Rangers vs Padres Odds and Free Prediction [7/4/25]

Texas (43-44) at San Diego (46-40)
When: Friday, July 4th 2025
Where: Petco Park,
San Diego, CA

Time: 6:40 ET | TV: mlb.tv
Opening Odds: San Diego -115/8.5

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Rangers vs Padres Recent Meetings

DateHome/AwayH StarterA StarterLineO/U
7/4/24TEX 1 - SD 3M. ScherzerM. King-108/7.5U
7/3/24TEX 4 - SD 6J. GrayA. Mazur-158/9O
7/2/24TEX 7 - SD 0N. EovaldiD. Cease105/7P
2023 Season
7/30/23SD 5 - TEX 3B. SnellC. Bradford-184/8.5U
7/29/23SD 4 - TEX 0Y. DarvishM. Perez-176/9U
7/28/23SD 7 - TEX 1J. MusgroveD. Dunning-163/8.5U
2021 Season
4/11/21TEX 0 - SD 2M. FoltynewiczA. Morejon152/9U
4/10/21TEX 4 - SD 7J. LylesC. Paddack141/9O
4/9/21TEX 0 - SD 3K. AriharaJ. Musgrove174/9U
2020 Season
8/20/20SD 8 - TEX 7 xD. LametK. Gibson-193/8O
8/19/20SD 6 - TEX 3 xC. PaddackL. Lynn-134/8O
8/18/20TEX 4 - SD 6M. MinorA. Morejon106/9O
8/17/20TEX 4 - SD 14J. LylesZ. Davies120/9O
2018 Season
9/16/18SD 7 - TEX 3J. NixM. Minor113/8.5O
9/15/18SD 3 - TEX 6E. LauerA. Claudio-129/8.5O
9/14/18SD 0 - TEX 4R. ErlinC. Sadzeck-138/8U
6/27/18TEX 5 - SD 2M. MinorC. Richard-114/9.5U
6/26/18TEX 2 - SD 3A. Bibens-DirkxT. Ross-119/10.5U
6/25/18TEX 7 - SD 4C. HamelsJ. Lucchesi-128/9.5O
2017 Season
5/11/17TEX 5 - SD 2M. PerezC. Richard-133/9U
Courtesy of Don Best Sports

Kumar Rocker L10 Starts

DatevsS/RResScoreIPHRERKBBHRPP/IPGB:FB
6/28/25SEASND3-26.04226119716.28.00
6/21/25@ PITSW3-25.15224308916.72.00
6/15/25CHWSW2-15.04006108216.42.00
6/4/25@ TBSL4-53.16555216619.81.50
4/23/25@ ATHSL2-51.27552116337.82.00
4/17/25LAASW5-37.05338007811.11.75
4/12/25@ SEASL2-93.15432206820.42.00
4/6/25TBSND4-35.06111007715.42.33
3/31/25@ CINSL3-143.07663227424.7.00
9/26/24@ ATHSL2-34.27332007315.63.50
Courtesy of Don Best Sports

Randy Vasquez L10 Starts

DatevsS/RResScoreIPHRERKBBHRPP/IPGB:FB
6/28/25@ CINSND6-44.19443209421.71.00
6/22/25KCSND3-27.05222218912.72.00
6/17/25@ LADSND6-85.04332026813.61.00
6/11/25LADSND2-54.22114117015.0.60
6/6/25@ MILSND2-04.22002407816.71.00
6/1/25PITSND6-43.16443327823.44.00
5/26/25MIASND4-36.16335118914.1.60
5/21/25@ TORSL0-144.24224017315.61.67
5/14/25LAASW5-16.04115119015.05.00
5/9/25@ COLSW13-96.06225129515.81.25
Courtesy of Don Best Sports


Prediction

I like the pitching matchup here with Vasquez over Rocker. Vasquez has been pretty consistent this season and has allowed more than three runs just three times. He’s coming off a poor start, but I expect him to silence the Rangers bats. Texas had a great homestand offensively, but they still rank near the bottom in almost every offensive category. Rocker has been better lately, but I still don’t trust his 6.13 season ERA against San Diego. Give me the Padres in the series opener.

Pick: Padres -116

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