LA Dodgers (15-9) at Chicago Cubs (10-10)
When: Tuesday, April 23rd, 2019
Where: Wrigley Field,
Chicago, Illinois
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Chicago -114
The Los Angeles Dodgers and Chicago Cubs met in the 2017 NLCS and if they keep playing like they have been recently, they may just meet in the postseason this October. Both teams enter this three-game series at Wrigley Field with momentum after the Dodgers took three of four in Milwaukee over the weekend, while the Cubs are 3-0-1 in their last four series after taking two of three from Arizona at home. The Dodgers, who lead the NL West by 2.5 games over the San Diego Padres and Diamondbacks, have won seven of eight overall after a six-game losing streak and are in the middle of a seven-game road trip. L.A. has been doing it with the long ball all season, but the defense saved the day on Sunday, as Cody Bellinger robbed Christian Yelich of a potential third home run of the game in the eighth inning, then homered in the ninth to propel the Dodgers to a 6-5 win in Milwaukee. The Cubs got a walk-off single from David Bote Sunday to give them a 2-1 win and their pitching staff has turned it around after an ugly 1-6 start, allowing one run or fewer in four of the last five games.
Pitchers: Dodgers – Kenta Maeda (3-1, 3.80 ERA) | Cubs – Jose Quintana (2-1, 3.43)
Kenta Maeda has a decision in all four starts this season (3-1) and has benefited from a ton of run support. The Dodgers are averaging 9.0 runs a game in his four turns and his coming off his best outing of the season last time out. Maeda limited the Cincinnati Reds to one run and four hits over 6.2 innings. L.A. won both games he started against the Cubs last season – 4-3 and 2-1.
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Jose Quintana has made three starts and has been brilliant in his last two after allowing eight runs, eight hits, and three home runs in three innings of work at Milwaukee on April 5th. Since then, Quintana has yet to allow a run over 14 innings of work while striking out 18 with just one walk. He is winless in three starts against the Dodgers despite allowing only three earned runs over 19.1 innings.
The Dodgers have issues against left-handed pitchers (.196 AVG last 10 games) and Quintana is not a guy they really want to face right now. He’s been money in his last two outings and the Cubs’ bullpen has been a lot better recently. Chicago’s offense hasn’t been spectacular, but they’ll get just enough off Maeda to get the win here.
Bobby Babowski has 2 free predictions on his Free MLB Picks page for Tuesday. He is 41-29 on the season after a 6-1 run!
Pick: Cubs -110
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BETTING TRENDS:
Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League Central.
Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 games on grass.
Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win.
Dodgers are 14-5 in their last 19 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Dodgers are 19-7 in their last 26 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Dodgers are 32-14 in their last 46 during game 1 of a series.
Dodgers are 38-18 in their last 56 games following an off day.
Dodgers are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Dodgers are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Dodgers are 2-5 in Maeda’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Dodgers are 2-7 in Maeda’s last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cubs are 3-8 in their last 11 games following an off day.
Cubs are 3-9 in their last 12 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 starts vs. National League West.
Cubs are 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
Cubs are 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 Tuesday starts.
Cubs are 11-4 in Quintana’s last 15 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 19-7 in Quintana’s last 26 home starts.
Cubs are 5-2 in Quintana’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 13-6 in Quintana’s last 19 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 0-5 in Quintana’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-0 in Dodgers last 7 games following a win.
Under is 8-1 in Dodgers last 9 overall.
Under is 8-1 in Dodgers last 9 on grass.
Under is 8-1 in Dodgers last 9 vs. National League Central.
Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games following an off day.
Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 10-3 in Dodgers last 13 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 6-2 in Dodgers last 8 Tuesday games.
Over is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 7-3-1 in Dodgers last 11 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 16-7-1 in Dodgers last 24 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 6-1-2 in Maeda’s last 9 Tuesday starts.
Under is 6-1 in Maeda’s last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 4-1-1 in Maeda’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 4-1 in Maeda’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 6-2-1 in Maeda’s last 9 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Maeda’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 12-5-1 in Maeda’s last 18 starts on grass.
Under is 12-5-1 in Maeda’s last 18 starts overall.
Over is 17-8 in Maeda’s last 25 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 overall.
Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games following a win.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. National League West.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 20-7 in Cubs last 27 home games.
Under is 18-7-1 in Cubs last 26 Tuesday games.
Over is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 games following an off day.
Under is 32-15 in Cubs last 47 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-0 in Quintana’s last 4 Tuesday starts.
Under is 4-0-1 in Quintana’s last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
Under is 5-0 in Quintana’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 8-1 in Quintana’s last 9 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Quintana’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Quintana’s last 5 home starts.
Over is 6-2-1 in Quintana’s last 9 starts vs. National League West.
Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Chicago.
Under is 27-10-1 in the last 38 meetings.
