Milwaukee (83-63) at Chicago Cubs (84-60)
When: Wednesday, September 12th 2018
Where: Wrigley Field,
Chicago, Illinois
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Chicago -144
The Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs are making the National League Central one of the more exciting races as we head into the final few weeks of the regular season. Too bad Wednesday’s contest will represent the last of their season series. The Brewers cut Chicago’s lead to one game with a 3-2 win in the Monday opener, but the Cubs responded by shutting out Milwaukee for the sixth time this season to go back up by two games. The rubber match will represent a two-game swing in the standings. Chicago leads the season series 11-7, but Milwaukee is the hotter team right now, winning seven of their last nine overall. The Brewers managed just three singles Tuesday, but the bright spot was a Christian Yelich walk, extending his on-base streak to 27 games – longest currently in the NL. Chicago’s Kyle Schwarber missed his second consecutive game Tuesday with a tight back and is day-to-day. Two right-handers will square-off in the finale as Chase Anderson opposes Kyle Hendricks.
Pitchers: Brewers – Chase Anderson (9-7, 3.95 ERA) | Cubs – Kyle Hendricks (11-10, 3.71)
Anderson has not recorded a loss in his last nine outings, but has posted only three quality starts over that span. Anderson has pitched to back-to-back no decisions, despite allowing three runs over 10 innings. He is 4-4 with a 2.91 ERA in 10 career starts against the Cubs, including a 1-2 mark this season despite allowing only three runs over 20 innings in three outings.
Hendricks is coming off a no-decision against the Washington Nationals last time out in which he allowed four runs – one earned – over five innings, snapping a streak of three straight quality starts. Still, Chicago has won seven of his last eight starts – a stretch during which he has posted a 2.90 ERA. He is 8-4 with a 2.98 ERA in 18 career outings against the Brewers, including a pair of wins this season.
This is a pretty even pitching matchup here, but I like the Brewers bats to respond after getting shut out. Anderson has really good numbers against the Cubs – something not many pitchers can say.
Pick: Brewers +130
BETTING TRENDS:
- Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 35-16 in their last 51 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 2-5 in Anderson’s last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Brewers are 1-4 in Anderson’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 1-5 in Anderson’s last 6 road starts.
- Brewers are 0-4 in Anderson’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Brewers are 0-4 in Anderson’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Cubs are 22-6 in their last 28 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Cubs are 7-2 in their last 9 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Cubs are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Cubs are 12-4 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 Wednesday games.
- Cubs are 9-4 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series.
- Cubs are 43-21 in their last 64 home games.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Hendricks’ last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Hendricks’ last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Hendricks’ last 4 home starts.
- Cubs are 7-1 in Hendricks’ last 8 starts.
- Cubs are 7-1 in Hendricks’ last 8 starts on grass.
- Cubs are 2-7 in Hendricks’ last 9 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cubs are 1-4 in Hendricks’ last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 Wednesday games.
- Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-2 in Brewers last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 17-5 in Brewers last 22 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 37-17 in Brewers last 54 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 10-2-2 in Anderson’s last 14 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-2 in Anderson’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-2 in Anderson’s last 7 starts overall.
- Under is 9-4-1 in Anderson’s last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 13-6-1 in Anderson’s last 20 road starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 Wednesday games.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 10-3 in Cubs last 13 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 overall.
- Under is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Hendricks’ last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Hendricks’ last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 8-1 in Hendricks’ last 9 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 22-5-1 in Hendricks’ last 28 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 14-5 in Hendricks’ last 19 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 18-7-1 in Hendricks’ last 26 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 36-14-1 in Hendricks’ last 51 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 10-4 in Hendricks’ last 14 Wednesday starts.
- Under is 35-15-1 in Hendricks’ last 51 home starts.
- Under is 36-17 in Hendricks’ last 53 starts on grass.
- Under is 36-17 in Hendricks’ last 53 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Anderson’s last 4 starts vs. Cubs.
- Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Chicago.
- Under is 22-6 in the last 28 meetings.
- Under is 7-2 in Hendricks’ last 9 home starts vs. Brewers.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Anderson’s last 5 road starts vs. Cubs.
- Under is 13-5 in Hendricks’ last 18 starts vs. Brewers.
- Brewers are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Chicago.
