Boston (3-1) at LA Dodgers (1-3)
When: Sunday, October 28th 2018
Where: Dodger Stadium,
Los Angeles, California
Time: 8:09 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: OFF
The Los Angeles Dodgers had everything going for them after the epic 18-inning victory in Game 3 of the World Series – momentum, a four-run lead, Boston’s cold bats – until the bullpen imploded in the late stages of Game 4. Now, ace Clayton Kershaw will try and keep L.A.’s dreams alive and send the series back to Boston when he takes the mound in Game 5 on Sunday opposite fellow lefty David Price. Boston will have the opportunity for their fourth World Series title in 15 years on Sunday after handing the Dodgers their first loss of the season when leading by four-plus runs in a game – a 9-6 victory that put them on the brink of their first championship since 2013. Boston’s Steve Pearce tied the game with a solo homer off Kenley Jansen in the eighth inning and broke it open with a three-run double in the ninth. Pearce, Rafael Devers and Mitch Moreland had the biggest hits in Game 4 for the Red Sox with Moreland blasting a pinch-hit three-run bomb in the seventh inning Saturday. Yasiel Puig got the Dodger Stadium faithful in a frenzy with a three-run homer to give Los Angeles a 4-0 lead after six innings, but its normally reliable bullpen could not hold the lead. Los Angeles 3B Justin Turner recorded three hits and a walk Saturday and is 8-for-21 in the World Series.
Pitchers: Red Sox – David Price (2-1, 4.26 ERA) | Dodgers – Clayton Kershaw (2-2, 3.91)
Price has been working on little rest, helping out when manage Alex Cora calls on him. He threw 13 pitches in relief during Friday’s Game 3 and was up in the bullpen Saturday. Instead of going with ace Chris Sale, Cora has decided with Price and will save Sale for a possible Game 6 back home. Price has been outstanding in his last two starts, throwing six scoreless innings against Houston to end the ALCS and limiting the Dodgers to two runs and three hits over six innings in Game 2.
Kershaw has been much better at home this postseason than on the road, and that was evident with his Game 1 performance at Fenway Park when he allowed five runs on seven hits and three walks in four innings. Kershaw has given up one run on five hits and two walks with 12 strikeouts in 15 innings at Dodger Stadium during the playoffs. Andrew Benintendi and J.D. Martinez each recorded two hits in Game 1 against Kershaw, who has surrendered just one homer in 23 postseason innings after giving up 17 in 26 games during the regular season.
Its hard to see how L.A. can come back from that devastating loss on Saturday, but if there’s one guy who can do it, its Kershaw. Price has been much better the last two starts, but I still don’t trust him in this situation. I say the Dodgers get on the board first, and this time hold onto the lead.
Pick: Dodgers
BETTING TRENDS:
- Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 playoff games.
- Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 playoff road games.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Red Sox are 15-3 in their last 18 World Series games.
- Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 40-11 in their last 51 interleague games.
- Red Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 World Series road games.
- Red Sox are 39-14 in their last 53 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 39-14 in their last 53 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 47-17 in their last 64 vs. National League West.
- Red Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 interleague road games.
- Red Sox are 21-8 in their last 29 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 21-8 in their last 29 Sunday games.
- Red Sox are 65-26 in their last 91 games on grass.
- Red Sox are 44-18 in their last 62 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 43-18 in their last 61 games following a win.
- Red Sox are 67-30 in their last 97 overall.
- Red Sox are 35-16 in their last 51 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 48-22 in their last 70 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Price’s last 6 interleague starts.
- Red Sox are 10-1 in Price’s last 11 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in Price’s last 5 road starts.
- Red Sox are 26-8 in Price’s last 34 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Red Sox are 16-5 in Price’s last 21 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 16-5 in Price’s last 21 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 22-7 in Price’s last 29 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 6-2 in Price’s last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 19-7 in Price’s last 26 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 40-17 in Price’s last 57 starts.
- Red Sox are 36-16 in Price’s last 52 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 8-1 in their last 9 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 18-6 in their last 24 home games.
- Dodgers are 6-2 in their last 8 Sunday games.
- Dodgers are 11-4 in their last 15 playoff home games.
- Dodgers are 20-8 in their last 28 interleague home games.
- Dodgers are 43-18 in their last 61 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 36-16 in their last 52 games following a loss.
- Dodgers are 96-46 in their last 142 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 5 of a series.
- Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 World Series games.
- Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 42-11 in Kershaw’s last 53 home starts.
- Dodgers are 11-3 in Kershaw’s last 14 interleague starts.
- Dodgers are 49-14 in Kershaw’s last 63 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 43-13 in Kershaw’s last 56 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 53-16 in Kershaw’s last 69 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Dodgers are 39-12 in Kershaw’s last 51 Sunday starts.
- Dodgers are 73-24 in Kershaw’s last 97 starts.
- Dodgers are 45-15 in Kershaw’s last 60 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 72-24 in Kershaw’s last 96 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 38-13 in Kershaw’s last 51 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 41-14 in Kershaw’s last 55 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 38-13 in Kershaw’s last 51 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 44-17 in Kershaw’s last 61 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 13-4 in Red Sox last 17 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 Sunday games.
- Over is 21-7-2 in Red Sox last 30 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 17-6-1 in Red Sox last 24 on grass.
- Over is 17-6-1 in Red Sox last 24 overall.
- Over is 18-7-3 in Red Sox last 28 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 15-6 in Red Sox last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-3 in Red Sox last 10 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 9-4-1 in Red Sox last 14 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 33-16-2 in Red Sox last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1 in Price’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Price’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2-1 in Price’s last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Dodgers last 7 games following a loss.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Dodgers last 9 playoff home games.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Dodgers last 8 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 Sunday games.
- Under is 16-5-3 in Dodgers last 24 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 15-5-1 in Dodgers last 21 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 12-5-1 in Dodgers last 18 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-3-1 in Dodgers last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 23-10-4 in Dodgers last 37 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kershaw’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kershaw’s last 4 home starts.
- Over is 5-1-2 in Kershaw’s last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Kershaw’s last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Kershaw’s last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Kershaw’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-2 in Kershaw’s last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-3 in Kershaw’s last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 39-19-2 in Kershaw’s last 60 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
