LA Angels (38-39) at Boston (41-32)
When: Saturday, June 24th 2017
Where: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Time: 7:15 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Boston -209/9.5
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Xander Bogaerts looks to continue his torrid hitting as his Boston Red Sox host the Los Angeles Angels in the middle game of a weekend set on Saturday night on FOX TV. Bogaerts drove in his 34th run of the season on the same night the Boston retired David Ortiz’s No. 34 jersey and now has multi-hit games in four of this past five outings. He went 2-for-4 with an RBI double in Friday’s 9-4 victory over Los Angeles and is batting .500 with three home runs and eight RBIs during a five-game hitting streak. Sandy Leon and Hanley Ramirez each blasted two-run homers as Boston won for the fifth time in its last six games at Fenway Park. Boston agreed to a minor-league deal with veteran infielder Jhonny Peralta and claimed pitcher Doug Fister off release waivers from the Angels on Friday. Fister is expected to start in Sunday’s series finale against his former team. The Angels (38-39), who have been around or at .500 for all of June, fell to 2-2 on their eight-game road trip despite recording 10 hits for the 10th time in their last 15 games. Los Angeles is 22-12 against the Red Sox overall since 2012 and 10-7 in its last 17 games in Boston, although the Angels have dropped five of their last six in Fenway Park. Albert Pujols collected one hit in four at-bats on Friday and is batting .315 in 19 career games at Fenway Park.
Pitchers: Angels – JC Ramirez (6-5, 4.59 ERA) | Red Sox – David Price (2-1, 5.14)
JC Ramirez has been terrible in the month of June, compiling a 1-2 record with an 8.53 ERA in four starts after surrendering five runs on five hits and four walks over three innings in a loss to Kansas City on Sunday. Ramirez has failed to pitch more than five innings in three outings during that stretch after going at least six in each of his five May outings (2-1, 2.67). Ramirez will make his first start against the Red Sox, who have managed only three hits against him in four scoreless relief outings.
David Price continues to have control issues but was able to pick up the win on Sunday Night Baseball last week against Houston despite allowing three runs on eight hits (two homers) and three walks while also throwing two wild pitches and hitting a batter in five innings. Price is averaging a career-high 4.5 walks per nine innings, nearly twice as high as his career average (2.3). Pujols is 4-for-22 with two solo homers against Price, who is 5-5 with a 3.26 ERA in 13 starts versus the Angels.
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Both teams bring hot bats and struggling pitchers into this contest. Boston has gone over the total in three of their last four games, while the Angels have beaten the total in five straight. I’m not laying -170 on Price right now, so the over looks like the play tonight.
Pick: Over 10 -110
W/L TRENDS
| LA Angels |
- Angels are 8-1 in their last 9 games following a loss.
- Angels are 17-7 in their last 24 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Angels are 4-0 in Ramirez’s last 4 road starts.
- Angels are 4-0 in Ramirez’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Angels are 5-0 in Ramirez’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Angels are 4-1 in Ramirez’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Angels are 4-1 in Ramirez’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Angels are 8-3 in Ramirez’s last 11 starts.
- Angels are 5-2 in Ramirez’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Angels are 7-3 in Ramirez’s last 10 starts on grass.
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| Boston |
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 home games.
- Red Sox are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. American League West.
- Red Sox are 20-8 in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 Saturday games.
- Red Sox are 17-7 in their last 24 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 35-16 in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win.
- Red Sox are 8-0 in Price’s last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in Price’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 5-1 in Price’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 5-1 in Price’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 5-1 in Price’s last 6 home starts.
- Red Sox are 12-5 in Price’s last 17 starts.
- Red Sox are 11-5 in Price’s last 16 starts on grass.
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OU TRENDS
| LA Angels |
- Over is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 5-0 in Angels last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 8-3-1 in Angels last 12 games following a loss.
- Under is 20-8-3 in Angels last 31 vs. American League East.
- Under is 37-15-1 in Angels last 53 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Ramirez’s last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Ramirez’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Ramirez’s last 6 road starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Ramirez’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-2 in Ramirez’s last 7 starts on grass.
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| Boston |
- Under is 5-1-2 in Red Sox last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Red Sox last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Red Sox last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Red Sox last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Price’s last 5 Saturday starts.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Price’s last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 6-2 in Price’s last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2 in Price’s last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 10-4 in Price’s last 14 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Price’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-2 in Price’s last 7 starts overall.
- Over is 5-2 in Price’s last 7 home starts.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Boston.
- Angels are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Boston.
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