Kansas City (55-50) at Baltimore (52-54)
When: Wednesday, August 2nd 2017
Where: Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: FSN Kansas City, MASN 2
Opening Odds: Baltimore -115/10
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The Kansas City Royals will look to get back on the winning track and avoid a series sweep when they take on the resurgent Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday night in the finale of a three-game set. Kansas City had won 10 of 11 before coming to Baltimore on Monday and averaged 7.3 runs in that span, including a pair of 16-run outings. The Royals offense has hit a wall against an Orioles pitching staff that entered Tuesday ranked last in the AL with a 5.07 ERA. First baseman Eric Hosmer hasn’t slowed down, hitting safely in seven straight (14-for-30). Kansas City is still just two games behind first place Cleveland in the Central thanks to the Indians three-game losing streak. Baltimore has won four straight to move within two games of .500 and close within 3.5 games of the Royals for the second AL wild card spot, holding Kansas City to a total of three runs in the first two games of the series. Newcomer Jeremy Hellickson will look to keep it rolling while the Royals will counter with All-Star lefty Jason Vargas. Manny Machado is starting to heat up for Baltimore, going 8-for-13 with five doubles in the last three games.
Pitchers: Royals – Jason Vargas (13-4, 3.00 ERA) | Orioles – Jeremy Hellickson (6-5, 4.73)
Vargas came out of the All-Star Break with a dud, allowing six runs in just 2.2 innings against Detroit but has been much better in his last two starts, allowing a total of three runs in 11 innings. Vargas didn’t allow a homer run at Boston on Friday after surrendering six in his previous three outings – a good sign for the veteran lefty. Vargas is seeing Baltimore for the first time this season and is 6-2 with a 3.35 ERA in nine road starts in 2017.
Baltimore is hoping Hellickson can help stabilize a rotation that has been hammered all season long. He’s not coming in with much confidence, however, as he was hit hard for six runs and seven hits in five innings in his Philadelphia finale against Milwaukee on July 22nd. Hellickson has allowed an alarming 22 home runs in 112.1 innings this season, three shy of tying his career high. He is 3-2 with a 5.01 ERA in nine career games – eight starts – at Camden Yards.
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Vargas is one of the reasons the Royals are back in playoff contention. He’s been their best pitcher and the Royals offense has been giving him plenty of run support on the road. Look for K.C. to break out of their mini-funk and avoid the sweep. Check out our other MLB Pick for today.
Pick: Royals +100
W/L TRENDS
| Kansas City |
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 Wednesday games.
- Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Royals are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Royals are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Royals are 10-3 in their last 13 overall.
- Royals are 10-3 in their last 13 games on grass.
- Royals are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Royals are 10-22 in their last 32 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Royals are 18-44 in their last 62 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Royals are 7-18 in their last 25 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Royals are 5-0 in Vargas’ last 5 road starts.
- Royals are 6-0 in Vargas’ last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Royals are 5-0 in Vargas’ last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Royals are 12-2 in Vargas’ last 14 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Royals are 6-1 in Vargas’ last 7 Wednesday starts.
- Royals are 4-1 in Vargas’ last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Royals are 20-6 in Vargas’ last 26 starts.
- Royals are 22-7 in Vargas’ last 29 starts on grass.
- Royals are 18-6 in Vargas’ last 24 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Royals are 20-8 in Vargas’ last 28 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Royals are 7-3 in Vargas’ last 10 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
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| Baltimore |
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Orioles are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Orioles are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
- Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.
- Orioles are 10-21 in their last 31 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 Wednesday games.
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OU TRENDS
| Kansas City |
- Under is 5-0 in Royals last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Royals last 10 games following a loss.
- Under is 8-1 in Royals last 9 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Royals last 8 Wednesday games.
- Under is 6-1 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Royals last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Royals last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 8-2 in Royals last 10 overall.
- Under is 8-2-1 in Royals last 11 road games.
- Under is 8-2 in Royals last 10 on grass.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Royals last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-1 in Royals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 19-6-2 in Royals last 27 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Royals last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Vargas’ last 7 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-1 in Vargas’ last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Vargas’ last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 4-1 in Vargas’ last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 11-4 in Vargas’ last 15 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 19-8 in Vargas’ last 27 starts overall.
- Under is 18-8 in Vargas’ last 26 starts on grass.
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| Baltimore |
- Over is 8-1 in Orioles last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 Wednesday games.
- Over is 8-2 in Orioles last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-2 in Orioles last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-2 in Orioles last 8 home games.
- Over is 8-3 in Orioles last 11 games following a win.
- Over is 12-5 in Orioles last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 35-17-2 in Orioles last 54 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Baltimore.
- Royals are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Baltimore.
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