Philadelphia (1-1) at NY Mets (1-1)
When: Tuesday, October 8th 2024
Where: Citi Field,
Flushing, NY
Time: 5:08 ET | TV: FS1
Opening Odds: Philadelphia -112/7.5
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Phillies vs Mets Recent Meetings
| Date | Home/Away | H Starter | A Starter | Line | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/6/24 | PHI 7 - NYM 6 | C. Sanchez | L. Severino | -135/8.5 | O |
| 10/5/24 | PHI 2 - NYM 6 | Z. Wheeler | K. Senga | -164/7 | O |
| 9/22/24 | NYM 2 - PHI 1 | T. Megill | Z. Wheeler | 122/7 | U |
| 9/21/24 | NYM 6 - PHI 3 | S. Manaea | R. Suarez | -107/7.5 | O |
| 9/20/24 | NYM 2 - PHI 12 | D. Peterson | C. Sanchez | 112/7.5 | O |
| 9/19/24 | NYM 10 - PHI 6 | L. Severino | T. Walker | -137/8 | O |
| 9/15/24 | PHI 2 - NYM 1 | C. Sanchez | D. Peterson | -129/8.5 | U |
| 9/14/24 | PHI 6 - NYM 4 | K. Allard | L. Severino | -114/9 | O |
| 9/13/24 | PHI 3 - NYM 11 | A. Nola | J. Quintana | -150/8 | O |
| 6/9/24 | PHI 5 - NYM 6 | T. Walker | J. Quintana | -142/11.5 | U |
| 6/8/24 | NYM 2 - PHI 7 | S. Manaea | R. Suarez | 138/9.5 | U |
| 5/16/24 | PHI 5 - NYM 6 x | T. Walker | J. Quintana | -131/8.5 | O |
| 5/15/24 | PHI 10 - NYM 5 | R. Suarez | J. Lucchesi | -190/7.5 | O |
| 5/14/24 | NYM 0 - PHI 4 | J. Butto | A. Nola | 106/7.5 | U |
| 5/13/24 | NYM 4 - PHI 5 x | S. Manaea | C. Sanchez | -115/7 | O |
| 2023 Season | |||||
| 10/1/23 | NYM 1 - PHI 9 | J. Butto | M. Strahm | -115/8.5 | O |
| 9/30/23 | NYM 11 - PHI 4 | J. Quintana | M. Plassmeyer | -128/8 | O |
| 9/30/23 | NYM 4 - PHI 3 | T. Megill | T. Walker | -100/8 | U |
| 9/24/23 | PHI 5 - NYM 2 | C. Sanchez | J. Butto | -168/9 | U |
| 9/23/23 | PHI 7 - NYM 5 | Z. Wheeler | J. Quintana | -175/7.5 | O |
Aaron Nola L10 Starts
| Date | vs | S/R | Res | Score | IP | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | P | P/IP | GB:FB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/29/24 | @ WAS | S | W | 6-3 | 5.0 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 96 | 19.2 | 6.00 |
| 9/23/24 | CHC | S | W | 6-2 | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 102 | 17.0 | 1.25 |
| 9/18/24 | @ MIL | S | ND | 1-2 | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 97 | 13.9 | 2.00 |
| 9/13/24 | NYM | S | L | 3-11 | 4.1 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 90 | 20.8 | 4.00 |
| 9/7/24 | @ MIA | S | L | 5-9 | 4.2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 101 | 21.6 | .00 |
| 9/1/24 | ATL | S | ND | 3-2 | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 100 | 16.7 | .75 |
| 8/27/24 | HOU | S | W | 5-0 | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 102 | 14.6 | .50 |
| 8/21/24 | @ ATL | S | ND | 3-2 | 5.1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 100 | 18.8 | 4.50 |
| 8/16/24 | WAS | S | ND | 3-2 | 6.2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 111 | 16.6 | .67 |
| 8/10/24 | @ AZ | S | L | 1-11 | 5.0 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 88 | 17.6 | .00 |
Sean Manaea L10 Starts
| Date | vs | S/R | Res | Score | IP | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | P | P/IP | GB:FB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/2/24 | @ MIL | S | ND | 3-5 | 5.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 86 | 17.2 | 1.50 |
| 9/27/24 | @ MIL | S | L | 4-8 | 3.2 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 91 | 24.8 | 1.33 |
| 9/21/24 | PHI | S | W | 6-3 | 7.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 89 | 12.7 | .75 |
| 9/16/24 | WAS | S | ND | 2-1 | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 85 | 12.1 | 8.00 |
| 9/11/24 | @ TOR | S | ND | 6-2 | 6.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 109 | 16.3 | 1.25 |
| 9/6/24 | CIN | S | ND | 6-4 | 6.2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 97 | 14.5 | 3.00 |
| 9/1/24 | @ CHW | S | W | 2-0 | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 96 | 13.7 | .57 |
| 8/27/24 | @ AZ | S | W | 8-3 | 6.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 103 | 15.4 | .25 |
| 8/21/24 | BAL | S | ND | 4-3 | 7.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 12.9 | 4.00 |
| 8/16/24 | MIA | S | W | 7-3 | 7.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 106 | 15.1 | 2.25 |
Prediction
The pivotal Game 3 of this NLDS series shits to the Big Apple on Tuesday night and the offenses are heating up. New York has already scored 6 runs in each of the first two games and they own Aaron Nola. He has a 5.60 ERA in his last four starts against the Mets and that includes a complete game shutout. You can just imagine how the other three starts went. Philly’s offense woke up in the middle of Game 2 and now have some confidence heading to New York. The Over is 10-1-1 in Philadelphia’s last 12 games overall and 12-3 in New York’s last 15 playoff games. This is a wide-open series now and I think both teams feel comfortable at the plate. I’ll take the Over.
Pick: OVER 7 -115
