LA Rams (7-2) at Minnesota (7-2)
When: Sunday, November 19th 2017
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Time: 1:00 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Minnesota -2.5/46
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Two defensive-minded teams that are playing better than expected, meet Sunday afternoon in Minneapolis as the Los Angeles Rams take on the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium. The Rams allow just over 18 points a game, but it’s their offense that is turning heads this season under second-year quarterback Jared Goff. Los Angeles already has reached or eclipsed 33 points in three straight games and leads the NFL with an average of 32.9. The Rams are coming off their fourth consecutive victory, a 33-7 triumph over Houston in which Goff became the first player in franchise history to throw for 300-plus yards (career-high 355) with three touchdowns and no interceptions in back-to-back games. Los Angeles, which is one game ahead of Seattle in the NFC west, is 4-0 on the road this season but has lost four straight matchups with the Vikings. By virtue of winning their last five games, Minnesota owns a two-game lead in the NFC North after last week’s 38-30 win over Washington. Case Keenum, who made nine starts for the Rams last season, will be making his eighth for the Vikings and looks to lead them to 20 or more points for the sixth straight time.
Todd Gurley has been a nice complement to Goff’s success, leading the league with 1,160 yards from scrimmage and ranks fourth in rushing with 754 but has been held under 70 in each of his last two games. Gurley also leads the NFL with 10 touchdowns despite being kept out of the end zone last week for just the third time this season. Wide receiver Robert Woods is turning into a big play-maker for L.A. recording a TD of at least 50 yards in back-to-back games. While the Rams’ offense has been dominating, the defense has been stout, ranking first in takeaways (19), third in scoring defense (18 points) and fifth in sacks (28). The Rams will home to the high-flying New Orleans Saints next week.
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Keenum grabbed the starting job from the injured Sam Bradford and has improved the offense in his seven starts, throwing for 1,774 yards with 10 TDs and five interceptions. He now has some added pressure on him with former starter, and now-healthy Teddy Bridgewater on the bench backing him up. Adam Thielen is Keenum’s favorite target and has been a fantasy sleeper this season, ranking third in the league with 793 receiving yards, including a season-high 166 on eight catches last week. Thielen boasts three career games with at least 150 yards, which is the most among all active undrafted players. Minnesota is fifth in overall defense (294.6) and third against the run (81.3). The Vikings will hit the road for three-straight after this starting with a Thanksgiving Day battle in Detroit.
Not many teams have been able to slow down the Rams this year, but the Vikings have the defense that can. The problem is, L.A.’s defense is playing just as good as Minnesota’s and Keenum now has added pressure on him with Bridgewater healthy. Bettors have been underestimating the Rams all season, and they keep proving them wrong. Los Angeles seems to play better on the road also with a 4-0 straight-up and ATS mark.
Pick: Rams +2.5
- Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
- Rams are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Rams are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Rams are 28-58-1 ATS in their last 87 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Rams are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games on fieldturf.
- Rams are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. NFC.
- Rams are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 11.
- Rams are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Vikings are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Vikings are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 home games.
- Vikings are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a ATS win.
- Vikings are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up win.
- Vikings are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Vikings are 38-15 ATS in their last 53 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Vikings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Vikings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
- Vikings are 37-15 ATS in their last 52 games overall.
- Vikings are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Vikings are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games on fieldturf.
- Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 11.
- Over is 6-0 in Rams last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Rams last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Rams last 5 games in Week 11.
- Over is 6-2 in Rams last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Rams last 8 games in November.
- Over is 6-2 in Rams last 8 vs. NFC.
- Under is 9-3 in Rams last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 11-4 in Rams last 15 games on fieldturf.
- Over is 8-3 in Rams last 11 games overall.
- Under is 13-5 in Rams last 18 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 5-2 in Rams last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
- Under is 7-3 in Rams last 10 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 13-6 in Rams last 19 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 15-7 in Rams last 22 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Under is 35-17 in Rams last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 19-7 in Vikings last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-2 in Vikings last 7 games on fieldturf.
- Under is 17-7-1 in Vikings last 25 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 12-5 in Vikings last 17 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 9-4 in Vikings last 13 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 9-4 in Vikings last 13 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 33-16 in Vikings last 49 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Favorite is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
- Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
- Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
