Padres vs Diamondbacks Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [9/2/19]

San Diego (64-72) at Arizona (70-67)
When: Monday, September 2, 2019
Where: Chase Field,
Phoenix, AZ
Time: 4:10 ET | TV: FS Arizona
Opening Odds: Arizona -138/9.5


The Arizona Diamondbacks are right back in the National League wild card race after a terrific end to the month of August and will try and keep that going Monday afternoon when they host the San Diego Padres. The Diamondbacks scored one run in losing the first two games of a series at the Milwaukee Brewers on August 23-24, but won the finale and swept the San Francisco Giants in two games. Then they hosted the first place Los Angeles Dodgers and came up just short on a four-game sweep after Sunday’s 4-3 setback in 11 innings. The run has put Arizona back in contention and they’ll begin the week 3.5 games behind the Chicago Cubs in the race for the second wild card spot. Arizona can make up some ground in this final month by playing San Diego (64-72) and Cincinnati (64-73) six times and Miami (48-88) three times. The Padres have little chance at a postseason berth, trailing by nine games, but are coming off a nice weekend in which they took three of four at San Francisco. Third baseman Ty France homered twice in Sunday’s 8-4 win and the Padres will send out rookie Cal Quantrill to oppose veteran Mike Leake. San Diego has won seven of the last eight meetings.

Pitchers: Padres – Cal Quantrill (6-5, 3.99 ERA) | Diamondbacks – Mike Leake (10-10, 4.67)

Quantrill didn’t have a fun outing last time out against the might Dodgers, allowing eight run in 4.1 innings of a 9-0 loss on Tuesday. The rookie had a streak of seven straight starts of allowing three earned runs or less, but had all sorts of issues against L.A. Quantrill, who is 2-3 with a 3.75 ERA on the road, will face Arizona for the first time.


Leake is coming off a far different outing, allowing just two runs in 7.1 innings to defeat San Francisco on Tuesday. It was by far the best of his five outings with Arizona since coming over from Seattle at the trade deadline. In eight starts versus San Diego, Leake owns a 3.30 ERA, but hasn’t faced them in over three years.

Arizona is hot right now, but the Padres play well against them, winning seven of the last eight this season. Leake has been awful and I’m not backing him here even after a solid outing last week – it was the Giants after all. Quantrill has been pretty good on the road and will get enough run support to get the victory.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Monday. He is 120-83 +2428 units on the season after a 21-10 run!

Pick: Padres +118


BETTING TRENDS:

Padres are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Padres are 5-2 in their last 7 Monday games.
Padres are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Padres are 8-17 in their last 25 vs. a team with a winning record.
Padres are 6-13 in their last 19 games following a win.
Padres are 4-9 in Quantrill’s last 13 starts on grass.

Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass.
Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League West.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 Monday games.
Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 home games.
Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a loss.

Under is 2-0-2 in Padres last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 5-1-1 in Padres last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1 in Padres last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Padres last 6 overall.
Over is 4-1-1 in Padres last 6 on grass.
Over is 4-1-1 in Padres last 6 vs. National League West.
Under is 11-3 in Padres last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-2-1 in Padres last 10 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 3-1-1 in Padres last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 20-8-1 in Padres last 29 road games.
Under is 5-2 in Quantrill’s last 7 starts on grass.
Under is 5-2 in Quantrill’s last 7 starts overall.
Over is 5-2 in Quantrill’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games following a loss.
Under is 7-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 6-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 Monday games.
Under is 5-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-1-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 11-5-2 in Diamondbacks last 18 during game 1 of a series.

Padres are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Padres are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Arizona.
Over is 30-14-2 in the last 46 meetings in Arizona.

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