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**All plays are Listed Pitchers and trends are courtesy of Don Best Sports and are through 9/16/25**
1,000-1,057 (+$3,439) Season to Date!
San Diego (Vasquez) at NY Mets (Tong) – 1:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Padres are 4-0 in Vasquez’s last 4 road starts.
Hot: Padres are 4-0 in Vasquez’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Hot: Padres are 4-0 in Vasquez’s last 4 starts vs. National League East.
Cold: Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 Thursday games.
Cold: Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Mets are 1-7 in their last 8 games following a loss.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 9-0 in Vasquez’s last 9 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Vasquez’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. National League West.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 on grass.
Pick: Padres +122
Miami (Alcantara) at Colorado (Gordon) – 3:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Marlins are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. National League West.
Hot: Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
Cold: Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cold: Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Cold: Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 Thursday games.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Gordon’s last 6 starts on grass.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Gordon’s last 6 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 on grass.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Gordon’s last 4 home starts.
Hot: Under is 2-0-2 in Alcantara’s last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
Pick: Rockies +1.5 -110
Chicago Cubs (Undecided) at Cincinnati (Greene) – 7:15 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
Hot: Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Reds are 4-0 in Greene’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cold: Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Cold: Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Cubs last 6 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Greene’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Hot: Over is 9-1-1 in Greene’s last 11 Thursday starts.
Hot: Under is 6-1-1 in Greene’s last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 road games.
Pick: Reds -125
San Francisco (Webb) at LA Dodgers (Undecided) – 10:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Dodgers are 5-1 in Yamamoto’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Giants are 5-1 in Webb’s last 6 starts.
Cold: Dodgers are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Dodgers are 1-4 in Yamamoto’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Webb’s last 6 starts on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Webb’s last 6 starts overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Webb’s last 5 road starts.
Hot: Over is 4-0-1 in Webb’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 Thursday games.
Pick: Dodgers -1.5 +140
Toronto (Bassitt) at Tampa Bay (Baz) – 1:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Rays are 0-8 in Baz’s last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: Rays are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cold: Rays are 0-4 in Baz’s last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 during game 4 of a series.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Bassitt’s last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 7-1-1 in Rays last 9 during game 4 of a series.
Hot: Over is 7-1 in Bassitt’s last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
Pick: Blue Jays -118
Cleveland (Bibee) at Detroit (Skubal) – 1:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.
Hot: Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
Hot: Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cold: Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cold: Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.
Cold: Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Skubal’s last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 9-1-2 in Guardians last 12 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 on grass.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 vs. American League Central.
Hot: Under is 6-1-1 in Skubal’s last 8 starts vs. American League Central.
Pick: Guardians +175
Athletics (Ginn) at Boston (Bello) – 1:35 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Red Sox are 5-0 in Bello’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: are 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games.
Hot: Red Sox are 8-1 in Bello’s last 9 starts vs. American League West.
Cold: Red Sox are 1-6 in Bello’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Cold: are 1-5 in Ginn’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Red Sox last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-0-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. American League West.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in Red Sox last 5 games following a win.
Hot: Under is 4-0-1 in last 5 vs. American League East.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Red Sox last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Pick: Red Sox -1.5 +135
Seattle (Castillo) at Kansas City (Kolek) – 2:10 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Mariners are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Mariners are 6-0 in Castillo’s last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
Hot: Mariners are 10-1 in their last 11 overall.
Hot: Mariners are 10-1 in their last 11 games on grass.
Hot: Mariners are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Cold: Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 overall.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 on grass.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Pick: Mariners -120
NY Yankees (Fried) at Baltimore (Povich) – 7:15 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Yankees are 4-0 in Fried’s last 4 starts.
Hot: Yankees are 4-0 in Fried’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Cold: Orioles are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
Cold: Orioles are 0-6 in Povich’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Cold: Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over/Under
Hot: Under is 8-0 in Orioles last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Hot: Over is 7-0-1 in Yankees last 8 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Hot: Under is 10-1-3 in Orioles last 14 Thursday games.
Hot: Under is 8-1 in Orioles last 9 on grass.
Pick: Orioles +1.5 +110
LA Angels (Kikuchi) at Milwaukee (Priester) – 7:40 ET
Win/Loss
Hot: Brewers are 9-0 in Priester’s last 9 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Hot: Brewers are 8-0 in Priester’s last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
Hot: Brewers are 7-0 in Priester’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cold: Angels are 0-7 in their last 7 road games.
Cold: Angels are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cold: Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over/Under
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 interleague games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. American League West.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 on grass.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games following a loss.
Pick: Angels +160
