NY Jets (4-1) at New England (5-0)
When: Sunday, October 25th 2015
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Time: 1:00 ET | TV: CBS
The top ranked defense in the NFL will try and slow down Tom Brady and the New England Patriots on Sunday afternoon. The New York Jets only allow 269 yards a game to their opponents while limiting them to just 15 points per game. New York quietly sits at 4-1 just a game behind the Patriots in the AFC East. With all the talk about how good their defense is, the offense has performed very well behind a strong running game. Chris Ivory leads that number 1 ranked rushing attack with 460 yards in four games, four touchdowns and a nice 5.5 yards a carry. Ryan Fitzpatrick hasn’t been spectacular, but he doesn’t need to be with the defense holding opponents down and Ivory running. Brandon Marshall has found a groove with his new team and has four straight 100 yards receiving games. Erick Decker only has 18 receptions on the year, but four of them are touchdowns. After today, the Jets don’t play anyone else on their schedule who is currently over .500 except the Patriots again.
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The Patriots will need to find a way to slow down the Jets running game. New England allows 114 yards a game on the ground, which is 22nd in the NFL. Overall, they allow 355 yards a game to their opponents. They have allowed 21 or more points in three of their five games so far including 27 last week in a win over the Colts. Offensively, there’s no problem. Brady and company have scored more points than any other team in the league and are averaging 422 yards of offense a game. Their average margin of victory this season is 16 points. In addition to wide receiver Julian Edelman, who has 40 catches and four TD’s, and tight end Rob Gronkowski (5 touchdowns), Brady may see the return of another key weapon on Sunday in the form of Brandon LaFell. The wideout came off the PUP list and could be active for the first time. Last year, he had 74 receptions, 953 yards and seven touchdowns. LeGarrette Blount rushed for season-best total of 93 yards with a pair of scores last week, but was held to zero yards on five carries against the Jets last November 9th in his final game as a Pittsburgh Steeler.
This line started out at Patriots -9, but has been bet down to 7.5. I think the Jets have a legitimate shot at winning this game. They always play New England tough and their defense and running game this year are terrific.
Pick: Jets +7.5
