Colorado (38-40) at San Francisco (40-39)
When: Tuesday, June 26th 2018
Where: AT&T Park, San Francisco, CA
Time: 10:15 ET | TV: AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mountain, NBCS Bay Area
Opening Odds: San Francisco -132/8.5
The Colorado Rockies looked as if they were going to go on a big run in their most recent homestand, but the offense stalled a bit over the weekend. They now head to San Francisco to begin a six-game road trip that includes the Los Angeles Dodgers later this weekend. Colorado is an uncharacteristic 15-22 at Coors Field this season and dropped the final two games of a seven-game homestand to the lowly Miami Marlins. They took the last three from the New York Mets and first from Miami by scoring 37 runs combined, but dropping games over the weekend have put them back under .500 and 6.5 games behind first place Arizona in the National League West. The Giants currently 5-2 on their 10-game homestand to jump one game over .500 at 40-39. They took two of three from the Marlins and three of four from the last place Padres to climb to within 4.5 games of the D’Backs. Giants outfielder Gorkys Hernandez is 4-for-13 over the last three games, with all four hits going for extra bases. San Francisco will trot out left hander Derek Holland against the Rockies’ Chad Bettis.
Pitchers: Rockies – Chad Bettis (5-1, 5.23 ERA) | Giants – Derek Holland (5-7, 4.48)
Bettis could be the worst 5-1 pitcher in the league, as he gets a ton of run support to bail him out of trouble. Bettis is coming off a rocky start against the Mets in which he allowed eight runs on nine hits and five walks across 4.2 innings for his fifth straight outing of allowing five or more runs. Bettis allowed five runs and 10 hits over six innings against San Francisco on May 28th, but came away with another no-decision.
Holland has been doing his best to keep San Francisco in ball games, allowing three or fewer runs in each of his last four starts. He’s coming off his fifth victory of the season Wednesday against Miami, allowing three runs and seven hits in six innings. Holland has not completed seven innings in any of his 15 starts. He took the loss May 18th against Colorado while surrendering four runs and six hits across six innings.
I don’t trust either one of those hurlers right now and probably should take the over. Instead, I will go with the better pitcher and hotter team in San Francisco. The Giants are starting to put things together to make a run at the NL West.
Pick: Giants -129
BETTING TRENDS:
- Rockies are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 6-2 in their last 8 games following an off day.
- Rockies are 7-3 in their last 10 Tuesday games.
- Rockies are 3-7 in their last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
- Rockies are 4-10 in their last 14 games following a loss.
- Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rockies are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. National League West.
- Rockies are 7-1 in Bettis’ last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rockies are 5-1 in Bettis’ last 6 Tuesday starts.
- Rockies are 20-6 in Bettis’ last 26 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Rockies are 6-2 in Bettis’ last 8 road starts.
- Rockies are 5-2 in Bettis’ last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 15-6 in Bettis’ last 21 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rockies are 1-5 in Bettis’ last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
- Giants are 13-3 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
- Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Giants are 20-7 in their last 27 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Giants are 8-3 in their last 11 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Giants are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
- Giants are 4-0 in Holland’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Giants are 4-1 in Holland’s last 5 home starts.
- Giants are 4-1 in Holland’s last 5 starts.
- Giants are 4-1 in Holland’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Giants are 4-1 in Holland’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rockies last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Rockies last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Rockies last 9 road games.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Rockies last 9 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 8-2-1 in Rockies last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 19-5-2 in Rockies last 26 overall.
- Over is 19-5-2 in Rockies last 26 on grass.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Rockies last 5 games following an off day.
- Over is 15-5-1 in Rockies last 21 games following a loss.
- Under is 19-7-1 in Rockies last 27 Tuesday games.
- Under is 8-3-2 in Rockies last 13 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 18-7-1 in Rockies last 26 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Rockies last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 10-4-2 in Rockies last 16 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Bettis’ last 4 Tuesday starts.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Bettis’ last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0-3 in Bettis’ last 8 starts on grass.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Bettis’ last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-3 in Bettis’ last 8 starts overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Bettis’ last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-3 in Bettis’ last 7 starts vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-1-2 in Bettis’ last 7 road starts.
- Under is 7-2-1 in Bettis’ last 10 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 10-3-1 in Bettis’ last 14 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Bettis’ last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Giants last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 11-4-2 in Giants last 17 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 15-6-1 in Giants last 22 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 12-5-1 in Giants last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-3-1 in Giants last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Holland’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Holland’s last 5 home starts.
- Over is 5-2 in Holland’s last 7 starts vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Rockies are 4-0 in Bettis’ last 4 starts vs. Giants.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Bettis’ last 4 starts vs. Giants.
- Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in San Francisco.
- Rockies are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in San Francisco.