Indians vs Mets Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [8/20/19]

Cleveland (74-51) at NY Mets (64-60)
When: Tuesday, August 20th, 2019
Where: Citi Field,
New York, NY
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Cleveland -135/8.5


A couple of wild card contenders in their respective leagues will battle in a three-game interleague series starting Tuesday night as the Cleveland Indians visit the surging New York Mets at Citi Field. The Indians currently occupy the top AL wild card slot, but have their sites set on the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central race, and sit 2.5 games back entering Monday’s action. Cleveland doesn’t have to travel far on their seven-game road trip after splitting four games at Yankee Stadium over the weekend, scoring 27 runs in the two victories after Sunday’s 8-4 victory. Rookie Oscar Mercado is 9-for-18 during his current five-game hitting streak, while Carlos Santana is 23-for-59 with six homers, 18 RBI and 18 runs scored in his last 17 games. The Mets have been riding the hot bat of Pete Alonso, who blasted his 40th homer in Sunday’s 11-5 victory over Kansas City to move within one of tying Todd Hundley and Carlos Beltran for the single-season club record. Alonso is 11-for-17 with two homers, 10 RBI and four runs scored in his last four games. New York has won 18 of their last 23 to sit two games back of a wild card spot pending Monday’s results.

Pitchers: Indians – Shane Bieber (12-5, 3.27 ERA) | Mets – Steven Matz (7-7, 4.33)

Bieber has been on a roll lately, but hasn’t been getting much run support in two of his losses recently including Wednesday when he allowed two runs over six innings in a 5-1 loss to Boston. He’s allowed two runs or less in five straight games but has served-up six homers in his last four outings. Bieber, who is 8-2 with a 2.77 ERA on the road this season, will face the Mets for the first time.


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Matz has been solid since coming back into the rotation in the middle of July outside of one poor outing at Pittsburgh on August 2nd. In his five other starts since July 16th, the lefty has allowed two runs or less in each one including a no-decision at Atlanta Wednesday in which he surrendered one run on two hits over six innings. Matz scattered three hits and struck out nine over seven scoreless innings to win his lone career start against Cleveland back in 2016.

With the way the Mets have been playing, you have to give them a shot as a big home underdog here. Yes, Bieber and Cleveland have been playing well also, but Matz is 5-0 with a 2.14 ERA at home this season.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Monday. He is 112-78 +2198 units on the season after a 12-5 run!

Pick: Mets +150

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BETTING TRENDS:

Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague road games.
Indians are 16-5 in their last 21 road games.
Indians are 16-5 in their last 21 during game 1 of a series.
Indians are 9-3 in their last 12 games following an off day.
Indians are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games.
Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Indians are 21-9 in their last 30 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Indians are 38-17 in their last 55 games on grass.
Indians are 38-17 in their last 55 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Indians are 20-9 in their last 29 games following a win.
Indians are 40-18 in their last 58 overall.
Indians are 18-43 in their last 61 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Indians are 8-20 in their last 28 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Indians are 5-1 in Bieber’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Indians are 11-3 in Bieber’s last 14 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Indians are 7-2 in Bieber’s last 9 starts.
Indians are 7-2 in Bieber’s last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Indians are 7-2 in Bieber’s last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Indians are 17-5 in Bieber’s last 22 road starts.
Indians are 6-2 in Bieber’s last 8 starts on grass.
Indians are 5-2 in Bieber’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Indians are 5-2 in Bieber’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Indians are 7-3 in Bieber’s last 10 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 10-1 in their last 11 home games.
Mets are 10-1 in their last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague games.
Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 Tuesday games.
Mets are 14-3 in their last 17 games following a win.
Mets are 22-5 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day.
Mets are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 20-7 in their last 27 overall.
Mets are 20-7 in their last 27 games on grass.
Mets are 20-8 in their last 28 vs. American League Central.
Mets are 7-3 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 9-2 in Matz’s last 11 home starts.
Mets are 6-2 in Matz’s last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
Mets are 3-7 in Matz’s last 10 starts.
Mets are 3-7 in Matz’s last 10 starts on grass.
Mets are 5-12 in Matz’s last 17 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 4-10 in Matz’s last 14 Tuesday starts.
Mets are 1-4 in Matz’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 1-4 in Matz’s last 5 interleague starts.
Mets are 1-5 in Matz’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Mets are 1-5 in Matz’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 0-4 in Matz’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Mets are 0-4 in Matz’s last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Under is 3-0-1 in Indians last 4 games following an off day.
Over is 5-1 in Indians last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 5-1-1 in Indians last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 7-2 in Indians last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 road games.
Under is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 interleague games.
Under is 24-9-4 in Indians last 37 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 8-3 in Indians last 11 games following a win.
Over is 8-3 in Indians last 11 vs. National League East.
Over is 5-2-1 in Indians last 8 on grass.
Over is 5-2-1 in Indians last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-2-1 in Indians last 8 overall.
Under is 9-4 in Indians last 13 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 33-16-4 in Indians last 53 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 9-0-3 in Bieber’s last 12 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 4-0 in Bieber’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 4-0 in Bieber’s last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 10-1 in Bieber’s last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 9-1-1 in Bieber’s last 11 road starts.
Under is 7-1-1 in Bieber’s last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 12-2-2 in Bieber’s last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-1 in Bieber’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Bieber’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Bieber’s last 6 Tuesday starts.
Under is 4-1-1 in Bieber’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 19-6-1 in Bieber’s last 26 starts overall.
Under is 22-8-3 in Bieber’s last 33 starts on grass.

Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 Tuesday games.
Under is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 interleague home games.
Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 interleague games.
Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 vs. American League Central.
Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 games following an off day.
Over is 4-1-2 in Mets last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 8-2-2 in Mets last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 3-1-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 3-1-2 in Mets last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Mets last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 8-3 in Mets last 11 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-2 in Mets last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-3-1 in Mets last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-3 in Mets last 10 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 5-0-1 in Matz’s last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-2 in Matz’s last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 14-3-2 in Matz’s last 19 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 4-1-2 in Matz’s last 7 starts on grass.
Under is 4-1-2 in Matz’s last 7 starts overall.
Under is 3-1-1 in Matz’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 15-6-3 in Matz’s last 24 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 21-9-2 in Matz’s last 32 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Over is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings.
Indians are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings.

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