Houston (57-27) at Toronto (39-45)
When: Thursday, July 6th 2017
Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Houston -146/9
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The Houston Astros continue to pour on the offense and have stepped it up even more since the turn of the calendar month. They will seek their 21st win in 24 road contests when they open a four-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. The Astros recorded 41 runs and 57 hits while winning all four games in July so far, capping a two-game interleague sweep of Atlanta with a 10-4 mashing on Wednesday to improve to 30 games over .500. George Springer has gone 9-for-15 with four extra-base hits over the last three games, while All-Star Carlos Correa (thumb), who could return after missing Wednesday’s win, has hit safely in 13 straight games (21-for-50). Evan Gattis has hit safely in eight straight games for Houston while OF Josh Reddick is 12-for-25 with 12 RBIs in his last six starts. Toronto has bounced back from a five-game losing skid by winning the last two of a three-game series against the struggling New York Yankees, as four different players blasted homers in Wednesday’s 7-6 victory – including All-Star Justin Smoak. Jose Bautista is 6-for-13 with four walks during his four-game hitting streak, but teammate Josh Donaldson, who sat out Wednesday, is mired in a 1-for-23 slump. SS Troy Tulowitzki, who has just 19 RBIs in 50 games, went 4-for-9 in the last two contests to raise his batting average to .242. C Miguel Montero went 0-for-4 with a walk and a run scored in his debut with the team on Wednesday.
Pitchers: Astros – Lance McCullers Jr. (7-1, 2.69 ERA) | Blue Jays – Francisco Liriano (4-4, 5.66)
First time All-Star Lance McCullers went unbeaten in May and June, but has struggled recently, failing failing to complete at least six innings in three of his last four starts. McCullers, who has 103 strikeouts on the season in 87 innings, gave up three runs and six hits over 5.1 innings in a no-decision versus the Yankees on Friday. He allowed two runs over 4.2 innings to lose his only career start versus Toronto.
Francisco Liriano allowed five runs in six innings in his last start Saturday against Boston to lose for the second time in three outings and remain at 100 career wins. Liriano is averaging fewer than five innings per start, but he has made it through at least six in three of his last four starts. Gattis is 3-for-6 with a pair of doubles versus Liriano, who is 1-1 with a 4.61 ERA in two career starts against Houston.
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Houston will not slow down against Liriano. Everyone in their lineup is hitting the ball right now and Correa could be back this weekend to add even more punch. The Blue Jays might have some success against McCullers, but it won’t be nearly enough. Houston in a route.
Pick: Astros -1.5 -105
W/L TRENDS
| Houston |
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 Thursday games.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Astros are 21-7 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Astros are 39-14 in their last 53 road games.
- Astros are 16-6 in their last 22 vs. American League East.
- Astros are 42-18 in their last 60 overall.
- Astros are 69-31 in their last 100 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 49-23 in their last 72 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Astros are 35-17 in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Astros are 7-21 in their last 28 games on astroturf.
- Astros are 5-0 in McCullers Jr.’s last 5 road starts.
- Astros are 5-0 in McCullers Jr.’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Astros are 10-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 7-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 8 starts.
- Astros are 4-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 5 Thursday starts.
- Astros are 4-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
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| Toronto |
- Blue Jays are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Blue Jays are 2-7 in their last 9 Thursday games.
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
- Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 games on astroturf.
- Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in Liriano’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Blue Jays are 8-1 in Liriano’s last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 6-1 in Liriano’s last 7 starts on astroturf.
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in Liriano’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in Liriano’s last 6 home starts.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in Liriano’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in Liriano’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 7-2 in Liriano’s last 9 starts.
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in Liriano’s last 5 starts vs. American League West.
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OU TRENDS
| Houston |
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 on astroturf.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-3 in Astros last 10 Thursday games.
- Under is 7-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in McCullers Jr.’s last 6 road starts.
- Under is 13-3 in McCullers Jr.’s last 16 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 21-7 in McCullers Jr.’s last 28 starts overall.
- Under is 5-2 in McCullers Jr.’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
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| Toronto |
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 Thursday games.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Blue Jays last 8 overall.
- Over is 15-6-2 in Blue Jays last 23 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 32-14-5 in Blue Jays last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 6-1 in Liriano’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Liriano’s last 5 starts on astroturf.
- Over is 4-1 in Liriano’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Liriano’s last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-2 in Liriano’s last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 6-2 in Liriano’s last 8 starts overall.
- Under is 7-3 in Liriano’s last 10 home starts.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
- Astros are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto.
- Astros are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.
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