Minnesota (35-46) at Milwaukee (49-35)
When: Wednesday, July 4th 2018
Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
Time: 4:10 ET | TV: FS North, FS Wisconsin
Opening Odds: Milwaukee -118/8.5
The Milwaukee Brewers are bashing the ball out of the park lately and look to keep that going Wednesday when they go for a three-game series sweep of the Minnesota Twins at Miller Park. Milwaukee has homered in nine consecutive games for the first time since last August and boast 14 during the streak. The Brewers have won four of five meetings in the season series including Tuesday’s 2-0 shutout to become the first National League team to reach 50 wins and maintaining a one-game lead over the Chicago Cubs in the NL Central. The win clinched a series victory for the Brewers, who had split their previous four. Brewers SS Brad Miller is on an eight-game hitting streak, but he’s just 10-for-28 during it. The Twins are fading fast in the AL Central, dropping 10 of their last 12 games and have just one win on their nine-game road trip that wraps up Wednesday. Minnesota managed only two hits Tuesday, wasting a strong pitching performance from a staff that has struggled to produce them of late. The Twins had allowed six or more runs in nine of their previous 11 games.
Pitchers: Twins – Jose Berrios (8-6, 3.52 ERA) | Brewers – Chase Anderson (6-6, 4.18)
Jose Berrios had allowed a total of our runs in his previous four starts before getting hammered in Wrigley Field last time out, yielding six runs over 4.1 innings in a loss to the Cubs. Berrios also had posted quality starts in seven of his previous eight outings. He’s had his troubles away from Target Field this season, going 2-4 with a 4.93 ERA in seven starts.
Chase Anderson got off to an awful start this season, but is beginning to turn things around, allowing one run or fewer and two or fewer hits in three of his last four starts. That includes his latest outing against the Reds when he allowed one run and two hits over six innings in picking up his sixth win. Anderson hasn’t pitched well at home this season, going 3-3 with a 5.29 ERA in nine starts after he was 5-1 with a 2.51 ERA at Miller Park in 2017.
The Twins are just a mess right now. They can’t seem to put together a game where their hitting and pitching both produce. The Brewers have dominated the season series and should be able to sweep them here.
Pick: Brewers -105
BETTING TRENDS:
- Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
- Twins are 6-13 in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Twins are 15-36 in their last 51 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 3-8 in their last 11 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 5-14 in their last 19 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 5-16 in their last 21 road games.
- Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Twins are 1-6 in their last 7 Wednesday games.
- Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss.
- Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games.
- Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games.
- Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.
- Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Twins are 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 4-0 in Berrios’ last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Twins are 5-1 in Berrios’ last 6 Wednesday starts.
- Twins are 4-1 in Berrios’ last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Twins are 10-4 in Berrios’ last 14 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 3-15 in Berrios’ last 18 road starts.
- Twins are 0-8 in Berrios’ last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 15-5 in their last 20 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 8-3 in their last 11 Wednesday games.
- Brewers are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Brewers are 20-8 in their last 28 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 19-8 in their last 27 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 24-11 in their last 35 home games.
- Brewers are 3-8 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Brewers are 7-1 in Anderson’s last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Brewers are 5-1 in Anderson’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 4-1 in Anderson’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 12-5 in Anderson’s last 17 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 7-3 in Anderson’s last 10 Wednesday starts.
- Brewers are 11-5 in Anderson’s last 16 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 Wednesday games.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Twins last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 interleague games.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Twins last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Twins last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Twins last 6 interleague road games.
- Over is 6-2 in Twins last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 10-4 in Twins last 14 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 12-5-2 in Twins last 19 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in Berrios’ last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Berrios’ last 6 Wednesday starts.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Berrios’ last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Berrios’ last 9 interleague starts.
- Under is 10-4 in Berrios’ last 14 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Berrios’ last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 on grass.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 overall.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 8-2-1 in Brewers last 11 interleague home games.
- Under is 19-5-2 in Brewers last 26 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 9-3-1 in Brewers last 13 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 9-3-1 in Brewers last 13 Wednesday games.
- Under is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 20-7-2 in Brewers last 29 interleague games.
- Under is 18-7-2 in Brewers last 27 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 7-3-1 in Brewers last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 35-16-2 in Brewers last 53 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 34-16-1 in Brewers last 51 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 84-40-5 in Brewers last 129 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 39-19-1 in Brewers last 59 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Anderson’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Anderson’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Anderson’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Anderson’s last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 4-1 in Anderson’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Anderson’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Anderson’s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Anderson’s last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 5-2 in Anderson’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Twins are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
