Rockies vs Diamondbacks Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [6/30/17]

Colorado (47-34) at Arizona (50-29)
When: Friday, June 30th 2017
Where: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Time: 9:40 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Arizona -144/9.5

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The Colorado Rockies will look to right the ship when they open a big three-game series with the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday night at Chase Field in Phoenix. Colorado had its best start in club history at 47-26 following a series-opening home win over Arizona on June 20th before getting outscored over the final two games at Coors Field 26-8. The Rockies haven’t won since – getting swept in three games by the National League West-leading Los Angeles Dodgers and division-worst San Francisco – to make it eight in a row and their longest losing streak in over two years. Colorado is batting .206 with 23 runs scored and 11 extra-base hits during its losing streak. The Diamondbacks have the majors’ second-best home mark at 30-12, although Colorado won two of three earlier in the year at Phoenix and holds a 5-4 edge in the season series. Arizona won for the 15th time in 17 home games on Tuesday versus St. Louis but fell in the last two games of the series to the Cardinals to drop a set at Chase Field for the first time since that series loss to the Rockies at the end of April. Diamondbacks 1B Paul Goldschmidt (66) and 3B Jake Lamb (64) – along with Rockies 3B Nolan Arenado (61) and 1B Mark Reynolds (60) – occupy four of the top five spots in the National League in RBIs. Goldschmidt is 11-for-24 with four homers, 12 RBIs and eight runs scored in his last six games against Colorado. The D’Backs will start the night 2.5 back of the Dodgers in the NL West, while the free-falling Rockies are six back.

Pitchers: Rockies – Jon Gray (0-0, 4.38 ERA) | Diamondbacks – Robbie Ray (8-3, 2.87)

Jon Gray will make his first start since the middle of April after coming off the disabled list due to a stress fracture in his left foot. Gray was Colorado’s Opening Day starter and will come back with three solid rehab stints under his belt. He did not pitch more than five innings in any of the rehab outings, but he still posted a 1.35 ERA and struck out 18. Gray hasn’t fared well in either of his two starts against the Diamondbacks, going 0-1 while giving up a total of nine runs and 17 hits in 12.1 innings.

All-Star-candidate Robbie Ray won his sixth consecutive decision on Saturday against Philadelphia, allowing two runs on six hits and four walks in 6.1 innings of work. Ray is unbeaten over his last eight starts and has allowed one run or less five times in his last seven. Ray took the loss at home against Colorado on April 28th, giving up three runs in 6.2 innings to fall to 2-2 with a 5.10 ERA in eight starts versus the Rockies.

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This is turning out to be a pretty good rivalry that could last for several years. I’m going to keep going against Colorado until they at least win a game. Gray won’t go too deep in his first start back from the DL and Ray has been terrific this season and should be in the All-Star Game. I’ll take the Snakes in the opener.

Pick: Diamondbacks -145

W/L TRENDS

Colorado
  • Rockies are 19-7 in their last 26 games following an off day.
  • Rockies are 18-8 in their last 26 during game 1 of a series.
  • Rockies are 15-38 in their last 53 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Rockies are 0-6 in their last 6 road games.
  • Rockies are 0-8 in their last 8 vs. National League West.
  • Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Rockies are 0-8 in their last 8 overall.
  • Rockies are 0-8 in their last 8 games on grass.
  • Rockies are 5-1 in Gray’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Rockies are 5-16 in Gray’s last 21 road starts.
  • Rockies are 2-9 in Gray’s last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Rockies are 1-5 in Gray’s last 6 Friday starts.
Arizona
  • Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League West.
  • Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Diamondbacks are 38-13 in their last 51 home games.
  • Diamondbacks are 25-9 in their last 34 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Diamondbacks are 19-7 in their last 26 overall.
  • Diamondbacks are 19-7 in their last 26 games on grass.
  • Diamondbacks are 15-6 in their last 21 during game 1 of a series.
  • Diamondbacks are 25-10 in their last 35 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Diamondbacks are 35-17 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Diamondbacks are 20-41 in their last 61 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Ray’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Diamondbacks are 7-0 in Ray’s last 7 starts.
  • Diamondbacks are 7-0 in Ray’s last 7 starts on grass.
  • Diamondbacks are 8-1 in Ray’s last 9 starts vs. National League West.
  • Diamondbacks are 8-3 in Ray’s last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Diamondbacks are 7-3 in Ray’s last 10 home starts.
  • Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Ray’s last 5 Friday starts.

OU TRENDS

Colorado
  • Under is 13-3 in Rockies last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 8-2-1 in Rockies last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 10-3-1 in Rockies last 14 road games.
  • Over is 9-3 in Rockies last 12 games following an off day.
  • Under is 18-7-1 in Rockies last 26 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Over is 9-4-2 in Rockies last 15 during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 5-1-1 in Gray’s last 7 Friday starts.
  • Under is 4-1 in Gray’s last 5 starts vs. National League West.
  • Under is 4-1 in Gray’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 5-2 in Gray’s last 7 road starts.
Arizona
  • Under is 5-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Over is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 vs. National League West.
  • Over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 Friday games.
  • Over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 13-6-1 in Diamondbacks last 20 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 53-26-3 in Diamondbacks last 82 home games.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Ray’s last 4 starts on grass.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Ray’s last 4 starts overall.
  • Over is 6-1 in Ray’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Ray’s last 5 Friday starts.
  • Under is 4-1 in Ray’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 9-3 in Ray’s last 12 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 20-8 in Ray’s last 28 home starts.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Over is 4-1 in Ray’s last 5 starts vs. Rockies.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Over is 21-10-3 in the last 34 meetings in Arizona.
  • Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Ray’s last 5 starts vs. Rockies.

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