in Orioles last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 13-3-1 in Orioles last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Orioles last 6 on grass.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Orioles last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Orioles last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 10-3-1 in Orioles last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 10-4-2 in Orioles last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 33-16-2 in Orioles last 51 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 4-0 in Mileys last 4 starts on grass.
  • Over is 4-0 in Mileys last 4 starts overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in Mileys last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Mileys last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Under is 8-1-1 in the last 10 meetings in Baltimore.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Indians are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings.
  • Indians are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Baltimore.

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