New England (7-2) vs Oakland (4-5)
When: Sunday, November 19th 2017
Where: Estadio Azteca, Mexico City, Mexico
Time: 4:25 ET | TV: CBS
Opening Odds: New England -5/50
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The New England Patriots will look to keep pace with the Pittsburgh Steelers in the AFC when they take on the Oakland Raiders from Mexico City on Sunday afternoon. Oakland is just trying to get back into the playoff race as they enter the week one-game behind Buffalo for the final AFC slot. The Raiders are coming off a bye and will be play their third-straight against an AFC East opponent after getting crushed in Buffalo 34-14, then squeaking by Miami 27-24 prior to the bye. New England came off their bye last week and crushed the Denver Broncos in Mile High and decided to stay there all week in order to adapt to the altitude in Mexico City. The teams have met only four times in the past 12 years, with the Patriots winning each including 16-9 in 2014.
Tom Brady continues to defy ago, throwing for 19 touchdowns to only two interceptions this season after a 266-yard, three-score performance against Denver that earned him his second AFC Offensive Player of the Week award in 2017. Tight end Rob Gronkowski has five touchdown catches and at least one reception of 22 yards in seven straight games while Brandin Cooks has 26 catches during the five-game winning streak. New England has rotated a number of running backs and ranks near the middle of the pack in rushing offense, but Dion Lewis appears to have taken the lead role with double-digit carries in each of the past four games and has scored twice in that span. The defense, which still ranks dead-last in the league in yards allowed (408.3), has improved dramatically, not allowing more than 17 points in the past five games.
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The Raiders offense failed to score more than 17 points during a four-game losing streak after a 2-0 start, but quarterback David Carr has led them back with 1,030 yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions over the last three games – two wins. Marshawn Lynch, whose last game against New England ended with a rush to the 1-yard line in Super Bowl XLIX before the clinching interception while with Seattle, returned from a one-game suspension to rush for 57 yards and two TDs in a 27-24 win at Miami. Amari Cooper has also broken out of a slump and has been targeted 38 times over the last three games, resulting in 20 receptions for 314 yards and is clearly Carr’s favorite weapon. The Raiders need to put more pressure on the quarterback as they are tied for last in sacks (13) and have yet to record an interception. Reigning Defensive Player of the Year Khalil Mack has recorded just a half a sack over the last five games.
If you can’t get pressure on Brady, you’re dead. This one has blowout written all over it. The Patriots are clicking now on both offense and defense, while the Raiders are struggling even against bad teams. I don’t see how Oakland keeps up with New England in this one.
Pick: Patriots -6.5
- Patriots are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Patriots are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
- Patriots are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
- Patriots are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 11.
- Patriots are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.
- Patriots are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
- Patriots are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 vs. AFC.
- Patriots are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Patriots are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Patriots are 78-38-2 ATS in their last 118 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.
- Raiders are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Raiders are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Raiders are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games in Week 11.
- Raiders are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Raiders are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
- Raiders are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Raiders are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Raiders are 1-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Raiders are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Raiders are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Patriots last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
- Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 9-2 in Patriots last 11 games on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games overall.
- Over is 6-2 in Patriots last 8 vs. AFC.
- Over is 6-2 in Patriots last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 47-18 in Patriots last 65 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-3 in Patriots last 10 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 7-3 in Patriots last 10 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 20-5-3 in Raiders last 28 games in November.
- Over is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 games overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 vs. AFC.
- Over is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 20-7-1 in Raiders last 28 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 22-8-1 in Raiders last 31 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 16-6-1 in Raiders last 23 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Raiders last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 11-5 in Raiders last 16 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 13-6-2 in Raiders last 21 games in Week 11.
- Over is 37-18 in Raiders last 55 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
