LA Dodgers (3-2) at Milwaukee (2-3)
When: Friday, October 19th 2018
Where: Miller Park,
Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Time: 8:35 ET | TV: FS1
Opening Odds: Los Angeles -120/8
The Milwaukee Brewers are trying to prevent the Los Angeles Dodgers from celebrating a National League Championship on their home field and must win the next two games to avoid that. With the Brewers trailing 3-1 in their best-of-seven NLCS, Game 6 and possibly 7 will be at Miller Park on Friday night as lefty Wade Miley starts for the second straight game against L.A.’s Hyun-Jin Ryu. The Dodgers have been using some solid pitching to come back from a two games to one deficit and get within one victory of their second straight World Series appearance. Ace Clayton Kershaw shut down the Brewers in Game 5 with eight solid innings and reliever Pedro Baez has thrown 6.2 scoreless innings and allowed a total of two hits with 10 strikeouts in six postseason appearances. Milwaukee’s big bats have gone cold including probably NL MVP Christian Yelich, who is 3-for-20 without an extra-base hit in the series. Los Angeles has limited the Brewers to a total of three runs in 22 innings in the last two wins. Milwaukee managed to get through Game 5 without using relievers Josh Hader, Corey Knebel or Jeremy Jeffress, and all three should be ready to go Friday.
Pitchers: Dodgers – Hyun-Jin Ryu (1-0, 1.59 ERA) | Brewers – Wade Miley (0-0, 0.00)
Ryu was terrific in his lone start against Atlanta in the NLDS, throwing seven scoreless innings to earn a win but struggled in Game 2 of this series at Milwaukee. Ryu allowed two runs on six hits over 4.1 innings before being lifted. He did not allow more than two runs in any of his last five starts going back to the regular season and has yet to allow more than three earned runs on the season.
Miley was basically a decoy in Game 5, starting the game but pitching to just one batter – a walk to Cody Bellinger – before being replaced by right-hander Brandon Woodruff in a move designed to give Milwaukee a matchup advantage. Miley dominated Los Angeles and Ryu in Game 2, scattering two hits over 5.2 innings without factoring in the decision. With a rested bullpen, expect Miley to be on a short leash again.
The Dodgers have the Brewers right where they want and if Milwaukee’s bats don’t start hitting, it’s over. They got to Ryu in Game 2, but I think the South Korean comes back strong and pitches like he’s been all season and leads the Dodgers back to the World Series.
Pick: Dodgers -115
BETTING TRENDS:
- Dodgers are 11-3 in their last 14 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 20-7 in their last 27 overall.
- Dodgers are 20-7 in their last 27 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 19-7 in their last 26 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
- Dodgers are 15-6 in their last 21 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. National League Central.
- Dodgers are 7-3 in their last 10 League Championship games.
- Dodgers are 36-16 in their last 52 Friday games.
- Dodgers are 35-16 in their last 51 games following an off day.
- Dodgers are 78-36 in their last 114 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 13-6 in their last 19 games following a win.
- Dodgers are 96-45 in their last 141 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 107-51 in their last 158 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 4-12 in their last 16 League Championship road games.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in Ryu’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in Ryu’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Ryu’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Ryu’s last 5 starts.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Ryu’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 2-5 in Ryu’s last 7 Friday starts.
- Dodgers are 2-11 in Ryu’s last 13 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 8-0 in their last 8 games following an off day.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 48-16 in their last 64 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Brewers are 25-9 in their last 34 Friday games.
- Brewers are 19-7 in their last 26 games following a loss.
- Brewers are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. National League West.
- Brewers are 21-8 in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Brewers are 45-18 in their last 63 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 12-5 in their last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 playoff home games.
- Brewers are 40-18 in their last 58 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 22-10 in their last 32 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Brewers are 52-25 in their last 77 home games.
- Brewers are 35-17 in their last 52 overall.
- Brewers are 35-17 in their last 52 games on grass.
- Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 League Championship games.
- Brewers are 4-1 in Miley’s last 5 home starts.
- Brewers are 8-2 in Miley’s last 10 starts.
- Brewers are 8-2 in Miley’s last 10 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 League Championship games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 playoff games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 Friday games.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 road games.
- Under is 7-2-1 in Dodgers last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-2 in Dodgers last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-1-2 in Dodgers last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 playoff road games.
- Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 League Championship road games.
- Over is 5-2-3 in Dodgers last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Ryu’s last 4 road starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Ryu’s last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 6-1 in Ryu’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Ryu’s last 5 Friday starts.
- Under is 13-6-1 in Ryu’s last 20 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 League Championship games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 playoff games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games following a loss.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 Friday games.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 League Championship home games.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Brewers last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 7-3 in Brewers last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 13-6 in Brewers last 19 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Miley’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Miley’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Miley’s last 5 starts vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Miley’s last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Miley’s last 7 home starts.
- Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.
- Dodgers are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
