Tampa Bay (27-26) at Texas (25-26)
When: Monday, May 29th 2017
Where: Globe Life Park, Arlington, TX
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: FSN Sun, FSN Southwest
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The homer-happy Tampa Bay Rays take their act to Arlington on Monday night to open a three-game series with the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Park. Tampa Bay is off to a 2-1 start on their nine-game road trip after taking the weekend series with the Minnesota Twins. The Rays pushed their homer total to an American League-high 74 with a pair on Sunday and have gone deep 23 times in their last 12 games. Erasmo Ramirez will start for the Rays despite throwing 12 pitches to record the save in Sunday’s 8-6, 15-inning victory at Minnesota. Evan Longoria and Logan Morrison smacked back-to-back homers in the 15th as Tampa Bay improved to 8-3 on the road this month. Corey Dickerson went 4-for-8 (four singles) on Sunday to raise his average to .337 and has hit safely in 18 of his last 20 games for the Rays. Tampa is five games back of the first place Yankees in the AL East, but just a half-game out of the second Wild Card spot. The Rangers return home from a poor road trip, but posted a nice 3-1 at Toronto on Sunday thanks to strong pitching and Joey Gallo’s 15th homer of the season. Texas ended their road trip at 3-6 and have won just two of their last eight since a 10-game winning streak. Adrian Beltre (calf) went 7-for-17 in three rehab games and will be re-evaluated Monday before potentially being activated to make his season debut for Texas.
Pitchers: Rays – Erasmo Ramirez (3-0, 2.92 ERA) | Rangers – Martin Perez (2-5, 3.77)
Ramirez gave up two runs in each of his two starts since rejoining the rotation, allowing 10 hits with seven strikeouts over 11.1 innings. Ramirez has walked a total of six batters and struck out 27 in 37 innings while posting a 0.86 WHIP. Shin-Soo Choo is 2-for-4 with a homer and a walk versus Ramirez, who is 0-1 with a 5.72 ERA in 11 career appearances (four starts) against Texas.
Martin Perez was terrible in April, going 1-4 with a 4.26 ERA, but has turned things around in May. In four starts this month, Perez has a 1-1 record and 3.16 ERA. He allowed three runs and six hits over 6.1 innings in a no-decision at Boston on Wednesday. Perez has surrendered just four home runs in 57+ innings this season and just one in May. Longoria is 6-for-12 with three doubles and a homer against Perez, who is 0-2 with a 5.33 ERA versus the Rays.
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Texas has been great at home this season and are a perfect 5-0 in the game following a 7+ day road trip. I don’t like the fact that Tampa is using Ramirez after finishing the game on Sunday. Look for the Rangers bats to click tonight especially if Beltre is back in the lineup.
Pick: Rangers -118
W/L TRENDS
| Tampa Bay |
- Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Rays are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win.
- Rays are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rays are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Rays are 20-41 in their last 61 Monday games.
- Rays are 11-23 in their last 34 during game 1 of a series.
- Rays are 4-10 in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rays are 15-40 in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Rays are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 6-0 in Ramirez’s last 6 starts vs. American League West.
- Rays are 4-0 in Ramirez’s last 4 starts.
- Rays are 8-3 in Ramirez’s last 11 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rays are 9-4 in Ramirez’s last 13 road starts.
- Rays are 3-7 in Ramirez’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
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| Texas |
- Rangers are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Rangers are 9-2 in their last 11 games following a win.
- Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rangers are 16-5 in their last 21 home games.
- Rangers are 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rangers are 59-28 in their last 87 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Rangers are 39-19 in their last 58 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rangers are 6-13 in their last 19 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rangers are 5-11 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Rangers are 5-18 in their last 23 vs. American League East.
- Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
- Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 Monday games.
- Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rangers are 14-6 in Perez’s last 20 home starts.
- Rangers are 3-9 in Perez’s last 12 starts.
- Rangers are 3-9 in Perez’s last 12 starts on grass.
- Rangers are 1-4 in Perez’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rangers are 1-5 in Perez’s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Rangers are 1-5 in Perez’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rangers are 0-4 in Perez’s last 4 starts vs. American League East.
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OU TRENDS
| Tampa Bay |
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games following a win.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 7-2 in Rays last 9 road games.
- Over is 7-2 in Rays last 9 on grass.
- Under is 5-2 in Rays last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 22-9-7 in Rays last 38 Monday games.
- Over is 37-18-2 in Rays last 57 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Ramirez’s last 8 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Ramirez’s last 7 road starts.
- Over is 5-1 in Ramirez’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Ramirez’s last 5 starts overall.
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| Texas |
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 Monday games.
- Over is 9-1-1 in Rangers last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 11-2 in Rangers last 13 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 games following a win.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 home games.
- Over is 23-7-1 in Rangers last 31 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Rangers last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 5-2 in Rangers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-3 in Rangers last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 11-5-1 in Rangers last 17 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Perez’s last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Perez’s last 7 home starts.
- Under is 9-2 in Perez’s last 11 Monday starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Perez’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 4-1 in Perez’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Perez’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 21-6 in Perez’s last 27 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 27-13-1 in Perez’s last 41 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 35-17 in Perez’s last 52 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Texas.
- Rays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
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