Saturday’s NBA Basketball Free Predictions [1/17/26]

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BOBBY’S NBA FREE PICKS
28-16 (64%) Run!

JAY’S NBA FREE PICKS
20-11 (65%) Run!


Trends are through 1/15/26 and courtesy of Don Best Sports.

Utah at Dallas – 5:10 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Mavericks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Cold: Mavericks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Cold: Mavericks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
Mavericks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Mavericks last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Mavericks last 7 games following a ATS win.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 road games.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 7-2 in Mavericks last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Pick: Jazz +3.5


Boston at Atlanta – 7:40 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hot: Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.
Cold: Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Cold: Hawks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Cold: Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 6-0 in Hawks last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Hawks last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 games following a ATS win.

Pick: Celtics -3


Phoenix at New York – 7:40 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Suns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hot: Suns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Hot: Suns are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.
Cold: Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Cold: Knicks are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Cold: Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Over/Under
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Knicks last 5 Saturday games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Suns last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Suns last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hot: Over is 8-1 in Knicks last 9 games following a ATS loss.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Suns last 7 overall.

Pick: Suns +3.5



Indiana at Detroit – 7:40 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cold: Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Cold: Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Pistons are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Pistons last 6 overall.
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Pistons last 6 home games.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Pistons last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Pacers last 5 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Pistons last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Pistons last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.

Pick: Pistons -12.5


Minnesota at San Antonio – 8:10 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Spurs are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Timberwolves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Spurs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games.
Cold: Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 Saturday games.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 road games.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
Hot: Over is 6-1 in Timberwolves last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 home games.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Pick: Timberwolves +6.5


Oklahoma City at Miami – 8:10 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hot: Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Hot: Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Cold: Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cold: Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.
Heat are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 Saturday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 7-2 in Heat last 9 games following a ATS loss.

Pick: Heat +9.5



Charlotte at Golden State – 8:40 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Hornets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hot: Hornets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cold: Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
Cold: Warriors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
Cold: Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 Saturday games.
Hot: Under is 6-1 in Hornets last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-1 in Hornets last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Hornets last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hot: Over is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Hornets last 5 games following a ATS win.

Pick: Warriors -6.5


Washington at Denver – 9:10 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Nuggets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Cold: Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Cold: Wizards are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Cold: Wizards are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 5-1 in Wizards last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.
Hot: Over is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Hot: Under is 9-2 in Wizards last 11 road games.
Hot: Under is 8-2 in Wizards last 10 overall.
Hot: Over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
Hot: Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 home games.

Pick: Nuggets -12.5


LA Lakers at Portland – 10:10 ET

Against the Spread
Hot: Lakers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Hot: Trail Blazers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Hot: Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Cold: Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Cold: Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Cold: Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Over/Under
Hot: Under is 6-0 in Trail Blazers last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Hot: Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 Saturday games.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Trail Blazers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hot: Under is 7-1 in Lakers last 8 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 10-2 in Trail Blazers last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.

Pick: Blazers -3.5