Pittsburgh (38-41) at Milwaukee (43-38)
When: Friday, June 28th, 2019
Where: Miller Park,
Milwaukee, WI
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: FS Wisconsin,
AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh
Opening Odds: Milwaukee -167/9.5
The Pittsburgh Pirates’ offense comes in with some momentum after bashing the Houston Astros staff and will get their chance against a struggling Jhoulys Chacin in the opener of a three-game weekend series on Friday night. Pittsburgh has won six of its last seven games after defeating Houston 10-0 on Thursday and 14-2 on Wednesday, and are five games behind the first-place Chicago Cubs in the NL Central. Milwaukee, however, has won six of the first seven meetings this season, including a three-game sweep at Miller Park by a combined 20-9 earlier this month. Pirates shortstop Kevin Newman owns the majors longest current hitting streak at 17 games, during which he is batting .390 with three home runs, 13 RBI and 11 runs scored. Josh Bell has homered in two straight games and drove in four runs after not recording an RBI in his previous five games. The Brewers have lost seven of their last 10 but still trail the Cubs by just one game after defeating Seattle 4-2 on Thursday to salvage the finale of their three-game series. Chacin, who has an ERA over 10 in his last three starts, will be opposed by the equally struggling Chris Archer – which is why this total is set at a very high 10.5.
Pitchers: Pirates – Chris Archer (3-6, 5.56 ERA) | Brewers – Jhoulys Chacin (3-8, 5.88)
Archer has sandwiched two solid outings around a couple of duds in his last four starts, but the Pirates offense has been giving him some good run support, winning four of his last five starts. He allowed one run, two hits and three walks while striking out five over five innings of Pittsburgh’s 6-3 victory over San Diego on Saturday but came away with a no-decision. Archer surrendered 11 runs over 11 innings in his previous two starts. Archer is 1-2 with a 6.14 ERA in four starts against the Brewers including a 9-4 victory on May 31st.
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
Chacin won a career-best 15 games a year ago, but is now on pace to have his worst season of his 10-year run, including those seasons in Colorado. He lasted only 4.2 innings last Saturday against Cincinnati after allowing five runs and six hits while striking out five in his second start since coming off the injured list (back). Chacin, who is winless in his last seven starts (0-5), is 2-7 with a 4.96 ERA in 13 starts against the Pirates.
Boy, which pitcher do I trust the most here? I would love to take the over, but 10.5 is really high and as bad as Chacin has been, nine of his 14 starts have gone under. The Pirates are playing – and hitting – a little better right now, so I’ll take my chances with Archer and the Pittsburgh offense.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Friday. He is 85-56 +2003 units on the season after a 5-0 run!
Pick: Pirates +138
10 CENT MLB LINES & 1% CASH BACK
BETTING TRENDS:
Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 Friday games.
Pirates are 4-9 in their last 13 road games.
Pirates are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Pirates are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
Pirates are 3-9 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Pirates are 3-11 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series.
Pirates are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Pirates are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Pirates are 4-1 in Archer’s last 5 starts.
Pirates are 4-1 in Archer’s last 5 starts on grass.
Pirates are 5-2 in Archer’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Pirates are 3-8 in Archer’s last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Pirates are 2-8 in Archer’s last 10 road starts.
Pirates are 1-6 in Archer’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Pirates are 0-4 in Archer’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. National League Central.
Brewers are 3-7 in their last 10 overall.
Brewers are 3-7 in their last 10 games on grass.
Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.
Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 Friday games.
Brewers are 1-6 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Brewers are 12-4 in Chacin’s last 16 starts during game 1 of a series.
Brewers are 5-2 in Chacin’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Brewers are 2-5 in Chacin’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Brewers are 1-5 in Chacin’s last 6 starts.
Brewers are 1-5 in Chacin’s last 6 starts on grass.
Brewers are 1-5 in Chacin’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 0-4 in Chacin’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 8-2 in Pirates last 10 road games.
Over is 7-2 in Pirates last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 7-2-1 in Pirates last 10 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 23-7-2 in Pirates last 32 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 16-5-1 in Pirates last 22 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 18-6-2 in Pirates last 26 Friday games.
Over is 15-5-1 in Pirates last 21 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 36-13-3 in Pirates last 52 overall.
Over is 36-13-3 in Pirates last 52 on grass.
Over is 19-7-2 in Pirates last 28 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 16-6-3 in Pirates last 25 games following a win.
Over is 20-8 in Pirates last 28 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0-1 in Archer’s last 5 Friday starts.
Under is 3-0-1 in Archer’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Over is 4-0 in Archer’s last 4 road starts.
Over is 6-1 in Archer’s last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
Over is 5-1 in Archer’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1-2 in Archer’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Archer’s last 6 starts on grass.
Over is 4-1-1 in Archer’s last 6 starts overall.
Over is 4-1 in Archer’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Archer’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Over is 5-0-1 in Brewers last 6 Friday games.
Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 games following a win.
Over is 10-4-1 in Brewers last 15 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-2-1 in Brewers last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 11-5-1 in Brewers last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in Chacin’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Chacin’s last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 14-5 in Chacin’s last 19 starts on grass.
Under is 14-5 in Chacin’s last 19 starts overall.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
Over is 4-1 in Chacin’s last 5 starts vs. Pirates.
Pirates are 30-76 in the last 106 meetings in Milwaukee.
Brewers are 1-5 in Chacin’s last 6 starts vs. Pirates.
Pirates are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings.
