Red Sox vs Indians Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [8/12/19]

Boston (62-58) at Cleveland (71-47)
When: Monday, August 12th, 2019
Where: Progressive Field,
Cleveland, Ohio
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Boston -109/9.5


The Cleveland Indians are coming off a huge weekend against the first place Minnesota Twins and look to carry that momentum back home when they open a three-game set with the Boston Red Sox on Monday. Cleveland went to Minneapolis on Thursday trailing the Twins by two games, but took three of four to get even with them in the AL Central capped by a 7-3 victory on Sunday. The Twins had an 11.5 game lead over the Indians on June 2nd, but Cleveland is an MLB-best 42-17 since June 4th. Carlos Santana blasted a tie-breaking grand slam in the top of the 10th inning Sunday to give him a club-leading 25 homers and 70 RBI. Newly acquired Yasiel Puig added an RBI double and is 15-for-42 with six RBI over 11 games since joining the team from Cincinnati. The Red Sox are quickly fading away and are coming off a four-game split at home against the Los Angeles Angels over the weekend to fall 7.5 games behind Tampa Bay in the wild card race after a 3-11 stretch. J.D. Martinez extended his hitting streak to 10 games with a single in Sunday’s 5-4 loss in 10 innings for Boston. Catcher Christian Vazquez belted his 18th homer on Sunday after a combined 10 dingers over his previous four seasons. Yes folks, the ball is juiced.

Pitchers: Red Sox – Eduardo Rodriguez (13-5, 4.17 ERA) | Indians – Zach Plesac (6-3, 3.13)

Eduardo Rodriguez might have a high ERA, but he’s going after a career-high 14th win on Monday and has limited opponents to two or fewer runs in six of his past eight outings. One of those was last Wednesday against Kansas City when he held the Royals to two runs on seven hits over five innings in a no-decision. Rodriguez has allowed four runs over two starts covering 13.2 innings against the Indians.


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Zach Plesac is having a fine rookie season and has allowed two runs or less in four of his last five outings including six scoreless frames against Texas last time out. Plesac made his major league debut against Boston back in May and allowed one run on four hits and a walk while throwing 86 pitches.

This is a simple case of two teams going in different directions. With Minnesota off, the Indians have a chance to take sole-possession of first place and that could be motivation enough to get past the fading Red Sox.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Monday. He is 106-76 +1813 units on the season after a 7-3 run!

Pick: Indians +103

NFL Preseason Free Picks


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BETTING TRENDS:

Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
Red Sox are 12-4 in their last 16 during game 1 of a series.
Red Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 Monday games.
Red Sox are 74-36 in their last 110 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 3-11 in their last 14 overall.
Red Sox are 3-11 in their last 14 games on grass.
Red Sox are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a loss.
Red Sox are 2-9 in their last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Red Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 road games.
Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Sox are 0-8 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Red Sox are 0-9 in their last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Red Sox are 5-0 in Rodriguez’s last 5 Monday starts.
Red Sox are 11-1 in Rodriguez’s last 12 starts vs. American League Central.
Red Sox are 14-2 in Rodriguez’s last 16 starts during game 1 of a series.
Red Sox are 4-1 in Rodriguez’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Sox are 23-6 in Rodriguez’s last 29 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Red Sox are 40-12 in Rodriguez’s last 52 starts.
Red Sox are 6-2 in Rodriguez’s last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Red Sox are 38-13 in Rodriguez’s last 51 starts on grass.
Red Sox are 19-7 in Rodriguez’s last 26 road starts.
Red Sox are 21-8 in Rodriguez’s last 29 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Red Sox are 36-15 in Rodriguez’s last 51 starts with 4 days of rest.
Red Sox are 7-3 in Rodriguez’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Indians are 16-5 in their last 21 games following a loss.
Indians are 22-7 in their last 29 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Indians are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Indians are 19-7 in their last 26 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Indians are 36-15 in their last 51 overall.
Indians are 37-16 in their last 53 games on grass.
Indians are 35-16 in their last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Indians are 5-0 in Plesac’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Indians are 5-0 in Plesac’s last 5 home starts.
Indians are 5-0 in Plesac’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Indians are 6-0 in Plesac’s last 6 starts.
Indians are 6-0 in Plesac’s last 6 starts on grass.

Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 Monday games.
Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 16-5 in Red Sox last 21 games following a loss.
Over is 16-5 in Red Sox last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 12-5 in Red Sox last 17 on grass.
Over is 16-7 in Red Sox last 23 vs. American League Central.
Under is 9-4 in Red Sox last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 38-17-2 in Red Sox last 57 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 34-16-1 in Red Sox last 51 overall.
Over is 6-0 in Rodriguez’s last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
Over is 6-1 in Rodriguez’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over is 12-2 in Rodriguez’s last 14 road starts.
Over is 10-2 in Rodriguez’s last 12 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Rodriguez’s last 6 Monday starts.
Over is 8-2 in Rodriguez’s last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.
Over is 7-2 in Rodriguez’s last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 10-3 in Rodriguez’s last 13 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over is 19-7 in Rodriguez’s last 26 starts overall.
Over is 16-6 in Rodriguez’s last 22 starts on grass.
Over is 10-4 in Rodriguez’s last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-2 in Rodriguez’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-0 in Indians last 5 home games.
Under is 7-1-1 in Indians last 9 overall.
Under is 7-1-1 in Indians last 9 on grass.
Under is 7-1 in Indians last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 12-3-1 in Indians last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-2 in Indians last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 7-2-1 in Indians last 10 games following a loss.
Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 9-4 in Indians last 13 vs. American League East.
Over is 4-0 in Plesac’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 4-1 in Plesac’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 5-2 in Plesac’s last 7 home starts.

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Red Sox are 5-13 in the last 18 meetings in Cleveland.
Red Sox are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

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