LA Dodgers (3-3) at Milwaukee (3-3)
When: Saturday, October 20th 2018
Where: Miller Park,
Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Time: 8:09 ET | TV: FS1
Opening Odds: Los Angeles -120/8
The Miller Park faithful in Milwaukee needed to bring their Brewers back to life if they wanted any chance of playing in their first World Series since 1982 and after a leadoff home run by Los Angeles’ David Freese, the team, nor the crowd, gave up. Milwaukee used a four-run bottom of the first inning to seize momentum in Game 6 and in this series as we prepare for a Game 7 of the NLCS on Saturday night. The Brewers finished with an NL-best 51-30 record at home during the regular season and have won four of five at Miller Park in the playoffs after Friday’s 7-2 victory. The easy win enabled Milwaukee to rest top reliever Josh Hader for as much work as he can handle in Game 7. The Brewers are set up with their top starting pitcher Jhoulys Chacin on the hill, while the Dodgers will go with talented rookie Walker Buehler, who could be followed closely by three-time Cy Young Award winner Clayton Kershaw. Los Angeles is seeking their first back-to-back World Series appearances since 1977 and 1978, but managed just four hits after Freese’s homer in the first. Chris Taylor recorded one of the five hits by the Dodgers in Game 6 and is 7-for-20 in the series, but Manny Machado was 0-for-4 with two strikeouts on Saturday.
Pitchers: Dodgers – Walker Buehler (0-1, 6.75 ERA) | Brewers – Jhoulys Chacin (2-0, 0.00)
Buehler suffered the loss in Game 3 of this series and is looking for his first ever postseason victory after giving up four runs on six hits and a walk while striking out eight over seven innings Monday. The rookie posted a 1.58 ERA over his last 11 starts of the regular season, but has allowed nine runs over 12 innings in two playoff starts. Buehler had a 3.45 ERA on the road as opposed to a 1.93 mark at home during the regular season.
Chacin has been terrific in his two starts, allowing six hits and five walks across 10.1 scoreless innings while recording a pair of wins and has the benefit of Hader behind him. Chacin beat Buehler in Game 3 at Dodger Stadium as he recorded six strikeouts in 5.1 innings. He recorded a 3.79 ERA at home in the regular season.
I don’t see why the Dodgers are favored in this game. Milwaukee has all the advantages going for them right now: Momentum, home field, pitching matchup, bullpen. I think we’re going to see the Brewers in Fenway Park next week.
Pick: Brewers +110
BETTING TRENDS:
- Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games.
- Dodgers are 10-1 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 8-1 in their last 9 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 12-2 in their last 14 games following a loss.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 20-8 in their last 28 overall.
- Dodgers are 20-8 in their last 28 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 19-8 in their last 27 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 4-13 in their last 17 League Championship road games.
- Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Dodgers are 2-5 in Buehler’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 1-4 in Buehler’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 1-4 in Buehler’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 playoff home games.
- Brewers are 11-3 in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Brewers are 20-8 in their last 28 games following a win.
- Brewers are 36-16 in their last 52 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 35-16 in their last 51 overall.
- Brewers are 35-16 in their last 51 games on grass.
- Brewers are 53-25 in their last 78 home games.
- Brewers are 35-17 in their last 52 vs. National League West.
- Brewers are 35-17 in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Brewers are 2-6 in their last 8 Saturday games.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Chacin’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Chacin’s last 5 starts.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Chacin’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Brewers are 5-1 in Chacin’s last 6 starts vs. National League West.
- Brewers are 6-2 in Chacin’s last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 6-2 in Chacin’s last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-2 in Chacin’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-2 in Chacin’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Brewers are 15-6 in Chacin’s last 21 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Brewers are 9-4 in Chacin’s last 13 home starts.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 games following a loss.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 road games.
- Over is 5-1-3 in Dodgers last 9 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 playoff road games.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 on grass.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 League Championship games.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 overall.
- Over is 3-1-3 in Dodgers last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 playoff games.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 13-5-1 in Dodgers last 19 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Buehler’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Buehler’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Buehler’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Buehler’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Buehler’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Buehler’s last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Buehler’s last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Buehler’s last 8 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Buehler’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 games following a win.
- Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 League Championship home games.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 Saturday games.
- Under is 8-2-1 in Brewers last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-2-1 in Brewers last 10 on grass.
- Under is 7-2-1 in Brewers last 10 overall.
- Under is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 League Championship games.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Brewers last 9 playoff games.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Brewers last 9 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Chacin’s last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Chacin’s last 4 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Chacin’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-2 in Chacin’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
