Texas vs West Virginia Betting Trends & Free Pick [2/20/17]

By
Jay Cooper
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Texas (10-17, 4-10) at West Virginia (21-6, 9-5)
When: Monday, February 20th 2017
Where: WVU Coliseum, Morgantown, WV
Time: 9:00 ET | TV: ESPN

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The Texas Longhorns are still searching for their first road victory of the season when they visit the West Virginia Mountaineers on Monday night in Morgantown. The very young Longhorns squad dropped to 5-9 this season in games decided by five points or fewer when they lost at home to Kansas State 64-61 on forward D.J. Johnson’s tip-in basket with 1.6 seconds remaining Saturday. That was the third consecutive loss for Texas who will play three ranked teams to close out the regular season. Generating offense has been a real problem, as the Longhorns rank near the bottom of the nation in points per game (68.6), field goal percentage (44.4), and three-point percentage (30.4). Freshman Jarrett Allen, a potential NBA lottery pick, is averaging 13.2 points and 8.4 rebounds per game while freshman guard Andrew Jones (11.3) and sophomore guard Kerwin Roach Jr. (10.1) also are averaging in double figures. Allen also leads the Big 12 in double-doubles with 10. Texas continues to play without top scorer Tevin Mack (14.8), who was suspended indefinitely in mid-January. Texas blew a second-half lead in a 74-72 loss in the first meeting with West Virginia on January 14th in Austin.

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West Virginia will start the week in a three-way tie for second place in the Big 12 with Iowa State and Baylor, and they will meet both of those teams in the final two games of the regular season. West Virginia must get their act together against Texas before the go up against those teams, however. The Mountaineers needed double overtime before finally putting away eighth-place Texas Tech 83-74 at home Saturday. That victory came five days after West Virginia blew a 14-point lead in the final minutes of an eventual 84-80 overtime loss at No. 3 Kansas, a game in which we predicted the Mountaineers would cover. West Virginia has five players averaging between 9.3 and 12.2 points per game, led by junior point guard Jevon Carter (12.2), who also leads the team in assists (4.1) and steals (2.9) and is second in rebounding (4.5). Sophomore forward Esa Ahmad (11.7 points) and senior forward Nathan Adrian (10.5) also are averaging double figures. Adrian also leads the team in rebounding (6.3), while also making 28 3-pointers. Senior guard Tarik Phillip (9.8 points) and junior guard Daxter Miles Jr. (9.3) are also key contributors, with the former also averaging 3.0 assists and 1.9 steals per game.

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West Virginia is struggling, but this young Texas team is the right medicine to get back on track. West Virginia’s smothering press defense leads the nation in turnovers forced per game (21.81) and steals per contest as well with 11.1. This one could get ugly very quickly. I’ll lay the big points.

Pick: West Virginia -16

ATS TRENDS

Texas
  • Longhorns are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater.
  • Longhorns are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 13.0 or greater.
  • Longhorns are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Longhorns are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Longhorns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
  • Longhorns are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Longhorns are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.
  • Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
  • Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12.
West Virginia
  • Mountaineers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Monday games.
  • Mountaineers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big 12.
  • Mountaineers are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games following a ATS loss.
  • Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or greater.
  • Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater.
  • Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Mountaineers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

OU TRENDS

Texas
  • Under is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games following a straight up loss.
  • Under is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 6-1 in Longhorns last 7 overall.
  • Under is 6-1 in Longhorns last 7 games as an underdog.
  • Under is 5-1 in Longhorns last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Under is 5-1 in Longhorns last 6 vs. Big 12.
  • Under is 4-1 in Longhorns last 5 road games.
  • Under is 4-1 in Longhorns last 5 games as a road underdog.
  • Under is 11-4-1 in Longhorns last 16 Monday games.
  • Under is 8-3 in Longhorns last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 12-5 in Longhorns last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
West Virginia
  • Over is 4-0 in Mountaineers last 4 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater.
  • Over is 4-0 in Mountaineers last 4 Monday games.
  • Over is 4-0 in Mountaineers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Over is 4-0 in Mountaineers last 4 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or greater.
  • Over is 9-1-1 in Mountaineers last 11 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 5-1 in Mountaineers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Over is 12-3-1 in Mountaineers last 16 overall.
  • Over is 11-3-1 in Mountaineers last 15 vs. Big 12.
  • Over is 11-3-1 in Mountaineers last 15 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 7-2 in Mountaineers last 9 games as a home favorite.
  • Over is 7-2 in Mountaineers last 9 home games.
  • Over is 6-2 in Mountaineers last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Over is 6-2 in Mountaineers last 8 games following a ATS loss.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Longhorns are 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
  • Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

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