Boston (27-24) at Houston (34-18)
When: Saturday, May 25th, 2019
Where: Minute Maid Park,
Houston, Texas
Time: 7:15 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Houston -124/9
In a game with a postseason-type feel to it, the Houston Astros held onto a 4-3 victory over the visiting Boston Red Sox in the opener of a three-game weekend series on Friday. The middle game is set for Saturday night as part of FOX’s Game of the Week with David Price opposing Brad Peacock. Houston took the opener despite recording just four hits, one of which was Jake Marisnick’s solo homer, as the Astros maintained their seven-game lead over the surging Texas Rangers. Boston received solo homers from Xander Bogaerts, Jackie Bradley Jr. and Christian Vasquez, but it wasn’t enough to prevent Roberto Osuna from converting his 25th consecutive save opportunity, breaking the Astros’ franchise record set in 2005 by Brad Lidge. Houston reliever Ryan Pressly served up a homer to Bradley in the eighth inning to snap his major league-record streak of 40 straight scoreless appearances dating back to last August. J.D. Martinez went 0-for-3 with a walk after missing the previous four games with an injured back. The Astros’ George Springer came back from a four-game abscence with a sore back, but left in the eighth inning due to a pulled hamstring.
Pitchers: Red Sox – David Price (2-2, 3.29 ERA) | Astros – Brad Peacock (5-2, 3.59)
Price will meet Houston for the first time since recording nine strikeouts over six scoreless innings to pick up the win in the clinching Game 5 as the Red Sox won the American League Championship Series en route to capturing the World Series title in 2018. Price was 0-9 in postseason play prior to that victory and is coming off a win over the Toronto Blue Jays on Monday after allowing two unearned runs and three hits over five innings. Price is 6-2 with a 2.94 ERA in 12 career regular-season appearances (10 starts) against the Astros.
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Peacock is on a roll with wins in each of his last three starts, allowing a total of one run and eight hits with 24 strikeouts in 17 innings. He pitched five scoreless innings against the Chicago White Sox in his last outing, recording nine strikeouts without issuing a walk. Peacock is 1-2 with an 8.36 ERA in five career appearances (four starts) versus Boston.
Its hard not to take Houston right now, especially the way Peacock is pitching lately. The Astros are an AL-best 19-6 at home this season, while Boston is just 14-14 away from home and 2-3 when Price starts on the road. It should be another tight game, but Houston will pull it out.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Saturday. He is 67-42 +1912 units on the season after a 17-4 run!
Pick: Astros -124
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BETTING TRENDS:
Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss.
Red Sox are 9-3 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Red Sox are 11-4 in their last 15 road games.
Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Red Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. American League West.
Red Sox are 16-7 in their last 23 overall.
Red Sox are 62-28 in their last 90 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 13-6 in their last 19 games on grass.
Red Sox are 112-55 in their last 167 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 4-9 in their last 13 Saturday games.
Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Sox are 8-2 in Price’s last 10 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Sox are 19-7 in Price’s last 26 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Sox are 10-4 in Price’s last 14 starts during game 2 of a series.
Red Sox are 5-2 in Price’s last 7 starts vs. American League West.
Red Sox are 7-3 in Price’s last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
Red Sox are 44-21 in Price’s last 65 starts.
Red Sox are 1-4 in Price’s last 5 starts on grass.
Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Astros are 22-6 in their last 28 Saturday games.
Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Astros are 37-14 in their last 51 during game 2 of a series.
Astros are 23-9 in their last 32 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Astros are 46-19 in their last 65 games following a win.
Astros are 63-27 in their last 90 games on grass.
Astros are 35-16 in their last 51 home games.
Astros are 66-31 in their last 97 overall.
Astros are 6-1 in Peacock’s last 7 home starts.
Astros are 5-1 in Peacock’s last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
Astros are 4-1 in Peacock’s last 5 starts on grass.
Astros are 19-7 in Peacock’s last 26 starts.
Astros are 2-5 in Peacock’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Astros are 6-16 in Peacock’s last 22 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. American League West.
Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 7-2-1 in Red Sox last 10 Saturday games.
Over is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
Over is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 road games.
Over is 9-3-1 in Red Sox last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 38-18-4 in Red Sox last 60 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 4-0-1 in Price’s last 5 Saturday starts.
Under is 5-0 in Price’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-1-1 in Price’s last 8 starts on grass.
Under is 7-2-1 in Price’s last 10 starts overall.
Under is 9-4-1 in Price’s last 14 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 5-0-1 in Astros last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 8-1 in Astros last 9 overall.
Under is 8-1 in Astros last 9 on grass.
Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games following a win.
Under is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
Under is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 21-8-1 in Astros last 30 vs. American League East.
Under is 20-8-1 in Astros last 29 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-0 in Peacock’s last 6 starts vs. American League East.
Under is 8-2 in Peacock’s last 10 starts during game 2 of a series.
Over is 7-2 in Peacock’s last 9 Saturday starts.
Over is 9-3-1 in Peacock’s last 13 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 8-3-1 in Peacock’s last 12 home starts.
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 5-0 in Peacock’s last 5 starts vs. Red Sox.
Red Sox are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston.
Red Sox are 5-1 in Price’s last 6 starts vs. Astros.
Over is 5-1 in Price’s last 6 starts vs. Astros.
Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Houston.
Astros are 1-4 in Peacock’s last 5 starts vs. Red Sox.
