Thursday’s NBA Basketball Free Predictions [12/11/25]

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BOBBY’S NBA FREE PICKS
10-1 (91%) Run!

JAY’S NBA FREE PICKS
4-2 (67%) Run!


Trends are through 12/10/25 and courtesy of Don Best Sports.

Boston at Milwaukee – 8:10 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Celtics are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Celtics are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Hot: Celtics are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Cold: Bucks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Cold: Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Bucks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 games following a straight up win.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 home games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 overall.

Pick: Bucks +9


LA Clippers at Houston – 8:10 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Rockets are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Hot: Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Rockets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Cold: Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Cold: Clippers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
Cold: Clippers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Clippers last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Hot: Over is 8-1 in Clippers last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 overall.
Hot: Over is 9-2 in Rockets last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Pick: Clippers +9.5


Portland at New Orleans – 8:10 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Trail Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Hot: Trail Blazers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Cold: Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Cold: Pelicans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Cold: Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Over is 10-1 in Pelicans last 11 home games.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Trail Blazers last 7 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Trail Blazers last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Trail Blazers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Pelicans last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

Pick: Blazers -4.5


Denver at Sacramento – 10:10 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
Hot: Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Cold: Kings are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Cold: Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Cold: Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
Cold: Kings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 overall.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Kings last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 overall.

Pick: Nuggets -10