Philadelphia (8-1) at Dallas (5-4)
When: Sunday, November 19th 2017
Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Time: 8:30 ET | TV: NBC
Opening Odds: Philadelphia -3/47
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The Philadelphia Eagles can basically close the door on the NFC East when they visit the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football in Arlington, Texas. The 8-1 Eagles have a three-game lead over second place Dallas and are a perfect 3-0 in the division. Dallas will enter Sunday night’s home game without star running back Ezekiel Elliott, and perhaps Pro Bowl offensive tackle Tyron Smith. After not generating any offense last week without both stars, quarterback Dak Prescott may need to out-duel fellow second-year quarterback Carson Wentz in this one. After throwing for 15 touchdowns in his previous seven games, Prescott was held to only 176 yards in Dallas’ 27-7 setback to Atlanta last week with the only score coming on a Prescott run. He had constant pressure, with defensive end Adrian Clayborn recording six of his team’s eight sacks to completely take Dallas out of their game. While the Cowboys saw their three-game winning streak snapped, Philadelphia has reeled-off seven in a row and will look to avenge last season’s 29-23 overtime loss in Dallas. Wentz threw for just 202 yards in that outing, but has thrown 17 of his NFL-best 23 touchdown passes in the last five games and leads the league’s second-ranked offense at 31.4 points per game.
The Eagles are starting to see returns from offseason acquisition Alshon Jeffery, who has three touchdowns in his last two games and also found the end zone in two of his last three meetings with Dallas when with Chicago. Zach Ertz should return from a two-game absence due to an ailing hamstring and pick up where he left off – five touchdowns in his last four games and is clearly Wentz’s go-to guy. Ertz leads all NFC tight ends in receptions (43), yards (528) and TDs (six) this season and was a monster versus Dallas last season with 13 catches for 139 yards and two touchdowns in the January 1st, 2017 meeting. Philadelphia added some depth to it’s offensive line this week, signing former New York Giants T Will Beatty to a one-year contract.
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While Elliott’s absence has nothing to do with his health, Smith could sit out his second straight game as a result of a groin injury that prevented him from practicing on Wednesday and Thursday and is listed as doubtful on the latest injury report. Byron Bell received first-team reps in his place in favor of Chaz Green, who started and struggled at Atlanta. Alfred Morris rushed five times on the opening drive last week, but finished with 53 yards on just 11 carries – another sign that Prescott may have to do the work himself. Dez Bryant has been slowed by an ailing knee, limiting him to just 39 yards receiving in two of his last three games. Defensive end DeMarcus Lawrence leads the NFL with a career-best 11.5 sacks for a defense that ranks 15th overall (325.9 yards/game).
Philadelphia is clearly the better team, but this is a rivalry game and if we know anything about the NFL this season, it’s to expect the unexpected. The public is all over the Eagles in this one, but something tells me the Dallas defense will step-up at home and keep this close.
Pick: Cowboys +3.5
- Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
- Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.
- Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Eagles are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.
- Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
- Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
- Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 11.
- Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.
- Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
- Cowboys are 9-21-1 ATS in their last 31 games on fieldturf.
- Cowboys are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Cowboys are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Over is 14-2 in Eagles last 16 road games.
- Over is 10-2 in Eagles last 12 vs. NFC East.
- Over is 5-1 in Eagles last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
- Under is 8-2-1 in Eagles last 11 games in Week 11.
- Over is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-2 in Eagles last 8 games overall.
- Over is 16-6-2 in Eagles last 24 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 8-3 in Eagles last 11 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 21-8 in Eagles last 29 games on fieldturf.
- Over is 5-2 in Eagles last 7 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 21-9 in Eagles last 30 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 11-5 in Eagles last 16 games following a bye week.
- Under is 40-19 in Eagles last 59 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 vs. NFC.
- Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 5-2 in Cowboys last 7 games in Week 11.
- Over is 7-3 in Cowboys last 10 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 31-15-1 in Cowboys last 47 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
