South Carolina vs Florida Betting Odds, Trends & Free Pick [2/21/17]

By
Jay Cooper
-

South Carolina (20-7, 10-4) at Florida (22-5, 12-2)
When: Tuesday, February 21st 2017
Where: O’Connell Center, Gainesville, FL
Time: 7:00 ET | TV: ESPN

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The South Carolina Gamecocks are looking to avoid a third consecutive loss when they travel to Gainesville to take on the 12th-ranked Florida Gators on Tuesday night. Just a week ago, the Gators and Gamecocks were locked in a three-way tie with Kentucky atop the SEC standings, but a home loss to Arkansas and a defeat at Vanderbilt have pretty much eliminated South Carolina’s title hopes. The Gamecocks are ranked 16th in the country in field-goal defense, holding the opposition to 39.4%, but they’ve allowed four straight opponents to shoot 42% or better. They have also had trouble scoring enough points to make up for the struggles on defense, ranking 296th in the nation in field goal percentage (42.0). Leading scorer Sindarius Thornwell (20.2 points, seven rebounds) continues to shine for the Gamecocks and has accounted for 36.5% of the Gamecocks’ scoring over the last five games. He’s going to need more help against the Gators and that includes guards PJ Dozier (13.8 points, 4.5 rebounds) and Duane Notice (10.2 points), as well as big man Chris Silva (10.1, 5.9 rebounds). South Carolina has forced at least 15 turnovers in all but one SEC game and are averaging 18.5 per game in conference play.

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Florida remains tied with the Wildcats and have a huge trip to Kentucky this Saturday. The Gators have won eight straight since a two-game slide that began with a 57-53 loss at South Carolina on January 18th. The Gators are coming off an unusual week during which they scored an SEC-record 114 points in a win at Auburn on Tuesday and squeezed out a 57-52 victory at Mississippi State four days later. Florida lost leading scorer Canyon Barry (13.2 points) to a sprained ankle against the Bulldogs, and his status versus South Carolina will be a game-time decision. Florida is already missing center John Egbunu (knee). Forward Kevarrius Hayes stepped in for Egbunu and recorded eight points, 10 rebounds and four blocked shots against Mississippi State. If Barry can’t go, the Gators will be left with just two players – KeVaughn Allen (13.1 points) and Devin Robinson (11.1, 5.8 rebounds) – who average double digits in points. Florida’s defense hold opponents to an 11th-ranked 30.2% three-point shooting percentage.

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The Gators are hurting right now, but should still win this game. South Carolina plays well enough defense and is hungry for a win. That, along with the fact they are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 trips to Gainesville, gives me confidence they will cover the double-digit spread.

Pick: South Carolina +10

ATS TRENDS

South Carolina
  • Gamecocks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
  • Gamecocks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. Southeastern.
Florida
  • Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Gators are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite.
  • Gators are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
  • Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
  • Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Southeastern.
  • Gators are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite.
  • Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Gators are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5.

OU TRENDS

South Carolina
  • Over is 4-0 in Gamecocks last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Under is 7-1 in Gamecocks last 8 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5.
  • Over is 5-1 in Gamecocks last 6 overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in Gamecocks last 6 vs. Southeastern.
  • Under is 21-5 in Gamecocks last 26 games as a road underdog.
  • Over is 4-1 in Gamecocks last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 4-1 in Gamecocks last 5 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Gamecocks last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Under is 36-14-1 in Gamecocks last 51 road games.
  • Under is 39-16-1 in Gamecocks last 56 games as an underdog.
  • Under is 36-15-1 in Gamecocks last 52 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 35-15-1 in Gamecocks last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Florida
  • Under is 4-1 in Gators last 5 overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in Gators last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 4-1 in Gators last 5 vs. Southeastern.
  • Under is 4-1 in Gators last 5 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 6-2 in Gators last 8 Tuesday games.
  • Over is 6-2 in Gators last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 6-2 in Gators last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Gators last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Over is 16-6 in Gators last 22 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5.
  • Over is 12-5 in Gators last 17 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5.
  • Over is 27-13 in Gators last 40 games following a ATS loss.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Gamecocks are 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Florida.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Road team is 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings.

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