LSU (1-0) at Texas (1-0)
When: Saturday, September 7, 2019
Where: Texas Memorial Stadium,
Austin, Texas
Time: 7:30 ET | TV: ABC
Opening Odds: LSU -3/53
Two teams with playoff aspirations will meet in an early-season critical game Saturday night as the Louisiana State Tigers invade Austin to take on the Texas Longhorns. This is the marquee matchup in the Week 2 schedule with both squads in the top 10 and coming off very easy season-opening wins. The Tigers began the season with a 55-3 route of Georgia Southern by compiling 472 yards of total offense to go with a defense that looks as strong as ever. The unit will get tested on the road this week, however, with the Longhorns coming off a 45-14 over visiting Louisiana Tech in Week 1 despite the Texas defense allowing 413 total yards. Texas holds a slight 9-7-1 lead in the series, but this is the first meeting since the Longhorns beat the Tigers in the 2003 Cotton Bowl.
LSU quarterback Joe Burrow continues to show fans that the Tigers’ offense may no longer be dormant and got off to a 23-of-27, 278 yard effort with five touchdowns last week against Georgia Southern. Burrow, who has 15 TDs in his last three games dating back to last season, connected with 14 different players in Week 1 and was not sacked once. It was only Georgia Southern, but the defense held the Panthers to just 98 total yards and 1-of-12 on third down conversions in the opener.
Texas signal-caller Sam Ehlinger also had a nice opener, completing 28-of-38 passes for 276 yards and four touchdowns without an interception, but will face an extremely talented LSU secondary on Saturday night. Sophomore running back Keaontay Ingram recorded 78 yards on 11 carries, while fellow sophomore Brennan Eagles hauled in two touchdowns among his three catches. The Longhorns beat their last SEC opponent, Georgia, in last year’s Sugar Bowl 28-21.
This should be a terrific game and could be very important when looking at the playoff picture come November. Burrows has been terrific, but he hasn’t faced a lot of defenses as good as Texas’ and the Austin crowd will make it tough for him. I think he makes more mistakes than Ehlinger in this one and the Longhorns at least keep it to within a field goal, if not win outright.
Pick: Texas +7 -130 (buy the half-point)
Betting Trends:
Tigers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12.
Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Tigers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Tigers are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games in September.
Longhorns are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Longhorns are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Longhorns are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Longhorns are 3-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Longhorns are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Longhorns are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Longhorns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Longhorns are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 games overall.
Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 non-conference games.
Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games on fieldturf.
Over is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 8-3-2 in Tigers last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Under is 9-4-3 in Tigers last 16 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Under is 6-1 in Longhorns last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 10-2 in Longhorns last 12 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 23-5 in Longhorns last 28 games following a ATS win.
Under is 16-5 in Longhorns last 21 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 19-6-1 in Longhorns last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 6-2 in Longhorns last 8 games in September.
Under is 21-7-1 in Longhorns last 29 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 21-8 in Longhorns last 29 games following a straight up win.
Under is 20-8 in Longhorns last 28 games on fieldturf.
Under is 7-3 in Longhorns last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 35-16 in Longhorns last 51 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 13-6 in Longhorns last 19 home games.
Under is 49-24 in Longhorns last 73 games overall.
