Kansas City (0-1) at NY Yankees (1-0)
When: Monday, October 7th 2024
Where: Yankee Stadium,
Bronx, NY
Time: 4:38 ET | TV: TBS
Opening Odds: New York -150/7.5
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Royals vs Yankees Recent Meetings
| Date | Home/Away | H Starter | A Starter | Line | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/5/24 | NYY 6 - KC 5 | G. Cole | M. Wacha | -201/7.5 | O |
| 9/11/24 | NYY 4 - KC 3 x | L. Gil | C. Ragans | -139/8 | U |
| 9/10/24 | NYY 0 - KC 5 | M. Stroman | S. Lugo | -135/9 | U |
| 9/9/24 | NYY 10 - KC 4 | C. Rodon | B. Singer | -179/9 | O |
| 6/13/24 | KC 4 - NYY 3 | A. Marsh | N. Cortes Jr. | 146/10.5 | U |
| 6/12/24 | KC 5 - NYY 11 | D. Altavilla | C. Poteet | 146/10.5 | O |
| 6/11/24 | KC 1 - NYY 10 | B. Singer | M. Stroman | 112/9.5 | O |
| 6/10/24 | KC 2 - NYY 4 | S. Lugo | C. Rodon | -102/8 | U |
| 2023 Season | |||||
| 10/1/23 | KC 5 - NYY 2 | Z. Greinke | M. King | 118/8.5 | U |
| 9/30/23 | KC 2 - NYY 5 | S. Cruz | C. Schmidt | 121/9.5 | U |
| 9/29/23 | KC 12 - NYY 5 | J. Lyles | C. Rodon | 139/9.5 | O |
| 7/23/23 | NYY 8 - KC 5 | L. Severino | J. Lyles | -185/9 | O |
| 7/22/23 | NYY 5 - KC 2 | G. Cole | B. Singer | -261/8 | U |
| 7/21/23 | NYY 5 - KC 4 | C. Schmidt | A. Marsh | -192/9 | P |
| 2022 Season | |||||
| 7/31/22 | NYY 6 - KC 8 | J. Montgomery | Z. Greinke | -265/8.5 | O |
| 7/30/22 | NYY 8 - KC 2 | N. Cortes Jr. | J. Heasley | -287/9 | O |
| 7/29/22 | NYY 11 - KC 5 | G. Cole | K. Bubic | -378/8.5 | O |
| 7/28/22 | NYY 1 - KC 0 | J. Taillon | B. Singer | -231/8.5 | U |
| 5/1/22 | KC 4 - NYY 6 | D. Lynch IV | L. Severino | 180/8 | O |
| 4/30/22 | KC 0 - NYY 3 | C. Hernandez | G. Cole | 217/8 | U |
Cole Ragan L10 Starts
| Date | vs | S/R | Res | Score | IP | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | P | P/IP | GB:FB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/1/24 | @ BAL | S | W | 1-0 | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 13.3 | .29 |
| 9/24/24 | @ WAS | S | ND | 1-0 | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 89 | 14.8 | 2.00 |
| 9/17/24 | DET | S | ND | 1-3 | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 105 | 15.0 | 3.50 |
| 9/11/24 | @ NYY | S | ND | 3-4 | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100 | 16.7 | 1.25 |
| 9/6/24 | MIN | S | W | 5-0 | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 95 | 15.8 | .50 |
| 8/31/24 | @ HOU | S | L | 2-5 | 5.0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 93 | 18.6 | .33 |
| 8/26/24 | @ CLE | S | ND | 4-3 | 4.0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 94 | 23.5 | .40 |
| 8/20/24 | LAA | S | L | 5-9 | 5.0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 97 | 19.4 | 1.00 |
| 8/14/24 | @ MIN | S | W | 4-1 | 7.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 106 | 15.1 | 2.00 |
| 8/7/24 | BOS | S | W | 8-4 | 6.1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 106 | 16.7 | 3.50 |
Carlos Rodon L10 Starts
| Date | vs | S/R | Res | Score | IP | H | R | ER | K | BB | HR | P | P/IP | GB:FB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/27/24 | PIT | S | ND | 2-4 | 5.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 95 | 17.8 | 1.00 |
| 9/21/24 | @ OAK | S | W | 10-0 | 6.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 15.0 | 3.50 |
| 9/15/24 | BOS | S | W | 5-2 | 5.1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 88 | 16.5 | 4.00 |
| 9/9/24 | KC | S | ND | 10-4 | 6.0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 98 | 16.3 | 6.00 |
| 9/3/24 | @ TEX | S | ND | 4-7 | 6.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 99 | 16.5 | .20 |
| 8/28/24 | @ WAS | S | L | 2-5 | 5.2 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 100 | 17.6 | 2.00 |
| 8/23/24 | COL | S | W | 3-0 | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 102 | 17.0 | 1.50 |
| 8/17/24 | @ DET | S | L | 0-4 | 3.1 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 27.0 | .50 |
| 8/10/24 | TEX | S | W | 8-0 | 5.2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 110 | 19.4 | .14 |
| 8/3/24 | TOR | S | W | 8-3 | 5.1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 106 | 19.9 | .40 |
Prediction
The Royals have been an Under team all season because of their pitching and weak hitting and Ragans has been on a roll. Game 1 went Over the total, but Kansas City is still on a 7-1 Under run when an underdog. Ragans has pitched to the Under in seven straight starts and has allowed just nine earned runs total in those seven outings. Rodon has been strong at home with a 3.11 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. The Royals don’t hit lefties well, batting .165 against them over the last 10 games. After some offensive fireworks in Game 1, I can see Ragans and Rodon cooling things off in Game 2.
Pick: UNDER 7.5 -110
