Diamondbacks vs Rockies Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick – [6/20/17]

Arizona (44-26) at Colorado (46-26)
When: Monday, June 20th 2017
Where: Coors Field, Denver, CO
Time: 8:40 ET | TV: FSN Arizona, ROOT Rocky Mountain
Opening Odds: Colorado -112/12.5

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The most entertaining division in baseball will take center stage this week as the Arizona Diamondbacks visit the Colorado Rockies in a three-game set beginning Monday night at Coors Field. Arizona comes in with a slim half-game lead over the Los Angeles Dodgers and one over Colorado as those three teams occupy the top three spots in the National League. Colorado is on a five-game winning streak but is merely the second-hottest team in the bunch, with the Diamondbacks coming into the series 5-0 on its current eight-game road trip and riding a string of seven consecutive wins and 10 of 11 overall. Arizona was doing all of their damage at home (26-9), while struggling on the road, but the recent streak has put them at 18-17 away from Chase Field and a serious contender in the West race. The Rockies nearly had their winning streak come to an end on Sunday before Nolan Arenado completed a cycle with a walk-off home run in a 7-5 win over the San Francisco Giants. Rockies SS Trevor Story is 5-for-9 with two home runs in the last three games, but reliever Jake McGee has allowed three earned runs in two innings over his last three appearances, lifting his ERA from 1.32 to 2.15. Diamondbacks CF A.J. Pollock (groin) began a minor-league rehab assignment on Saturday and is expected to stay at Triple-A Reno this week as he increases his playing time.

Pitchers: Diamondbacks – Zack Greinke (8-3, 3.00 ERA) | Rockies – German Marquez (5-3, 4.19)

Arizona ace Zack Greinke will look to turn things around as he’s failed to make it through six innings in either of his last two starts and was charged with five unearned runs on five hits and two walks over 5.2 innings at Detroit last Tuesday. Greinke boasts 104 strikeouts in 90 total innings and is limiting opponents to a .222 batting average overall. Greinke has been good in a pair of starts against Colorado this season, going 1-0 while allowing a total of five runs in 13 innings and striking out 16.

German Marquez has also been struggling of late, failing to make it through six innings in any of his last four starts but is coming off a win at Pittsburgh on Wednesday in which he allowed one run and four hits in five innings. Marquez has allowed one or no earned runs in five of his last seven starts. He struck out eight in six scoreless innings at Arizona on April 30th but was not as sharp against the Diamondbacks on May 5th, yielding five runs in six innings.

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Both teams are playing with a lot of confidence, but I have to give the edge to Greinke in this one. Arizona had not been playing well on the road and we know what the Rockies can do at Coors, but it appears the D’Backs are learning how to win anywhere. This should be a great series and a possible October preview, but I’m taking Greinke and the snakes in this one. We also have another play tonight in the Angels/Yankees contest.

Pick: Diamondbacks +105

W/L TRENDS

Arizona
  • Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
  • Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day.
  • Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
  • Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League West.
  • Diamondbacks are 17-5 in their last 22 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 20-6 in their last 26 games following a win.
  • Diamondbacks are 16-5 in their last 21 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Diamondbacks are 23-8 in their last 31 overall.
  • Diamondbacks are 23-8 in their last 31 games on grass.
  • Diamondbacks are 19-7 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Diamondbacks are 20-8 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series.
  • Diamondbacks are 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 15-41 in their last 56 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Greinke’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Greinke’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Greinke’s last 4 Tuesday starts.
  • Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Greinke’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 7-1 in Greinke’s last 8 starts.
  • Diamondbacks are 7-1 in Greinke’s last 8 starts on grass.
  • Diamondbacks are 14-3 in Greinke’s last 17 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Diamondbacks are 13-6 in Greinke’s last 19 road starts.
  • Diamondbacks are 2-5 in Greinke’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Colorado
  • Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Rockies are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
  • Rockies are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Rockies are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
  • Rockies are 10-1 in their last 11 games following a win.
  • Rockies are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Rockies are 9-3 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.
  • Rockies are 18-6 in their last 24 games following an off day.
  • Rockies are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Rockies are 20-7 in their last 27 vs. National League West.
  • Rockies are 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Rockies are 4-0 in Marquez’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Rockies are 6-1 in Marquez’s last 7 starts.
  • Rockies are 6-1 in Marquez’s last 7 starts on grass.
  • Rockies are 0-4 in Marquez’s last 4 starts vs. National League West.

OU TRENDS

Arizona
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 vs. National League West.
  • Over is 21-5-1 in Diamondbacks last 27 games following an off day.
  • Over is 7-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 games following a win.
  • Under is 10-3 in Diamondbacks last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 6-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 Tuesday games.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Over is 8-3-1 in Diamondbacks last 12 overall.
  • Over is 8-3-1 in Diamondbacks last 12 on grass.
  • Over is 7-3-1 in Diamondbacks last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 32-14-1 in Diamondbacks last 47 road games.
  • Over is 45-21-3 in Diamondbacks last 69 during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 2-0-2 in Greinke’s last 4 Tuesday starts.
  • Under is 4-1 in Greinke’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 4-1 in Greinke’s last 5 road starts.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in Greinke’s last 8 starts on grass.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in Greinke’s last 8 starts overall.
  • Over is 5-2 in Greinke’s last 7 starts vs. National League West.
Colorado
  • Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games following an off day.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 Tuesday games.
  • Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 8-2-2 in Rockies last 12 during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 3-1-2 in Rockies last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Rockies last 5 games following a win.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Rockies last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 5-2 in Rockies last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 5-2-2 in Rockies last 9 home games.
  • Over is 5-2-1 in Rockies last 8 vs. National League West.
  • Under is 7-3-2 in Rockies last 12 overall.
  • Under is 7-3-2 in Rockies last 12 on grass.
  • Under is 4-0 in Marquez’s last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in Marquez’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Marquez’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
  • Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Colorado.

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