Boston (29-25) at Baltimore (29-24)
When: Saturday, June 3rd 2017
Where: Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Time: 7:15 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Boston -121/9u-25
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The Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles continue their four-game weekend series on FOX’s Saturday Night Game of the Week with the home team looking to win the series. The Sox came into the weekend playing well and making up some ground in the American League East, but the O’s have taken the first two of the series to improve to 19-8 at Camden Yards. Baltimore has now past Boston in the standings and are 2.5 games behind the New York Yankees while the Red Sox have fallen three back. Boston won eight of ten before coming into Baltimore and has seen starting pitchers Eduardo Rodriguez and Rick Porcello struggle to keep the ball in the park. The Orioles smacked four home runs off Rodriguez in the 7-5 victory on Thursday and added two more off Porcello to steal Friday’s game 3-2. Boston will hope to get a better performance on Saturday night out of former Cy Young Award winner, David Price, who will be making his second start of the season while going up against Baltimore ace Dylan Bundy. Baltimore second baseman Jonathan Schoop, who is 3-for-8 with a home run and three RBIs in the series, is just 4-for-20 in his career against Price. Orioles 3B Manny Machado is 3-for-8 with one strikeout in the series after striking out 10 times while going 0-for-18 in his previous four games. Boston rookie LF Andrew Benintendi have struggled to 1-for-23 over his last seven games.
Pitchers: Red Sox – David Price (0-0, 5.40 ERA) | Orioles – Dylan Bundy (6-3, 2.89)
Price, who began the season on the disabled list after suffering an elbow strain in spring training, returned to action last Monday against the Chicago White Sox. Price yielded three runs on two hits – one homer – and two walks in five innings while striking out four but received a no-decision. Price went 3-1 with a 3.71 ERA in five starts against Baltimore last season and is 11-5 with a 2.88 ERA versus the Orioles in his career.
Bundy broke a four-start winless streak by holding the Yankees to two runs on seven hits over seven innings on Monday in a 3-2 triumph. He has allowed two or fewer earned runs in eight of his 11 starts but has surrendered at least one home run in each of the last four outings. Bundy is already making his fourth start against Boston this season and went 2-1 in the first three, including seven scoreless innings in the lone home start on April 21st.
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Boston has seen enough of Bundy to be dialed-in by now. The Orioles are playing well at home, but I think Price will have a strong second outing of the season and Boston will avoid a series loss.
Pick: Red Sox -120
W/L TRENDS
| Boston |
- Red Sox are 10-3 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series.
- Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 13-6 in their last 19 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 3-9 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 8-3 in Price’s last 11 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Red Sox are 5-2 in Price’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 3-8 in Price’s last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in Price’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 0-4 in Price’s last 4 starts.
- Red Sox are 0-4 in Price’s last 4 starts on grass.
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| Baltimore |
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Orioles are 22-8 in their last 30 home games.
- Orioles are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Orioles are 38-18 in their last 56 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Orioles are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Orioles are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Orioles are 5-0 in Bundy’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Orioles are 6-0 in Bundy’s last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 6-1 in Bundy’s last 7 home starts.
- Orioles are 5-1 in Bundy’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 5-1 in Bundy’s last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Orioles are 4-1 in Bundy’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 6-2 in Bundy’s last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Orioles are 5-2 in Bundy’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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OU TRENDS
| Boston |
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 Saturday games.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2 in Red Sox last 9 overall.
- Under is 7-2 in Red Sox last 9 on grass.
- Over is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 8-3 in Red Sox last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 12-5-1 in Red Sox last 18 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 7-3 in Red Sox last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 11-5 in Red Sox last 16 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Price’s last 4 Saturday starts.
- Over is 5-0 in Price’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Price’s last 9 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Price’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Price’s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Price’s last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 10-3 in Price’s last 13 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 5-2 in Price’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 7-3 in Price’s last 10 road starts.
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| Baltimore |
- Under is 21-7-1 in Orioles last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 17-6-1 in Orioles last 24 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-2 in Orioles last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 43-18-2 in Orioles last 63 home games.
- Under is 45-22-1 in Orioles last 68 games following a win.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Bundy’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in Bundy’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Bundy’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Bundy’s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 8-2 in Bundy’s last 10 home starts.
- Under is 10-3-1 in Bundy’s last 14 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Bundy’s last 9 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 9-4-1 in Bundy’s last 14 starts overall.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 4-0-1 in Bundys last 5 starts vs. Red Sox.
- Under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings in Baltimore.
- Under is 12-3-2 in the last 17 meetings.
- Red Sox are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Baltimore.
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