NY Yankees (62-32) at Cleveland (51-43)
When: Sunday, July 15th 2018
Where: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Time: 1:10 ET | TV: TBS
Opening Odds: Cleveland -120/9
The New York Yankees’ offense remains scorching hot during their current 11-game road trip, however, they can’t seem to make-up any ground on the Boston Red Sox in the American League East. New York will go for another series win on Sunday when they take on the Cleveland Indians to conclude the first half of the season. The Yankees’ dominance over the Indians and the rest of the AL Central continued on Saturday with a 5-4 victory thanks to a two-base error on a seventh-inning double by Austin Romine, allowing him to score the eventual game-winning run. The Yankees remained 3.5 games behind Boston, improving to 13-3 against the Central in the process. Didi Gregorius blasted a three-run homer in the win for his second this series after hitting only one over his previous 25 games. Cleveland lost all three games at Yankee Stadium in early May but still was hanging on to a slim division lead until a six-game winning streak at the end of the month propelled them to an eventual 11.5-game lead in the American League Central. The Indians already have lost four games off that lead over the last week and fell for the sixth time in eight tries Saturday. Indians All-Star 3B Jose Ramirez hit his 29th homer to match Mickey Mantle’s record for the most by a switch-hitter before the All-Star break, while catcher Yan Gomes was named to the squad as an injury replacement for Tampa Bay’s Wilson Ramos.
Pitchers: Yankees – Masahiro Tanaka (7-2, 4.68 ERA) | Indians – Trevor Bauer (8-6, 2.23)
Masahiro Tanaka has benefited greatly this season from his team’s run support and will look to bounce-back from a rough outing on Tuesday. The Orioles hit him for three runs over 4.1 innings in the 5-4 setback that Tanaka received a no-decision for. His numbers away from home aren’t good, but has still managed to win all five of his decisions. Tanaka has allowed 12 of his 17 home runs and posted a 4.91 ERA in nine road outings this year. He is 1-1 with a 4.63 ERA in four career starts against Cleveland.
Trevor Bauer has been terrific this season, but his bullpen failed him last time out, failing to hold a four-run lead in the ninth inning against Cincinnati on Tuesday. He struck out at least 10 batters for the eighth time this season and allowed only three singles over eight scoreless innings, but was stuck with a no-decision. The first-time All-Star still wants to pitch in the midsummer classic on Tuesday despite starting on Sunday. He is 6-3 with a 1.84 ERA with 111 strikeouts in 78.1 innings covering his last 11 starts.
This is a pitching mismatch here. Bauer has been one of the more consistent pitchers that nobody is talking about this season. The Yankees have scored five or more run in six-straight games, but I think that streak ends today. I also believe the Indians will hit Tanaka pretty hard and gain a split in this weekend series.
Pick: Indians -131
BETTING TRENDS:
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Yankees are 21-5 in their last 26 vs. American League Central.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Yankees are 11-4 in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 8-3 in their last 11 Sunday games.
- Yankees are 49-19 in their last 68 games on grass.
- Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Yankees are 44-19 in their last 63 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 53-23 in their last 76 overall.
- Yankees are 35-16 in their last 51 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 39-19 in their last 58 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a win.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Yankees are 8-2 in Tanaka’s last 10 starts.
- Yankees are 7-2 in Tanaka’s last 9 road starts.
- Yankees are 17-5 in Tanaka’s last 22 starts vs. American League Central.
- Yankees are 6-2 in Tanaka’s last 8 starts during game 4 of a series.
- Yankees are 20-7 in Tanaka’s last 27 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Yankees are 5-2 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 9-4 in Tanaka’s last 13 Sunday starts.
- Yankees are 44-20 in Tanaka’s last 64 starts on grass.
- Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 Sunday games.
- Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Indians are 42-19 in their last 61 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Indians are 37-17 in their last 54 during game 4 of a series.
- Indians are 63-29 in their last 92 home games.
- Indians are 2-5 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 2-6 in their last 8 overall.
- Indians are 2-6 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League East.
- Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Indians are 4-0 in Bauer’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 6-1 in Bauer’s last 7 starts during game 4 of a series.
- Indians are 5-1 in Bauer’s last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Indians are 6-2 in Bauer’s last 8 home starts.
- Indians are 8-3 in Bauer’s last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 10-4 in Bauer’s last 14 starts vs. American League East.
- Indians are 5-2 in Bauer’s last 7 Sunday starts.
- Indians are 23-11 in Bauer’s last 34 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Yankees last 6 road games.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Yankees last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Yankees last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 20-6-2 in Yankees last 28 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 15-5-3 in Yankees last 23 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 9-3-1 in Yankees last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 21-7-1 in Yankees last 29 games following a win.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 26-10-2 in Yankees last 38 overall.
- Under is 20-8-2 in Yankees last 30 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 Sunday starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 13-4 in Tanaka’s last 17 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 9-3 in Tanaka’s last 12 starts on grass.
- Over is 9-3 in Tanaka’s last 12 starts overall.
- Over is 20-8 in Tanaka’s last 28 road starts.
- Over is 9-4-1 in Tanaka’s last 14 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 9-4 in Tanaka’s last 13 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Indians last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Indians last 6 on grass.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Indians last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Indians last 4 games following a loss.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Indians last 4 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Indians last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Indians last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 8-1 in Indians last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 23-5-2 in Indians last 30 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Indians last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 9-3 in Indians last 12 Sunday games.
- Over is 8-3 in Indians last 11 during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 33-14-4 in Indians last 51 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Bauer’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Bauer’s last 4 starts during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 7-1 in Bauer’s last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 7-1 in Bauer’s last 8 starts overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Bauer’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 5-1 in Bauer’s last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Bauer’s last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 10-4-2 in Bauer’s last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.
- Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.
- Yankees are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.
- Under is 4-1-2 in Bauer’s last 7 starts vs. Yankees.
