Milwaukee (1-1) at LA Dodgers (1-1)
When: Monday, October 15th 2018
Where: Dodger Stadium,
Los Angeles, California
Time: 7:35 ET | TV: FS1
Opening Odds: Los Angeles -163/7
Los Angeles Dodgers’ third baseman Justin Turner redeemed himself in a big way in Game 2 of the NLCS when he smashed the go-ahead two-run home run to prevent his team from going down 2-0 against the Milwaukee Brewers in their best-of-seven series. The Dodgers took Game 2 by a 4-3 margin after Turner went 0-for-5 with four strikeouts in the 6-5 setback in the opener. Game 3 is set for Monday night back in Los Angeles with Brewers ace Jhoulys Chacin on the mound to take on rookie sensation Walker Buehler. Milwaukee pitchers have really helped themselves at the plate this series, going 3-for-4 including a Brandon Woodruff homer in Game 1. Yasiel Puig is 0-for-5 in the series and 3-for-14 without an RBI in the postseason and has just one dinger since September 19th. Milwaukee went 2-2 in four games at Dodger Stadium during the regular season, including a 21-5 loss in their last visit.
Pitchers: Brewers – Jhoulys Chacin (1-0, 0.00 ERA) | Dodgers – Walker Buehler (0-0, 9.00)
Chacin has come up big in his last two games including the tiebreaker game against the Cubs on October 1st, then followed that up with five scoreless frames against the Rockies in an NLDS victory. Chacin suffered through his worst start of the season at Dodger Stadium on August 2nd when he was tagged for nine runs – eight earned – on five hits and four walks over 4.1 innings.
Buehler allowed five runs on two hits and three walks in his postseason debut at Atlanta during the NLDS. The rookie right-hander lost his lone start against Milwaukee in the regular season despite allowing one run over seven innings. Buehler was terrific at home, going 4-3 with a 1.93 ERA and 84 strikeouts across 74.2 innings at Dodger Stadium in 2018.
Buehler was great all season, but got roughed-up in his first postseason start and has a lot of pressure on him. I can’t lay -165 against this Brewers lineup who’s helped them win 12 of their last 13 games. Chacin has looked really good and is not fazed by the big stage and has plenty of experience pitching at Dodger Stadium.
Pick: Brewers +155
BETTING TRENDS:
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 7-0 in their last 7 games following an off day.
- Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Brewers are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 road games.
- Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 Monday games.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 playoff games.
- Brewers are 18-6 in their last 24 games following a loss.
- Brewers are 19-7 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 29-11 in their last 40 vs. National League West.
- Brewers are 21-9 in their last 30 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Brewers are 35-17 in their last 52 overall.
- Brewers are 35-17 in their last 52 games on grass.
- Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 League Championship games.
- Brewers are 2-6 in their last 8 playoff road games.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Chacin’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Chacin’s last 4 starts.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Chacin’s last 4 starts on grass.
- Brewers are 6-1 in Chacin’s last 7 road starts.
- Brewers are 5-1 in Chacin’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-1 in Chacin’s last 5 starts vs. National League West.
- Brewers are 4-1 in Chacin’s last 5 Monday starts.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 9-0 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Dodgers are 9-0 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 Monday games.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 playoff home games.
- Dodgers are 18-6 in their last 24 overall.
- Dodgers are 18-6 in their last 24 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 18-6 in their last 24 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Dodgers are 17-6 in their last 23 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win.
- Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 League Championship games.
- Dodgers are 37-16 in their last 53 games following an off day.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in Buehler’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in Buehler’s last 5 home starts.
- Dodgers are 1-4 in Buehler’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 8-1 in Brewers last 9 Monday games.
- Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 playoff games.
- Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Brewers last 8 League Championship games.
- Under is 39-19 in Brewers last 58 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Chacin’s last 7 road starts.
- Under is 5-1 in Chacin’s last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Chacin’s last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Chacin’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Chacin’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Dodgers last 5 Monday games.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 playoff home games.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 19-6-1 in Dodgers last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 18-7-1 in Dodgers last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 League Championship games.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 playoff games.
- Under is 7-3-1 in Dodgers last 11 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Under is 17-8-2 in Dodgers last 27 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Buehler’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Buehler’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Buehler’s last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 10-1-1 in Buehler’s last 12 home starts.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Buehler’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Buehler’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Buehler’s last 7 starts overall.
