North Carolina vs Gonzaga Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [4/3/17]

By
Jay Cooper
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North Carolina (32-7) vs Gonzaga (37-1)
When: Monday, April 3rd 2017
Where: University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Time: 9:20 ET | TV: CBS

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East meets West in the 2017 NCAA Championship Game as the Gonzaga Bulldogs out of the West Coast Conference, takes on the North Carolina Tar Heels on Monday night in Glendale, Arizona. Gonzaga will be making their first appearance in the title game after surviving their first ever Final Four contest against South Carolina on Saturday. The Bulldogs survived a 16-0 Gamecocks run in the second half to avoid the upset as 7-point favorites. Junior point guard Nigel Williams-Goss led the way for Gonzaga with 23 points in the 77-73 victory over South Carolina. Backup freshman center Zach Collins showed why he will be a future NBA Lottery pick by contributing 14 points, 13 rebounds and a career-best six blocked shots on Saturday. The trio of Collins (averages of 10 points, 5.9 rebounds), senior center Przemek Karnowski (12.3 points, 5.8 rebounds) and junior power forward Johnathan Williams (10.2 points, team-best 6.5 boards) should be able to matchup with North Carolina’s solid frontcourt. Williams-Goss (team-best 16.9 points), senior shooting guard Jordan Mathews (10.8 points, team-leading 83 made 3-pointers) and sophomore guard Josh Perkins (eight points per game) combined for 130 of the Bulldogs’ 263 steals this season. The Bulldogs rank second nationally in field-goal percentage (50.8) behind UCLA (52.2).

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While the Zags are in uncharted territory, North Carolina will be looking for their sixth national title after earning their 20th Final Four appearance. North Carolina suffered a 77-74 loss last season when Villanova’s Kris Jenkins nailed a 3-pointer at the buzzer and the players were constantly reminded of the fact during their NCAA Tournament run. Senior center Kennedy Meeks matched his career high of 25 points and collected 14 rebounds in Saturday’s 77-76 victory over a game Oregon team. The Tar Heels missed four straight free throws in the final seconds of that game, but grabbed two offensive rebounds to seal the win. The Tar Heels lead the nation in offensive rebounds (15.8) per game and have the best rebounding margin (12.7) in the country. Meeks is tough to handle under the basket with a 13.3 rebounding average over the past four games and is averaging 12.7 points and a team-leading 9.4 rebounds for the season. Junior forward Justin Jackson leads the Tar Heels in scoring (18.3) and 3-pointers made (105) and has registered three 20-point outings in the tournament, including 22 points against Oregon. Junior point guard Joel Berry II (14.5 points) is playing through two sprained ankles and was 2-of-14 shooting against the Ducks, while senior forward Isaiah Hicks (11.8) also averages in double digits.

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This game is going to be won under the basket and North Carolina has proven that they are the best in the country down low. Gonzaga has a terrific frontcourt, but they haven’t gone up against a team like this. Williams-Goss has his shooting touch back and the three-point shooting will keep Gonzaga in it, but the Tar Heels will pull it out in the end.

Pick: North Carolina -1.5

ATS TRENDS

Gonzaga
  • Bulldogs are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
  • Bulldogs are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 Monday games.
  • Bulldogs are 16-5-2 ATS in their last 23 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Bulldogs are 21-7-2 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Bulldogs are 28-11-2 ATS in their last 41 games following a straight up win.
  • Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
  • Bulldogs are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 games overall.
  • Bulldogs are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
  • Bulldogs are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
  • Bulldogs are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games.
  • Bulldogs are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. Atlantic Coast.
North Carolina
  • Tar Heels are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Tar Heels are 21-8-3 ATS in their last 32 neutral site games as a favorite.
  • Tar Heels are 14-6-2 ATS in their last 22 neutral site games.
  • Tar Heels are 21-10-1 ATS in their last 32 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
  • Tar Heels are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Tar Heels are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.

OU TRENDS

Gonzaga
  • Under is 6-0 in Bulldogs last 6 vs. Atlantic Coast.
  • Under is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 games as an underdog.
  • Under is 10-1 in Bulldogs last 11 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
  • Over is 6-1 in Bulldogs last 7 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog.
  • Over is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 Monday games.
  • Under is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 neutral site games as an underdog.
  • Over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
  • Under is 7-3 in Bulldogs last 10 overall.
  • Under is 7-3 in Bulldogs last 10 neutral site games.
  • Under is 7-3 in Bulldogs last 10 NCAA Tournament games.
  • Under is 20-9 in Bulldogs last 29 non-conference games.
North Carolina
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Tar Heels last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 6-1 in Tar Heels last 7 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
  • Over is 7-2 in Tar Heels last 9 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
  • Over is 7-2 in Tar Heels last 9 NCAA Tournament games.
  • Under is 10-3-1 in Tar Heels last 14 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 10-4 in Tar Heels last 14 neutral site games as a favorite.
  • Over is 38-18 in Tar Heels last 56 neutral site games.

HEAD TO HEAD

No trends available.

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