Cleveland (81-63) at Tampa Bay (79-64)
When: Tuesday, September 11th 2018
Where: Tropicana Field,
St Petersburg, Florida
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: STO, FS Sun
Opening Odds: Cleveland -117/8
It maybe too late for the Tampa Bay Rays to make it to the postseason, but they are the hottest team in baseball right now. Tampa Bay seeks their 13th straight home victory when they continue their three-game series with the Cleveland Indians on Tuesday night at Tropicana Field. In dramatic fashion Monday, Ji-Man Choi blasted a two-run homer with two outs in the bottom of the ninth inning gave the Rays a 6-5 victory in the series opener, breaking their franchise record for consecutive home wins in the process. Former Cardinal Tommy Pham extended his hitting streak to 14 games (24-for-59) with two singles, including one in the ninth that set up Choi’s heroics. The Rays won their fourth straight game – scoring 38 runs in that span – and 17th in the last 20 overall to get within 7.5 games of the American League’s second wild card spot. Cleveland has stumbled in three of their last four, but their magic number to clinch the AL Central sits at four. Former American League MVP third baseman Josh Donaldson, who was acquired in a trade from Toronto on August 31st, is set to make his Cleveland debut Tuesday. Indians reliever Andrew Miller (shoulder) struck out two in a scoreless inning Monday after being activated from a two-week stint on the disabled list and will be a key factor in Cleveland’s postseason run.
Pitchers: Indians – Shane Bieber (9-3, 4.63 ERA) | Rays – Tyler Glasnow (1-5, 4.64)
Shane Bieber has been roughed-up in his last four outings, allowing 15 runs in 23.1 innings, but his record in that span is 3-1, thanks to some very generous offensive support by his teammates (27 runs in his last three victories). Bieber allowed four across 6.1 innings at Toronto in his last start, and pitched five scoreless innings before surrendering four runs against the Rays on September 1st.
Tyler Glasnow has made seven starts since coming over from Pittsburgh at the trade deadline, and is coming off his worst outing of the season. He allowed seven runs over two-thirds of an inning at Toronto last Wednesday after the strong start at Cleveland prior. Glasnow gave up one run in four of his seven starts since being acquired, but has yet to earn a victory. He has a 3.75 ERA in three games at Tropicana Field this year.
The Indians appear to be sleep-walking through the rest of the season, while the Rays are playing like a team possessed. Bieber has not been good and the hot-hitting Rays should be able to take advantage of that.
Pick: Rays +102
BETTING TRENDS:
- Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 Tuesday games.
- Indians are 17-6 in their last 23 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Indians are 21-8 in their last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Indians are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.
- Indians are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
- Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Indians are 4-0 in Bieber’s last 4 road starts.
- Indians are 5-1 in Bieber’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 4-1 in Bieber’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Indians are 4-1 in Bieber’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Indians are 4-1 in Bieber’s last 5 starts.
- Indians are 6-2 in Bieber’s last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 5-2 in Bieber’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rays are 8-2 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rays are 17-5 in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 20-6 in their last 26 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rays are 16-5 in their last 21 games following a win.
- Rays are 16-5 in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Rays are 22-7 in their last 29 overall.
- Rays are 40-13 in their last 53 games on astroturf.
- Rays are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 9-3 in their last 12 Tuesday games.
- Rays are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rays are 37-14 in their last 51 home games.
- Rays are 38-15 in their last 53 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rays are 37-18 in their last 55 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rays are 39-19 in their last 58 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Rays are 1-4 in Glasnow’s last 5 starts.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Indians last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Indians last 4 Tuesday games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Indians last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Indians last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 9-2-2 in Indians last 13 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Indians last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 19-7 in Indians last 26 on astroturf.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Bieber’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Bieber’s last 4 starts overall.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Bieber’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Bieber’s last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Bieber’s last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Bieber’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 on astroturf.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games following a win.
- Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Rays last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-1-2 in Rays last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 22-8-1 in Rays last 31 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 19-7 in Rays last 26 Tuesday games.
- Over is 7-3 in Rays last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-3 in Rays last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Glasnow’s last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Tampa Bay.
- Indians are 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Tampa Bay.
- Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.
- Indians are 15-7 in the last 22 meetings.
